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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 4/30

San Diego (14-7) @ Pittsburgh (8-12)
— Manaea is 2-2, 3.86 in his first four starts.
— Padres are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Padres won nine of last 11 games.
— San Diego is 8-3 on road.
— over last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 13-6-2

— Brubaker is 0-2, 8.22 in four starts.
— Pirates are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 0-0, 3.60 in one start vs San Diego.

— Pirates lost five of their last six games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-6 at home.
— eight of last 11 games under
— scored run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-1

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Philadelphia (10-11) @ NY Mets (15-6)
— Gibson is 2-1, 3.47 in four starts.
— Phillies are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 1-3, 4.85 in five starts vs New York.

— Phillies won six of their last nine games.
— Philly is 2-6 on the road- they got no-hit Friday.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-4

— Walker threw 2 scoreless IP in his first start April 11, but got hurt.
— New York is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 0-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-2, 3.15 in seven starts vs Philly.

— Mets are 12-4 in their last 16 games.
— Mets are 6-2 at home.
— under 8-4-1 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-6

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Cubs (8-12) @ Milwaukee (14-7)
— Steele is 0-2, 8.38 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 1-1, 2.76 in five games (3 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
— Cubs are 4-6 on road
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 8-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-1

— Lauer is 1-0, 0.75 in his last two starts.
— Brewers are 3-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
— He is 0-1, 6.75 in four games (3 starts) vs Chicago.

— Brewers won 10 of last 12 games.
— Milwaukee is 6-3 at home.
— under 12-4-2 last 17
— scored run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-5

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Arizona (9-12) @ St Louis (11-8)
— Kelly is 1-1, 1.69 in four starts.
— Arizona is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 1-1, 4.91 in two starts vs St Louis.

— Diamondbacks are 6-4 in last ten games.
— Arizona is 4-5 on road.
— under is 15-6 in their games
— scored run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-7

— Mikolas is 1-0, 1.23 in four starts.
— Cardinals are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He is 1-0, 2.61 in three games (1 start) vs Arizona.

— Cardinals lost four of last six games.
— St Louis is 5-4 at home.
— under 9-6 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-3

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Cincinnati (3-17) @ Colorado (11-9)
— bullpen game

— Reds lost 15 of their last 16 games.
— Cincinnati is 2-10 on road.
— over last four games
— scored run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 4-15-1

— Kuhl is 2-0, 1.10 in three starts.
— Rockies are 3-0 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 2-3, 3.80 in ten games (8 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Colorado lost four of last five games.
— Rockies are 7-4 at home.
— over 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-2

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Washington (7-15) @ San Francisco (13-7)
— Adon is 1-3, 6.98 in four starts.
— Washington is 1-3 in his starts.
— Under is 2-2 in his starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 0-1, 11.25 in one start vs San Francisco.

— Washington lost eight of last nine games.
— Nationals are 4-4 on road.
— under 8-3 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 6-14-2

— Webb is 2-1, 2.96 in his first four starts.
— Giants are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 1-0, 2.79 in two starts vs Washington.

— Giants won six of last nine games.
— San Francisco is 5-4 at home.
— under 12-7-1
— scored run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-3

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Boston (9-12) @ Baltimore (6-14)
— Eovaldi is 1-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He is 7-2, 3.74 in 15 starts vs Baltimore.

— Red Sox lost eight of their last 12 games.
— Boston is 6-8 on road.
— under 11-2-1 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-6

— Watkins is 0-1, 4.85 in his first three starts.
— Orioles are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-3
— He is 0-1, 9.00 in three games (1 start) vs Boston.

— Orioles are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
— Baltimore is 3-4 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 4-12-4

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Houston (11-9) @ Toronto (13-8)
— Garcia is 1-0, 4.60 in his three starts.
— Astros are 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He is 1-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Astros are 5-1 in their last six games.
— Houston is 9-5 on road.
— under 9-4-1 on road
— scored run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-3

— Berrios is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 4-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-2
— He is 3-3, 5.46 in six starts vs Houston.

— Blue Jays are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Toronto is 7-4 at home.
— under 13-8
— scored run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-7

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Angels (14-7) @ White Sox (7-12)
— Suarez is 0-1, 5.54 in his first three starts.
— Angels are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He gave up four runs in 4 IP, in one relief stint vs Chicago.

— Angels won eight of their last ten games.
— Angels are 6-2 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 11-21
— record in first 5 innings: 14-6-2

— Velasquez is 0-2, 7.50 in three starts.
— Chicago is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He threw a scoreless inning in relief against the Angels.

— White Sox lost 10 of last 11 games.
— Chicago is 5-5 at home.
— over 6-4-1 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-1

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Minnesota (11-9) @ Tampa Bay (12-8)
— Archer is 0-0, 3.18 in three starts
— Twins are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 1-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— This is his first game against his old team.

