Should see some nice price horses this weekend.

For what it's worth...

Friday

Churchill Downs

Race 1

ML chalk will have little value. Looking hard at the #7. Long layoff, but has the hottest Jock with Rosie. She has a good shot at history in the derby. She won 3 of her 4 mounts today and is becoming at top pace rider.

#7 Brazen Persuasion 3/1**

Race 2 (Maiden)

#3 Call to Action 3/1*

Race 3

#10 Elaine Kowaleski 3/1*

Race 4

Jockey change is strong
#2 Song to You 4/1**

#7 Hesinfront 12/1
#10 Upkeep 10/1

Race 5

#3 Unlimited Budget 2/1***

Race 6

Long layoff will add value
#3 Stormofthecentury 5/1*

#8 Sum of the Parts 3/1

Race 7

#2 Southern Honey 5/2**
#6 Annoy 12/1

Race 8

Some decent competition, but if the horse ships well it will win going away.
#10 She's a Tiger 5/2**

Race 9

#4 Candy Kitty 5/2**

Race #10

#2 Will Take Charge 4/5 (Best Bet)

Race 11

13 / 2,3,4

Oaks / Derby Double

13 w/ 1,2,6,9,10****
2,3,4 w/ 1,2,6,9,10

Race 12 (Maiden)

#10 Dream of Bertie 5/1

Thanks for sharing Bromoe! Was wondering if anyone would have some good picks for the Oaks. Glad you posted!

Good luck buddy

The way the track is running today at Churchill, unless Rosie falls off Untapable in the OAKS, she will win with ease. Top Jocks (Borel, Stevens and Smith) are getting action, but this is a one horse race. Current odds of 8/5 is a gift.

OAKS

Untapable (7/5 or better) $200 Win
$20 EX Key 13 / 2-4,11
$20 EX Box (2,3,4) / 11
$2 TRI Box (2-4,13) / 11

$20 OAKS & DERBY Double Key
13 / 1,2,6,9,10

$6 (2-4,11,13) (1,2,6,9,10)

Peace and Good Luck

Tailing you on Untapable. Was a little concerned about her being on the outside, but I think Rosie will get a good ride and win the Oaks. Thanks for the nudge Bromoe. Let's cash!!

Saturday Churchill Card

Race 1

#2 Upkeep* was to run on Friday I liked the horse yesterday and nothing changed. Borel will be flying on the 8.

2-6-8

Race 2

7-8-5

Race 3

Maiden Race with no value

Race 4

3-10-2


Race 5

Wide open race and a good spot to take a look at some longer price horses.

11-9-7

Race 6

#9 Centre Court (Best Bet)

9/1,2,6 (1,2,6,9)

Race 7

8 / 6,5,4

Race 8

3-5-7

Race 9

This race should produce a nice price. I'm boxing the two horses I like with two longer priced ponies.

#11 Shake It Up 7/2
#4 Sahara Sky 4/1
#2 Clearly Now 6/1
#9 Central Banker 8/1

Race 10

#1 Wise Dan (Best Bet)

1 / 4,10

Race 11

Vicar's in Trouble 30/1
California Chrome 5/2
We Miss Artie 50/1
Chitu 20/1

Race 12

3 - 6 - 7

Race 13 (Maiden)

10-5-4

Today's Scratches & Program Changes


TODAY'S SCRATCHES & PROGRAM CHANGES

Churchill Downs

Last Updated: May 3, 9:39 AM ET



Current Track Conditions:

Dirt: Fast

Turf: Firm
Scheduled First Post: 10:30 AM ET




Race: 2 Changes Time Posted
#2 Ship to Shore Scratched - Reason Unavailable 9:01 AM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Trainer 9:39 AM ET

Race: 5 Changes Time Posted
#10 Bitters 'n Bourbon Jockey - Mike E. Smith changed to Ricardo Santana, Jr. 9:35 AM ET

Race: 7 Changes Time Posted
#2 Heart Stealer Scratched - Reason Unavailable 9:01 AM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Trainer 9:39 AM ET
#4 Saturday Nthe Park Scratched - Reason Unavailable 9:01 AM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Trainer 9:39 AM ET

Race: 8 Changes Time Posted
#7 Big Bazinga Scratched - Reason Unavailable 9:01 AM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Trainer 9:39 AM ET

Race: 11 Changes Time Posted
#11 Hoppertunity Scratched - Reason Unavailable 5:57 AM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Trainer 9:39 AM ET
#21 Pablo Del Monte Scratched - Reason Unavailable 5:57 AM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Trainer 9:39 AM ET

Race: 12 Changes Time Posted
#4 Vanity Feature Scratched - Reason Unavailable 9:01 AM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Trainer 9:39 AM ET

Cant post changes since I'm in a two day handicapping tourney . After day one Im sitting 67th out of 231 entries. Need some luck today to cash. Derby should be a big price winner today. Good Luck and Peace.

Who u like in derby thanks

I will post pick before post... you can see the horses Im looking at in post above Good Luck.

Speed has been holding, so the chalk is the one to beat but @ 2/1 it's not worth the investment. Also I've been asked about Wicked Strong and even though the horse is off a great effort, it could bounce off the speed figure, also horses off the wood haven't fared well in the derby and it's getting a ton off blind backing. At 6/1 it offers little value.

I'm keying and boxing these:

Vicar's In Trouble
California Chrome
We Miss Artie
Chitu


I also have these Plus Dancing with Fate in the OAKS DERBY double.

Good Luck

Thanks for sharing your work and nicely done sir.