Having bet NHL underdogs for the past five seasons, it's been my observation that underdogs do poorly for the first two weeks and the last two weeks of the regular season as well as the playoffs.
If you're able to back-test your technique this is something you might want to check.
I am concerned about the first two weeks of the year. If the criteria you will be using has component based on stats, then the first two weeks will be using last year's numbers......
Last season, I didn't use Matchbook lines either..for record keeping. Picked all lines from 5Dimes & Pinnacle.
Guys, make sure you got an account at 5Dimes! Reduced Juice is great.
May be a good idea to have some funds at TheGreek/Heritage and Bookmaker too. They got 20cent lines but sometimes they offer very short odds for favourites so you can pick dog at a big price.
Always shop for the best lines, Always!
Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57