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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 4/27

St Louis (12-14) @ NY Mets (13-12)
— Gray is 2-1, 1.04 in three starts.
— St Louis is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 3-0, 2.60 in three starts vs New York.

— Cardinals are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— They’re 7-7 on road.
— under 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 6-16-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3.1

— Houser is 0-2, 7.45 in four starts.
— New York is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 5-6, 3.07 in 13 starts vs St Louis.

— New York is 1-4 in its last five games.
— Mets are 6-7 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-3.1

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Washington (11-14) @ Miami (6-21)
— Parker is 2-0, 1.50 in two starts.
— Washington is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Nationals lost three of last four games.
— They’re 7-6 on road.
— under 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-13-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-4

— Cabrera is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts.
— Miami is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 2-1, 3.86 in four starts vs Washington.

— Marlins lost seven of their last nine games.
— Miami is 2-12 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-27
— record in first 5 innings: 11-14-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-x-6

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Philadelphia (17-10) @ San Diego (14-15)
— Suarez is 4-0, 0.64 in his last four starts.
— He has a 25-inning scoreless streak.
— Philly is 5-0 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 2-0, 2.65 in 5 games (2 starts) vs San Diego.

— Phillies are 12-4 in their last 16 games.
— Phillies are 7-4 on road.
— under 16-6 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-27
— record in first 5 innings: 17-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-1

— Cease is 3-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Philadelphia.

— Padres are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— They’re 6-9 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 11-29
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.1-5.1

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Pittsburgh (13-14) @ San Francisco (13-14)
— Perez is 0-1, 4.08 in his last three starts.
— Pittsburgh is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts vs San Francisco

— Pirates are 4-12 in their last 16 games.
— They’re 5-8 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-4-2

— Hicks is 2-0, 1.93 in his first five starts.
— San Francisco is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He is 1-3, 4.91 in 19 relief stints vs Pittsburgh (18.1 IP).

— Giants are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— They’re 8-6 at home.
— under 10-4 at home
— scored run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 9-14-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-x-3

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Kansas City (17-10) @ Detroit (14-12)
— Singer is 2-1, 2.76 in his five starts.
— Kansas City is 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 6-1, 3.41 in 12 starts vs Detroit.

— Royals won their last four games.
— Royals are 5-5 on road.
— under 14-4 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 14-7-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-x-2

— Mize is 1-0, 2.91 in four starts.
— Detroit is 4-0 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 2-1, 4.71 in seven starts vs Kansas City.

— Detroit is 4-3 in its last seven games.
— Tigers are 4-8 at home.
— under 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 9-13-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-2

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Oakland (11-16) @ Baltimore (16-9)
— Sears is 1-0, 0.52 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 2-2, 5.14 in four starts vs Baltimore.

— A’s are 3-2 in their last five games.
— They scored 3 or fewer runs in all five games.
— Oakland is 7-7 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-27
— record in first 5 innings: 9-17-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-4.1

— Irvin is 1-1, 4.64 in four starts.
— Baltimore is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 0-0, 7.00 in two starts vs Oakland.
— He pitched for the A’s in 2021-22.

— Baltimore is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
— Orioles are 8-5 at home.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 13-10-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-4

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Tampa Bay (13-14) @ White Sox (4-22)
— Civale is 1-1, 6.32 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 5-3, 4.21 in ten starts vs Chicago.

— Tampa Bay is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Rays are 5-5 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-2

— Cannon is 0-1, 7.27 in two starts.
— Chicago is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— White Sox lost 22 of first 26 games.
— Chicago is 3-9 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 8-14-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

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Minnesota (12-13) @ LA Angels (10-16)
— Paddack is 1-1, 5.49 in four starts.
— Minnesota is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— This is his first start vs Anaheim.

— Twins are 6-1 in their last seven games.
— They’re 6-7 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 9-14-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-1.2

— Soriano is 0-2, 4.80 in three starts.
— Angels are 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— This is his first start vs Minnesota.

— Angels are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
— They’re 3-7 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 8-16-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3.1

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Los Angeles (17-11) @ Toronto (13-14)
— Glasnow is 4-1, 2.92 in his six starts.
— Dodgers are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 0-4, 6.86 in nine starts vs Toronto.

— Dodgers won their last five games.
— Dodgers are 8-3 on road.
— over 7-4 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 13-28
— record in first 5 innings: 16-11-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

— Kikuchi is 2-0, 1.52 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 1-1, 4.76 in three starts vs Los Angeles.

— Toronto lost its last four games.
— Blue Jays are 6-4 at home.
— under 10-6 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-6.1

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Cubs (17-9) @ Boston (14-13)
— Brown is 1-0, 0.64 in five games (2 starts).
— Chicago is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Cubs won 10 of their last 13 games.
— They’re 7-6 on road.
— under 11-5 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-2.2

— bullpen game

— Boston is 1-3 in its last four games.
— Red Sox are 3-8 at home.
— under 9-5 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 9-27
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6.1-3

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Cincinnati (14-12) @ Texas (14-13)
— Greene is 0-2, 6.11 in his last three starts.
— Cincinnati is 0-5 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Reds won five of last eight games.
— They’re 5-5 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-1.2

— Lorenzen is 2-0, 2.45 in his two starts.
— Texas is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Rangers are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— They’re 7-7 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 10-27
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-3

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Bronx (17-10) @ Milwaukee (17-8)
— Rodon is 1-1, 2.70 in five starts.
— New York is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He is 0-1, 3.27 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— New York is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— They’re 9-5 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-5.1

— Ross is 1-2, 5.40 in four starts.
— Milwaukee is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 iP in his one start vs New York.

