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msudogs
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Tony Finau 45/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 6/6
Best Career Finish: T-5th (2019)
Top 5s: 1
Top 10s: 3
Top 20s: 3

Tony Finau is making his seventh Masters appearance. He has made the cut in each of his six appearances at Augusta National, including top-10 finishes in 2018, 2019 and 2021. Thus far in 2024, he finished runner-up in Houston, T-6 in San Diego in January and T-13 in the Mexico Open in February in defense of his 2023 title there. After starting 2023 with top 25s in each of his first eight worldwide starts, he won the Mexico Open for his sixth career PGA TOUR win. After an over five-year winless drought from March 2016 – August 2021, Finau has won five times on the PGA TOUR in the past three years. Finau’s approach game has been terrific in 2024, but his putting has been dreadful and the main culprit for only having one Top 10 in eight starts this season. He rarely seems to have all facets of his game on point at the same time. Either his ball striking is great while his short game is poor, or his short game is firing, and his ball striking is suffering. While his win equity on the TOUR has improved, he has not finished in the Top 10 at a major championship since the 2021 PGA Championship.

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Matt Fitzpatrick 40/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 9/8
Best Career Finish: T-7th (2016)
Top 5s: 0
Top 10s: 2
Top 20s: 3

Matt Fitzpatrick is making his 10th Masters appearance. He has finished inside the Top 15 in each of the past two years at Augusta National. In 2023, he celebrated emotional wins with his family in Hilton Head Island (RBC Heritage) and St Andrews, where the Englishman won the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and the pro-am portion of the event with his mother, Susan. In 2022, he won the US Open at The Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts, the same course where he won the 2013 U.S. Amateur. On the other hand, he has been slow to start in 2024, largely due to poor ball striking, which is typically one of his strengths, especially with the added distance off the tee. Having only made four of seven cuts this year, Fitzpatrick finally showed some signs of life at THE PLAYERS with a Top 5 finish. He is always a solid putter, but he has not exactly been flushing it with the irons.

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Tommy Fleetwood 50/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 7/6
Best Career Finish: T-14th (2022)
Top 5s: 0
Top 10s: 0
Top 20s: 3

Tommy Fleetwood is making his eighth Masters appearance. He has finished inside the Top 20 in three of the past six years at Augusta National. After a worldwide winless drought of over a full calendar year, Fleetwood won the DP World Tour’s Dubai Invitational in January. In 2023, he finished runner-up in both the Canadian Open and the DP World Tour’s season-ending event in Dubai, recorded Top 10s in both the US Open and The Open, qualified for the Tour Championship at East Lake for the third time and secured the clinching point for Europe in the Ryder Cup in Italy. The black mark on Fleetwood’s record though is that, while he has seven DP World Tour victories, he has never won on the PGA TOUR. The Southport, England native has seven Top 10s in major championships, including runner-up performances in the 2018 US Open and 2019 Open. If he is going to have contending major championship performances like those, he will have to, like his fellow Englishman Fitzpatrick, improve on his approach play.

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Rickie Fowler 80/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 10/9
Best Career Finish: 2nd (2018)
Top 5s: 2
Top 10s: 3
Top 20s: 5

Rickie Fowler is making his 11th Masters appearance and returns to Augusta National for the first time since 2020. He earned the return trip by winning the Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit back in July to earn his sixth career PGA TOUR win and end a four-year winless drought. Fowler has a very good record here with Top 12s in five of his past seven starts at Augusta National, including runner-up to Patrick Reed in 2018. Also, in 2023, he was in the final group at the US Open at the Los Angeles Country Club before setting for a T-5 finish. Unfortunately for Fowler, he has not been able to continue these good showings in 2024. His best finish this season is a T-35 at the Genesis Invitational in a 70-player field. Fowler has lost strokes off the tee and on approach in every event he has played this season. Jack Nicklaus famously said, “Augusta is where you bring your game, not where you find your game.” Rickie is still searching for it right now.

