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jcpicos


Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 14

tomorrow
ott+155
calgary+115

Old Post 11-01-11 06:39 AM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

0-1, -1 Units

Predators lost in OT.




Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 11-01-11 11:02 AM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

October 2011 Recap



1-0, +1.45
2-1, +1.15
0-1, -1
1-0, +1.05
0-2, -2
0-1, -1
3-2, +1.42
1-0, +1.1
3-3, +0.86
5-0, +6.59
1-5, -3.35
0-1, -1
1-3, -1.86
1-2, -0.75
2-1, +1.9
1-0, +1.40
0-1, -1
2-1, +2.01
1-1, +0.31
4-1, +4.7
1-0, +1.42
1-4, -2.35
0-1, -1

Nice start to season! October was very kind to us. I wish everyone a profitable November!

Record: 31-31, +10.05 Units (Risking 1 Unit each play)

PS: If you're using 10/10 European Stake System, record is +100.05 Units.




Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 11-01-11 11:39 AM
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Duby99
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Registered: Jun 2008
Posts: 2141

Great start to the year!!!

Old Post 11-01-11 12:16 PM
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Pagodo


Registered: Oct 2011
Posts: 56

excellent month

let's go for profitable November!

Old Post 11-01-11 12:39 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

Iron Dogs 1 November 2011



TAM +100
ANA +175


Good luck!

Old Post 11-01-11 03:32 PM
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windycity
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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 1071

European Stake System

Sawyer,
Thanks for all the winners! I'm not familiar with the European Stake System, could you explain it?

Old Post 11-01-11 03:45 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

I call it European Stake System since it's popular in Europe.

Your stake can be 1/10 or 10/10.

10/10 means Maximum bet, Full Stakes.

3/10 Low Confidence.

7/10 Medium Stakes.

I'm not a big fan of this stake system. All my plays have same value. All my plays are Full Stakes. I don't rate my plays as 7/10 and 3/10. I keep my record as 1 Unit per game but actually it's Maximum Stake. (So 10/10 according to European Stake System)

Old Post 11-01-11 03:51 PM
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windycity
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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 1071

Thanks Sawyer

Old Post 11-01-11 03:57 PM
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scofield


Registered: Nov 2009
Posts: 265

please do you know these 2 sportsbook ?

SPORTBET
BETONLINE

is there good or not ?

thx !

Old Post 11-01-11 06:39 PM
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brainick


Registered: Jun 2010
Posts: 271

Best of luck!!




love-sex-music

Old Post 11-01-11 07:01 PM
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jcpicos


Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 14

good luck today !!!

Old Post 11-01-11 07:11 PM
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Mosby


Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 694

GL Sawyer!

Old Post 11-01-11 08:17 PM
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hookem22
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 1887

Playing on back to back nights.

We have had 6 plays that were on the second night of a back to back schedule. In those games we were 1-5. Amazingly all 6 teams won the night before. Then on the next night, they pretty much laid down scoring goals of 0, 0, 1, 1, 2, and 3.

Edmonton on the 28th scored the 3 goal that got the only win. Playing the UNDER in these games would have resulted in a nice 4-1-1 record as well.

Obviously this is only one months worth of stats and DOES NOT warrant any changes. But by not playing those 6 dogs and taking the favorite, going 5-1, that's a pretty nice close to +10 units. Added to the already nice 10 units Sawyer has given to us.

Just something that I will keep tracking going forward. If it holds up each month, then it may be worth adding into the already great system.

Good luck to everyone in November and thanks again Mr Sawyer.




SIMPLE HOME CHASE-RECORDS

2007-After the All-Star Break (39-5) No units kept.
2008-May-August (85-13 +44 Units)
2009-May-August (42-9 +8.29 units)
2009-May-August "AFC" (16-1 +14.50 units)
2010 SHC+AFC (51-11 +21.68 units)
2011 SHC+AFC (31-4 +21.24 units)

Simple Home Chase Filters-Based on the start of the series.
1. Home team is .500 or better at home.
2. Home team is at least 5-5 last 10 games.
3. Visitor is .500 or less on the road.
4. Home team must lose first game.
5. For 4 game sets, home team must lose first 2 games.

*2009 Added Filter-The home team must be the favorite to be a chase. If game 1 of the chase is lost and the home team is a dog for game 2, then the chase is abandoned and we take the one game loss.

*2010 Added Filter-No chase on game 1 if the line is above -250. Not worth the risk.
**2010 No Interleague chases.

Old Post 11-01-11 09:32 PM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

Thank you Hookem. Will be tracking it, sounds interesting.

GL Tonight!




Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 11-01-11 09:35 PM
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fulkgl
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2005
Posts: 2093

oct stats

Here's oct stats. The ve/he for visitor_even and home_even, both lines are negative. Such as -110/-110 or -105/-115.

vf-hd45-54+4.95/-10.09
ve-he9-16-7.73/+5.59
vf-hd17-18-5.50/+4.60

Old Post 11-01-11 09:36 PM
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fulkgl
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2005
Posts: 2093

First line is vd/hf. Sorry for the typo.

Old Post 11-01-11 09:37 PM
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jayhawk7
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2006
Posts: 8650

Scofield

BetOnline is good. Never heard of the other one.

Old Post 11-01-11 10:30 PM
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scofield


Registered: Nov 2009
Posts: 265

@ jayhawks : thx for info !
@ sawyer : thx for your private massage. but i can't answer because you mailbox is full.

Old Post 11-02-11 12:09 AM
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Zac
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 15654

Good luck, bud.

*

Old Post 11-02-11 01:03 AM
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