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Herbshack


Registered: Aug 2010
Posts: 58

You guys might be interested...

Was playing around with dogs this morning. I read somewhere that dogs do well in the first game of a series after winning the game before it. Check this out (it is very similar to Azmat's system, but without temp):

SU: 119-108 (-0.1 rpg) average line: +132 / -144 on / against: +$4,540 / -$5,775 ROI: +20.0% / -17.7%

http://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sid=guest&sort=ON_PL& text=series+game%3D1+and+po%3Apoints%3Cp
%3Apoints+and+0%3Cline+and+to%3Adivision
%3Ddivision+and+month%3D4&submit=query

Just a different approach to April dogs. :-) Today, two teams are showing (it was three but the Dodgers are moving on an off identity); however, the system is hot...not sure who believes in law of averages.

Old Post 04-05-11 05:59 PM
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Duby99
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Registered: Jun 2008
Posts: 2141

Nice find Herb....did u check previous years to see if the results repeat themselves?

Old Post 04-05-11 06:42 PM
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Herbshack


Registered: Aug 2010
Posts: 58

Previous seasons

Yup. If you go on in there and type "and season" it hold up nicely. After April I have a reverse of this. Let's see how these April dogs do. Good stuff Azmat. Thanks.

Old Post 04-05-11 07:08 PM
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Herbshack


Registered: Aug 2010
Posts: 58

Actually...see I only have 18 posts. Someone sent me a link to Azmats doggies. Now I like the statfox boards :P

EDIT: Have a loot at this too:

http://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sid=therber2_772721&sort=ON_PL& text=+series+game%3D1+and+po%3Apoints%3C
p%3Apoints+and+0%3Cline+and+to%3Adivisio
n%3Ddivision+and+month%3D4+and+day&submit=query

I add "and Day" in there and we find out today isn't a very good day just like Saturday isn't a good day for Azmats.

If you notice this one is one win streak at the moment. I'd fade it today if anything. Seems logical that some of these only apply to certain days of the week. I love that.

Old Post 04-05-11 07:11 PM
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mattyp


Registered: May 2010
Posts: 294

Still working on the sheet

I'm having issues getting the weather to match the time. it's weird.. it will match/find certain times, like 12:00, 3:00, 6:00, but not every time... and this is screwing up the gametime temp. If a game starts at 8:00, my spreadsheet won't find a temp. I may just have it take the last temp available, which isn't completely accurate... but at least it will show you what's borderline.

The other issue I'm having is the previous non-shutout requirement. If a team didn't play YESTERDAY, I don't have a result. Anybody know of a site that displays every daily matchup and the teams last result? I can only find yesterday's results easily.

Old Post 04-05-11 07:59 PM
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mattyp


Registered: May 2010
Posts: 294

by the way, I see today's picks as Mets, Astros, and possibly Pittsburgh (gametime temp of 59F is what I see). Is this what everyone else is seeing?

Old Post 04-05-11 08:01 PM
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MACDADDY


Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 256

As of right now, Mets, Astros and Pirates look like plays today. Weather.com has gametime temp of 58 degrees in St. Louis tonight.

Old Post 04-05-11 08:15 PM
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Herbshack


Registered: Aug 2010
Posts: 58

Only got Houston here. Others are too close. Pitt seems closest then SEA

Old Post 04-05-11 08:50 PM
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qs185
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1866

"The other issue I'm having is the previous non-shutout requirement. If a team didn't play YESTERDAY, I don't have a result. Anybody know of a site that displays every daily matchup and the teams last result? I can only find yesterday's results easily."

Go to killersports.com MLB query page

http://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sid=guest

If that link doesn't work, killersports.com
then click on MLB
then click on MLB SDQL query


put this in the query box

date=today and p:runs=0


It will show you a list of teams playing today that were shutout in their last game, no matter when the last games was played (as long as it's the same season).

For example, today it shows SDG even though they didn't play yesterday.

Old Post 04-05-11 09:05 PM
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qs185
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1866

Or, maybe you're looking for something more like the MLB standings page?

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/

It shows the last game for each team, with a date and score.

Old Post 04-05-11 09:23 PM
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mattyp


Registered: May 2010
Posts: 294

Thanks qs

the killersports query should work. I've got it in there now.

I also figured out the weather problem. It was a rounding error (even though the times appeared both the same, say 11:00, they were actually slightly different decimals when converted by excel). Just in case there are any excel geeks out there... :)

Anyway, I should be able to get it done tomorrow.

Old Post 04-05-11 09:45 PM
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bigdadi
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

NYM is play : dime line +175, & temp 50F game time 7:00pm.

Old Post 04-06-11 12:41 AM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

PIT is NOT a play, game time temp in STL will be 61F

Old Post 04-06-11 12:45 AM
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MACDADDY


Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 256

Pitt-STL

Pitt looks like a no go tonight as game time temp is now showing 61 degrees at weather.com

Old Post 04-06-11 12:48 AM
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MACDADDY


Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 256

Sorry about that big dadi. I started typing my post and got distracted with something else. By the time I posted you had already put up your info.

GLTA!

Old Post 04-06-11 12:49 AM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

No problem MCDADDY our common goal is provide info to viewers.

Looks like only 2 plays tonight: NYM, HOU.

Old Post 04-06-11 12:54 AM
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seymoor


Registered: Jan 2004
Posts: 250

Intellicast says 59 degrees at 8:00 pm - who knows?

Old Post 04-06-11 01:57 AM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

Game time ... Time zone 8pm is ET... 7pm local time 60F

Old Post 04-06-11 02:07 AM
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bigdadi
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Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

Tuesday 4/5 1-1 +75

Since 4/3/11 4-2 +379

Old Post 04-06-11 04:51 AM
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Herbshack


Registered: Aug 2010
Posts: 58

Houston Astros under 48 degrees

While you guys are checking temperatures, look out for the Astros playing in a game under 48 degrees. Since 2004 they are 13-3 under the total:

http://killersports.com/mlb.py/query?sid=therber2_391778&sort=ON_PL& text=team%3DAstros+and+playoffs%3D0+and+
temperature%3C%3D48&submit=query

Old Post 04-06-11 07:17 AM
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