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Sergio Garcia 150/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 24/15
Best Career Finish: 1st (2017)
Top 5s: 2
Top 10s: 4
Top 20s: 6

Sergio Garcia is making his 25th Masters appearance 25 years after his Augusta National debut in 1999 when he was the Low Amateur (T-38) on the same day that fellow Spaniard Jose Maria Olazabal won the second of his two Masters titles. In 2017, Garcia earned a Masters title of his own, defeating Justin Rose in a playoff to follow Seve Ballesteros and Olazabal as Masters champions representing Spain. Like Jon Rahm in 2023, Garcia won on what would have been Ballesteros’ birthday on April 9. Garcia is one of seven Low Amateurs to go on to win the Masters with Cary Middlecoff, Jack Nicklaus, Ben Crenshaw, Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson and Hideki Matsuyama. Garcia has missed the cut in four of his last five trips to Augusta. Occasionally, he contends in a LIV Golf event as he did in the season opener at Mayakoba, where he was the runner-up, losing in a playoff to Joaquin Niemann. He is still one of the better pure drivers of the golf ball in the world, but at age 44, his best days are likely behind him, even though he still competes hard.

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Brian Harman 55/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 5/2
Best Career Finish: T-12th (2021)
Top 5s: 0
Top 10s: 0
Top 20s: 1

Brian Harman is making his sixth Masters appearance, but his first one as a major champion, having won The Open Championship at Royal Liverpool last summer by six strokes. That was Harman’s first win since the Wells Fargo Championship in May 2017. Harman has yet to follow up on last summer’s career triumph but did finish runner-up a few weeks ago at THE PLAYERS Championship. The left-hander is not a long hitter off the tee but is one of the more accurate ones in the game. As we saw last summer in Liverpool, Harman has an outstanding short game, and he is going to have to lean on the flat stick as he will be one of the shorter hitters in the field.

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Tyrrell Hatton 65/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 7/5
Best Career Finish: T-18th (2021)
Top 5s: 0
Top 10s: 0
Top 20s: 1

Tyrrell Hatton is making his eighth Masters appearance courtesy of qualifying for the Tour Championship at East Lake for the second time. In 2023, he finished runner-up at both THE PLAYERS Championship and BMW PGA Championship, flagship events on both the PGA TOUR and DP World Tour, respectively. Nevertheless, he is no longer playing on either tour, as he joined LIV Golf this past January. Hatton has played solidly in four LIV starts but only one Top 10 finish thus far. He went 3-0-1 last fall for the victorious European Ryder Cup team and has seven worldwide victories, including at the PGA TOUR’s Arnold Palmer Invitational (2020) and six DP World Tour wins (most recently in 2021). He is certainly the type of player who can get it rolling at any time, but it can get rolling the other way, as his temper can oftentimes get the best of him.

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Viktor Hovland 20/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 4/4
Best Career Finish: T-7th (2023)
Top 5s: 1
Top 10s: 1
Top 20s: 1

Viktor Hovland is making his fifth Masters appearance. He earned Low Amateur honors in 2019 as Norway’s first Masters participant and has yet to miss a cut at Augusta National. The Norwegian posted his best career finish at Augusta last year with a T-7. He won three times in 2023, with victories in the Memorial Tournament and consecutive FedEx playoff events in Chicago and Atlanta en route to winning the FedEx Cup. Also last year, he finished runner-up in the PGA Championship at Oak Hill, and recorded Top 20s in both the US Open and The Open and went 3-1-1 for the winning European team in the Ryder Cup. Hovland has not been able to carry over his hot 2023 to the current year largely due to some recent swing changes plus his poor game around the green, which has always been his weakness. He only has one Top 20 finish in five starts to date in 2024. However, he has the game to win multiple major championships, as his ball-striking game (particularly off the tee) is still one of the world’s best. If the price drifts upward a bit, he could be a buy-low player.

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Dustin Johnson 35/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 13/11
Best Career Finish: 1st (2020)
Top 5s: 3
Top 10s: 5
Top 20s: 7

Dustin Johnson is making his 14th Masters appearance. Has Top 12 finishes in six of his past eight starts at Augusta National. In 2020, he set a new Masters Tournament record with his 20-under-par score of 268 to win by five strokes over Sungjae Im and Cameron Smith. The performance secured him his second major title to go with his victory in the 2016 US Open at Oakmont Country Club. He was the pre-tournament favorite at the 2017 Masters before having to withdraw from the event due to a mysterious back injury. DJ was a Top 10 ranked player in the OWGR before he left for LIV Golf in 2022. He now ranks No. 316 since LIV is not officially recognized by the OWGR. While he has not been consistently at his peak, DJ has won at least once in each of the three seasons that LIV has been in existence, including earlier this year in Las Vegas. He has been in the Top 10 in 13 of his 25 career LIV events, but it is still tough to get a gauge on DJ. The talent is still there, but the motivation is arguably not. Nonetheless, he must be considered a potential contender.