— Minnesota won seven of last eight games.
— Twins are 3-5 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-2

— McClanahan is 1-1, 2.86 in four starts.
— Rays are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 1-0, 3.38 in one start vs Minnesota.

— Tampa Bay won eight of its last 11 games.
— Rays are 9-5 at home.
— under 10-4 at home
— scored run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-3

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New York (14-6) @ Kansas City (7-11)
— Cole is 1-0, 3.79 in four starts.
— New York is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-3
— He is 3-1, 2.41 in five starts vs Kansas City.

— New York is 9-1 in its last ten games.
— New York is 4-3 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 13-2-5

— Hernandez is 0-0, 6.28 in three starts.
— Royals are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
— He is 0-0, 3.12 in two games (1 start) vs New York.

— Kansas City lost 11 of its last 16 games.
— Royals are 5-6 at home.
— under 8-4-1 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-6

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Cleveland (8-12) @ A’s (10-10)
— Bieber is 1-1, 3.27 in four starts.
— Cleveland is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 0-1, 6.00 in one start vs Oakland.

— Guardians are 1-7 on this road trip.
— Cleveland is 1-12 if they score less than six runs.
— Cleveland is 5-9 on road.
— under 3-2 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-5

— Irvin is 2-0, 2.20 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He gave up a run in 0.1 IP, in a relief stint vs Cleveland.

— A’s are 8-7 in their last 15 games.
— Oakland is 4-4 at home.
— under 7-5 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-3

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Seattle (11-9) @ Miami (10-8)
— Ray is 2-1, 3.91 in four starts.
— Mariners are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 4-3, 2.12 in eight starts vs Miami.

— Mariners are 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— Seattle is 4-7 on road.
— under 7-4 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 9-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-2

— Luzardo is 1-1, 4.40 in his first three starts.
— Marlins are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 1-0, 3.09 in four games (1 start) vs Seattle.

— Miami won seven of its last eight games.
— Marlins are 5-3 at home.
— under seven of last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4

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Atlanta (10-11) @ Texas (6-14)
— Elder is 1-2, 4.30 in his three starts.
— Braves are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Braves are 6-9 in last 15 games.
— Atlanta is 4-4 on road.
— under 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-1

— Dunning is 0-1, 4.91 in four starts.
— Rangers are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Rangers lost their last four games.
— Texas is 2-9 at home.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 1-20
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-5

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Detroit (6-13) @ Los Angeles (13-6)
— Brieske allowed three runs in 5 IP (73 PT) in his first MLB start.
— Detroit is 0-1 in his starts
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Tigers are 2-9 in last 11 games.
— Detroit is 2-5 on road.
— under 11-5 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 3-13-3

— Kershaw is 3-0, 2.65 in three starts.
— Dodgers are 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He threw 13 scoreless IP in two starts vs Detroit.

— Dodgers won 12 of last 16 games.
— Los Angeles is 7-1 at home.
— under 8-1 last nine
— scored run in first inning: 8-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-4

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Saturday, 04/30/2022 (903) WASHINGTON vs. (904) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -200 or more (SAN FRANCISCO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs
(25-14 since 1997.) (64.1%, +39.3 units. Rating=6*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 04/30/2022 (929) DETROIT vs. (930) LA DODGERS
Favoring: LA DODGERS on the money line.
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing
(84-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (92.3%, +66.1 units. Rating=6*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

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Saturday, 04/30/2022 (925) SEATTLE vs. (926) MIAMI
Favoring: SEATTLE on the money line.
SEATTLE is 55-40 (+36.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SEATTLE 4.4, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 04/30/2022 (903) WASHINGTON vs. (904) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-9 (+24.2 Units) against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 4*)

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Saturday, 04/30/2022 (923) NY YANKEES vs. (924) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: Over on the total.
NY YANKEES are 11-0 OVER (+11.1 Units) after a win by 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 7.1, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 04/30/2022 (929) DETROIT vs. (930) LA DODGERS
Favoring: Under on the total.
DETROIT is 42-16 UNDER (+24.7 Units) against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 4.2, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 3*)

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Weather: Rain threatens a few games today, as the Diamondbacks and Cardinals may have a lengthy delay at the start. Weather is also a factor in Chicago, where it is up into the 60s. Maybe we’re putting the cold weather in the rearview as the calendar flips to May tomorrow.

Winds will be blowing in at a very stiff clip if the Angels and White Sox get the game in. Notable winds will be blowing out for Yankees/Royals and especially Nationals/Giants.

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Diamondbacks at Cardinals (-150, 7): It’s Merrill Kelly Day and he and his Diamondbacks teammates have garnered some favor in the betting markets. We’ve seen upwards of a 20-cent line move here. A big part of that does have to do with Nolan Arenado’s suspension. Both guys are regression candidates to a degree with Miles Mikolas holding a 1.21 ERA and Kelly running a 1.69 mark.

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