— Brewers won seven of last nine games.
— They’re 5-4 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 9-25
— record in first 5 innings: 14-7-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4.1-5

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Cleveland (18-8) @ Atlanta (18-6)
— Bibee is 2-0, 3.98 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 5-0 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Cleveland is 15-6 in its last 21 games.
— Guardians are 10-4 on road.
— over 10-6 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-8-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-3.1

— Morton is 2-0, 4.91 in four starts.
— Atlanta is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
— He is 4-2, 3.03 in six starts vs Cleveland.

— Braves are 15-4 in their last 19 games.
— They’re 10-3 at home.
— under 5-1 last six
— scored run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-2

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Arizona (12-15) @ Seattle (14-12)
— Cecconi allowed 2 runs in 6 IP in his first ’24 draft.
— Arizona is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Arizona is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
— Diamondbacks are 5-9 on the road.
— under 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-27
— record in first 5 innings: 14-8-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-1-3

— Kirby is 1-1, 4.20 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Seattle won eight of its last ten games.
— Mariners are 8-6 at home.
— under 20-5 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3

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Colorado (7-19) vs Houston (7-19) (@ Mexico City)
Mexico City has very high altitude, thin air; total is 16.5.

— Quantrill is 0-1, 2.00 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-2
— He is 1-1, 2.75 in five games (three starts) vs Houston.

— Rockies are 7-19 in their first 26 games.
— They’re 2-11 away from home.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 6-15-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.2-x

— Blanco is 2-0, 0.89 in four starts.
— Houston is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Houston lost 19 of its first 26 games.
— Astros are 3-10 on road.
— under 9-0 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 11-26
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3.2-x

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Umpires
— StL-NY- Over is 3-0-1 in Bacchus games.
— Wsh-Mia- Under is 3-1 in Vondrak games.
— Phil-SD- Under is 4-1 in Marquez games.
— Pitt-SF- Home team is 3-1 in Lentz games.

— KC-Det- Over is 4-1 in Beck games.
— A’s-Balt- Last three Hoye games stayed under.
— TB-Chi- Over is 3-1-1 in Hudson games.
— Minn-LAA- Over is 4-2 in Carlson games.

— LA-Tor- Last four Tumpane games stayed under.
— Chi-Bos- Under is 4-1 in Rackley games.
— Clev-Atl- Underdogs are 4-1 in Knight games.
— Cin-Tex- Home team won last four O’Nora games.
— NYY-Mil- Underdogs won all five Fletcher games.
— Az-Sea- Under is 3-1 in Whitson games.

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Saturday, 04/27/2024 (911) KANSAS CITY vs. (912) DETROIT
Favoring: KANSAS CITY on the money line.
KANSAS CITY is 13-4 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 6.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 04/27/2024 (903) WASHINGTON vs. (904) MIAMI
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.
WASHINGTON is 10-3 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 6.5, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 4*)

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Saturday, 04/27/2024 (903) WASHINGTON vs. (904) MIAMI
Favoring: WASHINGTON against the spread.
MIAMI is 4-23 (-23.7 Units) against the run line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 3.4, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 04/27/2024 (903) WASHINGTON vs. (904) MIAMI
Favoring: WASHINGTON against the spread.
MIAMI is 13-46 (-31.1 Units) against the run line when the run line is (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 3.8, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 3*)

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Saturday, 04/27/2024 (903) WASHINGTON vs. (904) MIAMI
Favoring: Under on the total.
MIAMI is 23-5 UNDER (+17.3 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 3.3, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 04/27/2024 (907) PITTSBURGH vs. (908) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: Under on the total.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-19 UNDER (+22.5 Units) after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 3.4, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 3*)

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Saturday, 04/27/2024 (905) PHILADELPHIA vs. (906) SAN DIEGO
Favoring: Under on the total.
RANGER SUAREZ is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SUAREZ 3.8, OPPONENT 2.8 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 04/27/2024 (911) KANSAS CITY vs. (912) DETROIT
Favoring: Under on the total.
CASEY MIZE is 18-3 UNDER (+14.5 Units) in the first half of the season.
The average score was MIZE 3.7, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 2*)

Saturday, 04/27/2024 (927) CLEVELAND vs. (928) ATLANTA
Favoring: Over on the total.
CHARLIE MORTON is 24-9 OVER (+14.4 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MORTON 5.9, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)

Saturday, 04/27/2024 (909) OAKLAND vs. (910) BALTIMORE
Favoring: Under on the total.
COLE IRVIN is 12-2 UNDER (+9.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).
The average score was IRVIN 3, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 1*)

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