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Brooks Koepka 20/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 8/6
Best Career Finish: T-2nd (2019 & 2023)
Top 5s: 2
Top 10s: 3
Top 20s: 4

Brooks Koepka is making his ninth Masters appearance. He led for most of last year’s Masters before finishing runner-up at Augusta National for the second time. Koepka has Top 12s in four of his past six Masters starts. Just one month after the runner-up finish at Augusta, he won the PGA Championship at Oak Hill by two strokes over Viktor Hovland and Scottie Scheffler for his third PGA Championship and fifth major championship victory. Koepka joined Gene Sarazen and Sam Snead as three-time PGA champions and Byron Nelson, Peter Thomson, and Seve Ballesteros as five-time major champions. He has not shown much early on in 2024, with just one Top 10 finish in four LIV events after winning the 2023 season finale in Jeddah. The 20/1 price looks a bit short with not a great deal of incoming form exactly jumping off the page, but it is Brooks Koepka in a major championship, and bettors that want to back him always must pay the discount in majors — especially at Augusta National, where he has that extra motivation for perhaps letting one get away last year.

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Shane Lowry 40/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 8/5
Best Career Finish: T-3rd (2022)
Top 5s: 1
Top 10s: 1
Top 20s: 2

Shane Lowry is making his ninth Masters appearance. Has Top 25s in each of the past four years at Augusta National after missing the cut in three of his first four appearances. He had a very strong March, finishing T-4 at the Cognizant Classic in Palm Beach Gardens and third at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando. Lowry also finished Top 20 at THE PLAYERS Championship and took a quick trip to Singapore, where he finished T-29 but was on the first page of the leaderboard before a bad final few holes on the back nine. The 2019 Open champion at Royal Portrush has Top 4 finishes in all four majors. The Irishman ranks in the Top 10 for Strokes Gained: Approach over the last 24 rounds, but the putter can be shaky.

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Hideki Matsuyama 40/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 12/11
Best Career Finish: 1st (2021)
Top 5s: 2
Top 10s: 3
Top 20s: 8

Hideki Matsuyama is making his 13th Masters appearance. He has Top 20s in eight of the past nine years at Augusta National. When he won his Green Jacket in 2021, he became Japan’s first male major champion and strengthened a connection to the Masters that already included two Asia-Pacific Amateur Championship victories in 2010 and 2011 and the Silver Cup as Low Amateur at Augusta National in 2011. He is one of seven Low Amateurs to go on to win the Masters with Cary Middlecoff, Jack Nicklaus, Ben Crenshaw, Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson and Sergio Garcia. Matsuyama has Top 6 finishes in all four majors, including runner-up in the 2017 US Open at Erin Hills in Wisconsin. He shot a 62 for Sunday’s final round in Los Angeles at the Genesis Invitational in February for his first victory in over two years and finished T-6 at THE PLAYERS Championship in March. Matsuyama is always on “team no putt” as he can really struggle with the flat stick, but his approach game, and especially his game around the greens, has been top-notch over the last several months. He always seems to fly under the radar at Augusta, but perhaps no longer with his form and getting back in the winner’s circle earlier this year.

