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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 4/28

St Louis (13-14) @ NY Mets (13-13)
— Lynn is 1-0, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-1
— He is 3-3, 2.33 in seven starts vs New York.

— Cardinals are 4-1 in their last five games.
— They’re 8-7 on road.
— under 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 7-16-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-3

— Quintana is 1-2, 4.26 in five starts.
— New York is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 6-4, 4.29 in 13 starts vs St Louis.

— New York is 1-5 in its last six games.
— Mets are 6-8 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-4.2

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Washington (12-14) @ Miami (6-22)
— Corbin is 0-3, 6.51 in five starts.
— Washington is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He is 5-7, 4.05 in 18 starts vs Miami.

— Nationals lost three of last five games.
— They’re 8-6 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-5

— Weathers is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 1-1, 6.35 in two starts vs Washington.

— Marlins lost eight of their last ten games.
— Miami is 2-13 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-15-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-4.2

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Philadelphia (18-10) @ San Diego (14-16)
— Walker is making his first 2024 start.
— He was 15-6, 4.38 in 31 starts LY.
— In his career, he is 69-56, 3.97 in 194 starts.
— He is 5-3, 3.00 in nine starts vs San Diego.

— Phillies are 13-4 in their last 17 games.
— Phillies are 8-4 on road.
— under 17-6 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 14-28
— record in first 5 innings: 18-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-1

— King is 0-2, 8.22 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— This is his first start against Philadelphia.

— Padres are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— They’re 6-10 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 11-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-5.1-3

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Pittsburgh (14-14) @ San Francisco (13-15)
— Jones is 2-2, 2.79 in five starts.
— Pittsburgh is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco

— Pirates are 5-12 in their last 17 games.
— They’re 6-8 on road.
— under 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-4

— Winn is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— San Francisco is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Giants are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— They’re 8-7 at home.
— under 11-4 at home
— scored run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 9-14-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4

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Kansas City (17-11) @ Detroit (15-12)
— Wacha is 1-2, 4.10 in his five starts.
— Kansas City is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He is 1-0, 2.35 in three starts vs Detroit.

— Royals won three of last four games.
— Royals are 5-6 on road.
— under 14-5 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-28
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3

— Skubal is 3-0, 2.43 in five starts.
— Detroit is 4-1 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-1
— He is 1-7, 5.09 in nine starts vs Kansas City.

— Detroit is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Tigers are 5-8 at home.
— over 3-0-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 9-27
— record in first 5 innings: 9-14-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4

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Oakland (11-17) @ Baltimore (17-9)
— Blackburn is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 4-1 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 1-0, 3.07 in three starts vs Baltimore.

— A’s split their last six games.
— They scored 3 or fewer runs in all six games.
— Oakland is 7-8 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 7-29
— record in first 5 innings: 9-18-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.1-1.2

— Suarez is 1-0, 0.00 in two starts (11.1 IP).
— Baltimore is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in 3 games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Baltimore is 9-3 in its last 12 games.
— Orioles are 9-5 at home.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-10-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-2

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Tampa Bay (13-15) @ White Sox (5-22)
— Littell is 0-1, 4.71 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 0-1, 9.75 in five games (2 starts) vs Chicago.

— Tampa Bay is 5-9 in its last 14 games.
— Rays are 5-6 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3.2

— Fedde is 1-0, 2.91 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— White Sox won two in row for first time this year.
— Chicago is 4-9 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 9-14-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4

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Minnesota (13-13) @ LA Angels (10-17)
— Lopez is 0-2, 5.95 in his last four starts.
— Minnesota is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He is 1-1, 3.75 in two starts vs Anaheim.

— Twins are 7-1 in their last eight games.
— They’re 7-7 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 10-14-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1.2-4

— Detmers is 3-1, 2.43 in five starts.
— Angels are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 0-1, 5.52 in three starts vs Minnesota.

— Angels are 6-15 in their last 21 games.
— They’re 3-8 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 8-17-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-7.1

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Los Angeles (18-11) @ Toronto (13-15)
— bullpen game

— Dodgers won their last six games.
— Dodgers are 9-3 on road.
— over 7-5 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-29
— record in first 5 innings: 17-11-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3

— Gausman is 0-3, 6.38 in his first five starts.
— Toronto is 1-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 1-3, 3.79 in seven starts vs Los Angeles.

— Toronto lost its last five games.
— Blue Jays are 6-5 at home.
— under 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-13-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.1-3

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Cleveland (19-8) @ Atlanta (18-7)
— Lively is 0-1, 2.38 in two starts.
— Guardians are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 0-2, 6.75 in two starts vs Atlanta.

— Cleveland is 16-6 in its last 22 games.
— Guardians are 11-4 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 14-8-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-4

— Elder tossed 6.2 scoreless IP in his first ‘24 start.
— Atlanta is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He gave up 2 runs in 6.2 IP, in his first start vs Cleveland.

