Bournemouth......L

Coming into the season, not may people would have thought Burnley and Arsenal would be close to each other in the table after the first few matches. But 12 games in and the two are equal on points with the Gunners ahead only on goal difference making this a very interesting matchup.

Burnley have been this season’s surprise team grabbing 22 points from 12 matches and losing only twice. They have done very well without changing the way they play or scoring a lot. They’ve won 22 points while only scoring 12 goals. Sam Vokes and Chris Wood have scored three goals each, but outside of them they have struggled to get consistent goal scoring. Despite the lack of scoring, Burnley have been hugely successful to start the season and will hope that continues against the Gunners.

Arsenal have had an up and down season, but find themselves on a high after a 2-0 win over rivals Tottenham Hotspur. The Gunners put in a convincing 2-0 win over their North London rivals and silenced a few of their critics in the process. They find themselves just four points off second place and well in contention for the Champions League spots. They did struggle at Turf Moor last season though, scraping out a 1-0 win through a questionable goal from Laurent Koscielny.

TEAM NEWS

Chris Wood is a doubt for the match with hamstring tightness, according to Physioroom.com. They are expected to be without the trio of Dean Marney, Jonathan Walters, and Tom Heaton, according to Physioroom.com.

PREDICTION

Burnley have been really strong this season and Arsenal have been really poor away from home for the entirety of 2017. That said, it’s still hard to see Burnley scoring more than one goal and keeping the ever-dangerous Arsenal attack totally quiet, so a draw seems a good possibility for this one.

Prediction: 1-1 Draw

Two-thirds of the Serie A season remain, but the gap between the top six and the rest of the table already looks too big to close. Two of the chasing pack, AC Milan and Torino, meet in the highlight fixture for this weekend. Their season might be over, but is there value in the AC Milan vs. Torino odds?

Despite only being 13 games into a 38 game season, a place in the top four (let alone winning the league) seems an insurmountable task for AC Milan and Torino. Torino wouldn’t have had high expectations for this year after a ninth-placed finish in 2016/17 but after a net spend of €178.3m in the summer, AC Milan will certainly be disappointed with their start.

It should be said that all six of AC Milan’s losses this season have been to the teams directly above them in the table (Sampdoria, Lazio, Roma, Juventus, Inter Milan and Napoli). However, if I Rossoneri have aspirations of winning their first league title since 2010/11, those are exactly the kind of games they need to be winning.

Torino, on the other hand, will be pleased with the fact that they have only lost three of their opening 13 games this season. That said, they will have been disappointed with draws at Verona and Crotone, missing out on four points that would put them to within touching distance of Sampdoria in sixth.

Although not losing games will please Torino’s manager Sinisa Mihajlovic, the number of draws will be cause for concern. No Serie A side has drawn as many games as I Granata this season (six) and only two teams in Europe’s top five leagues have more draws (Wolfsburg and Angers, both eight).

AC Milan are at the opposite end of the spectrum with only one draw from 13 games. Four of their six defeats have been wider than a single goal margin, highlighting that Vincenzo Montella doesn’t play safe once his side are behind (leaving more space at the back and leaving them susceptible to conceding more).

AC Milan’s short price ahead of this weekend’s fixture is understandable given Torino’s struggles on the road of late (they haven’t won in their last four games away from home). However, a closer look at the stats clarify why bettors might have so much confidence in AC Milan.
I Rossoneri have dominated games this season with an average of 55.2% possession (the third highest in the league) and an average pass success rate of 85.4% (again, third highest in the league). While their 16.3 shots per game is impressive, over half of those (8.8) have been taken from outside the box.

Although the majority of their shots are taken from distance, AC Milan still have a deficit of 2.67 in terms of their expected goals this season, showing that their dominance in games has created good goal-scoring opportunities that haven’t been converted - they have also conceded 6 more goals than their expected goals stats suggest.

An analysis of past performances shows that AC Milan’s newly assembled squad may be doing better than the bare form suggests. If bettors look beyond previous results, both the AC Milan -1 handicap (2.350*) and over 2.5 and 3 goals (1.877) will be a popular choice.

if you do one today, include Southhampton

looked like a goal i would score on

let's go AC Milan/Torino

keep the peddle to the floor Southhampton

thanks for the winner !!!