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Rory McIlroy 10/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 15/12
Best Career Finish: 2nd (2022)
Top 5s: 4
Top 10s: 7
Top 20s: 9

Since the 2015 Masters, we have been asking the same thing regarding Rory McIlroy. Is this the year that he completes the Career Grand Slam? It is hard to believe that McIlroy last won a major championship in the 2014 PGA Championship at Valhalla. It is not like his game has fallen off a cliff. Since his last major championship, McIlroy has 10 Top 5s and 20 Top 10s in majors from 2015-2023. That is finishing in the Top 10 in 20 of 26 total majors played in that span. While in that same span, McIlroy has won 20 times worldwide, but Rory knows that he will be judged by majors. As he makes his 16th Masters appearance, it certainly weighs on McIlroy that he is one Masters win away from joining Gene Sarazen, Ben Hogan, Gary Player, Jack Nicklaus, and Tiger Woods as winners of the career Grand Slam. He has top 10s in seven of the past 10 years at Augusta National, so he must be wondering when it is finally his turn. The weight of being the game of golf’s conscience has certainly had to take its toll as well with the current divisions within the sport, and he resigned from the PGA TOUR’s policy board last November. As for on the course, McIlroy defended his title in the Dubai Desert Classic on the DP World Tour in January but has not finished near contention in any of his PGA TOUR events for 2024. Is this because of a problem with his game? Perhaps, but he is still arguably the best driver of the golf ball in the world. The approach shots certainly could be better, but it might be just a question of focus. Rory has joked about retirement if and when he finally completes the Grand Slam. Winning the elusive green jacket is his first, second, and third priority. He always has a chance, but he’s also had the same chance for the last nine years.

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Phil Mickelson 150/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 30/27
Best Career Finish: 1st (2004, 2006, 2010)
Top 5s: 12
Top 10s: 16
Top 20s: 18

In what was his 30th career appearance last year at Augusta National, Phil Mickelson showed that he still had some Augusta magic, starting the day 10 shots off the lead and then proceeding to shoot 65 on Sunday to finish T-2, which set records for both the lowest round and the highest finish by a player 50 and older in Masters history. The World Golf Hall of Fame member is one of eight to win at least three Masters and one of three with Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods to finish inside the top five at least 12 times at Augusta National. In May 2021, at the age of 50, Mickelson won the PGA Championship at Kiawah Island in South Carolina to become the oldest player to win a major. While he is not too far removed from success in major championships, it seems like Father Time might be starting to catch up with Phil. Mickelson has just two Top 10s in 17 LIV events in 2023-24 and has finished below 40th (in mostly 48-player fields) in seven of those 17 events. As polarizing of a figure as he has become in the game, even his biggest critics must acknowledge that Phil is one of the game’s all-time great players. Because it is Phil at Augusta, he will receive some action at the betting window, and this may be the only place where he is potentially worth a pizza money wager, but he is two months away from turning 54. Can he turn back the clock one more time?

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Collin Morikawa 35/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 4/4
Best Career Finish: 5th (2022)
Top 5s: 1
Top 10s: 2
Top 20s: 3

Collin Morikawa is making his fifth Masters appearance. He has made the cut in each of his four appearances at Augusta National, including Top 10 finishes in 2022 and 2023. Last year, the 2020 PGA and 2021 Open champion won in Japan for his sixth career PGA TOUR victory and recorded runner-up finishes in Maui and Detroit. His win at the ZOZO Championship in Japan broke an over 27-month winless drought. After opening the season with a Top 5 in Maui, Morikawa has not done much of note in 2024, largely due to poor putting, where he has lost strokes in six of his last eight measured events. He is one of the best iron players in the world and learned how to play his preferred fade shot off the tee here last year, but recent form has drifted his price upwards.

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Joaquin Niemann 22/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 4/3
Best Career Finish: T-16th (2023)
Top 5s: 0
Top 10s: 0
Top 20s: 1

Joaquin Niemann is making his fifth Masters appearance. He finished T-16 last year for his best finish at Augusta National and his best major-championship performance. The man from Chile made his Masters debut in 2018 as both the reigning Latin America Amateur champion and the top-ranked amateur in the world. Niemann is in the Masters via a special invitation sent by the Augusta National Golf Club, as he was not eligible under any of the set criteria. He finished T-4 in Dubai on the DP World Tour in January and third in Oman in an International Series event on the Asian Tour in February. Late last year, he finished fifth in the Australian PGA Championship and then won the Australian Open. Niemann has continued his winning ways in 2024 with two victories in the first four LIV events having defeated his mentor Sergio Garcia in a playoff at Mayakoba down in Mexico and then winning one month later in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. He has won three times in less than five months, which has slashed his price. After winning that playoff in Mayakoba, Niemann mentioned that he was not in any of the majors and still is not, so he has a high urgency to perform.