— Braves are 15-5 in their last 20 games.
— They’re 10-4 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven
— scored run in first inning: 8-25
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4

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Cincinnati (15-12) @ Texas (14-14)
— Abbott is 1-1, 2.08 in his last three starts.
— Cincinnati is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Reds won six of last nine games.
— They’re 6-5 on road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.2-2

— Dunning is 2-2, 5.06 in five starts.
— Texas is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
— This is his first start vs Cincinnati.

— Rangers split their last ten games.
— They’re 7-8 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 10-28
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

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Bronx (18-10) @ Milwaukee (17-9)
— Stroman is 1-1, 5.17 in his last three starts.
— New York is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 3-1, 2.58 in seven starts vs Milwaukee.

— New York split its last eight games.
— They’re 10-5 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.1-3

— Myers allowed a run in 5 IP in his first ‘24 start.
— Milwaukee is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Brewers won seven of last ten games.
— They’re 5-5 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 10-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-8-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5-4

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Arizona (12-16) @ Seattle (15-12)
— Pfaadt is 0-0, 6.08 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Seattle.

— Arizona is 4-8 in its last dozen games.
— Diamondbacks are 5-10 on the road.
— under 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-28
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-3-2

— Gilbert is 2-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 4-1 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 6.1 IP in his one start vs Arizona.

— Seattle won nine of its last 11 games.
— Mariners are 9-6 at home.
— under 21-5 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-27
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

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Colorado (7-20) vs Houston (8-19) (@ Mexico City)
Mexico City has very high altitude, thin air; total is 16.5.

— Gomber is 0-1, 4.68 in five starts.
— Colorado is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 1-1, 4.50 in two starts vs Houston.

— Rockies are 7-20 in their first 27 games.
— They’re 2-12 away from home.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 6-16-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-x-4

— Valdez is 0-0, 2.19 in two starts.
— This is his first start since April 2nd.
— Houston is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 2-0, 1.32 in two starts vs Colorado.

— Houston lost 19 of its first 27 games.
— Astros are 4-10 on road.
— under 10-0 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 11-27
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-3.1

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Cubs (17-10) @ Boston (15-13)
— bullpen game

— Cubs won 10 of their last 14 games.
— They’re 7-7 on road.
— under 11-6 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.2-4.1

— Houck is 3-2, 2.48 in five starts.
— Boston is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— This is his first start vs Chicago.

— Boston is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Red Sox are 4-8 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 10-28
— record in first 5 innings: 16-7-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-3-6

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Umpires
— StL-NY- Over is 3-1 in last four Diaz games.
— Wsh-Mia- Road team is 5-0 in Wegner games.
— Phil-SD- Under is 3-1 in last four Barrett games.
— Pitt-SF- Last three Jimenez games went over.

— KC-Det- Home side won five of six Iassogna games.
— A’s-Balt- Under is 4-1 in Drake games.
— TB-Chi- Over is 4-1 in Randazzo games.
— Minn-LAA- Under is 5-1 in Merzel games.

— LA-Tor- Over is 3-1 in last four Mahrley games.
— Chi-Bos- Under is 3-1 in last four Vanover games.
— Clev-Atl- No stats for this umpire yet this year,
— Cin-Tex- Last four Clemons games went over.
— NYY-Mil- No trends yet this year for Muchinski games.
— Az-Sea- Under is 3-1 in last four Miller games.
— Hst-Colo- Over is 3-1 in last four Porter games.

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Sunday, 04/28/2024 (951) WASHINGTON vs. (952) MIAMI
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.
WASHINGTON is 10-4 (+16 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 4.3, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 04/28/2024 (951) WASHINGTON vs. (952) MIAMI
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.
MIAMI is 0-9 (-11.3 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.
The average score was MIAMI 3.2, OPPONENT 7.2 - (Rating = 4*)

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Sunday, 04/28/2024 (951) WASHINGTON vs. (952) MIAMI
Favoring: WASHINGTON against the spread.
MIAMI is 4-24 (-24.7 Units) against the run line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 3.4, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 04/28/2024 (961) KANSAS CITY vs. (962) DETROIT
Favoring: DETROIT against the spread.
KANSAS CITY is 10-24 (-21.3 Units) against the run line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.2, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 3*)

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Sunday, 04/28/2024 (969) LA DODGERS vs. (970) TORONTO
Favoring: Over on the total.
LA DODGERS are 41-18 OVER (+21.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 5.8, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 04/28/2024 (967) CLEVELAND vs. (968) ATLANTA
Favoring: Under on the total.
CLEVELAND is 22-8 UNDER (+13.2 Units) after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.5, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)

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Sunday, 04/28/2024 (969) LA DODGERS vs. (970) TORONTO
Favoring: LA DODGERS on the money line.
KEVIN GAUSMAN is 6-12 (-20.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GAUSMAN 3.2, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 04/28/2024 (961) KANSAS CITY vs. (962) DETROIT
Favoring: KANSAS CITY on the money line.
MICHAEL WACHA is 24-6 (+17.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WACHA 6.7, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*)

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