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Jon Rahm 12/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 7/7
Best Career Finish: 1st (2023)
Top 5s: 3
Top 10s: 5
Top 20s: 5

Jon Rahm is making his eighth Masters appearance. He is the defending champion, winning the 2023 Masters by four strokes over Brooks Koepka and Phil Mickelson for his second major championship victory (2021 US Open). “Rahmbo” joined Seve Ballesteros, Jose Maria Olazabal and Sergio Garcia as Spaniards to win the Green Jacket. The win carried even more special significance for Rahm as he won 40 years after Ballesteros won his second Masters on what would have been Seve’s 66th birthday. Rahm was also the first champion since Sam Snead in 1952 to start his first round with a double bogey and then go on to win. In December, Rahm joined LIV Golf, where he reportedly received $500 million to leave the PGA TOUR. As the still OWGR No. 3 player in the world, Rahm is the clear best player in LIV Golf, and he is the betting favorite on that tour at every single event. However, he is 0-for-4 thus far this season for victories. On the other hand, he is not playing poorly and has finished 8th or better in each of those four events. At just 29 years old, he is still well into his playing prime and is a justified shorter price to defend his Masters title.

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Justin Rose 80/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 18/16
Best Career Finish: 2nd (2017), T-2nd (2015)
Top 5s: 3
Top 10s: 6
Top 20s: 11

Justin Rose is making his 19th Masters appearance. He is twice the runner-up here and has Top 25 finishes in 14 of his 18 starts at Augusta National, including 11 of the past 13 years. His best finish of 2024 is a T-11 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February in defense of his 2023 victory there. Rose ended a four-year winless drought last season, and his strong comeback in 2023 got him into the OWGR Top 50 to earn a return to Augusta this year. The 2013 US Open champion and 2016 Olympic gold medalist no longer has the luxury of those feats giving him exemptions into major championships, so he must maintain that world ranking or win again. The 43-year-old has not come close in 2024 due to abysmal ball striking both off the tee and on approach.

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Cameron Smith 28/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 7/7
Best Career Finish: T-2nd (2020)
Top 5s: 3
Top 10s: 4
Top 20s: 4

Australian Cameron Smith is making his eighth Masters appearance. He has Top 10s in four of the past six years at Augusta National, including a runner-up finish in 2020 when he became the first in Masters history to record four rounds in the 60s in a single Tournament. In 2022, he played with Scottie Scheffler in the final pairing on Sunday before finishing T-3. Last year, he finished T-9 in the PGA Championship at Oak Hill and fourth in the US Open at The Los Angeles Country Club. In 2022, he won both The 150th Open at St Andrews and THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. After the win at St. Andrews, he elected to move to LIV Golf, where he has won three times in the last two seasons. Smith was the runner-up in early March at LIV Hong Kong. He is a wizard with his short game and currently leads LIV Golf in putting. That short game can often overcome the fact that he can hit it all over the place off the tee.

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Jordan Spieth 20/1

Total Appearances/Cuts Made: 10/9
Best Career Finish: 1st (2015)
Top 5s: 6
Top 10s: 6
Top 20s: 7

Jordan Spieth is making his 11th Masters appearance. He has top-four finishes in six of his 10 starts at Augusta National. In 2015, he won the Masters by four strokes over Phil Mickelson and Justin Rose in wire-to-wire fashion with a then-record-tying score of 18-under-par 270. Spieth joined Tiger Woods as the only champions to win their Green Jacket at 21. He would go on to win the US Open at Chambers Bay in 2015 and The Open at Royal Birkdale in 2017. It has been almost two years since Spieth last tallied a victory (2022 RBC Heritage). Spieth, like many of his rounds, has a lot of ups and downs and high variance. For instance, just look at the early part of the 2024 season. He finished third at Maui in January and T-6 at Phoenix in February to start the season. He also signed an incorrect scorecard at the Genesis Invitational that got him DQ’d. Then, he missed the cut at both THE PLAYERS and at the Valspar. Spieth is still solid with the putter but has been bad with his approach shots thus far this season. Nevertheless, his record at Augusta speaks for itself and it would be foolish to dismiss his chances.

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