Milwaukee (13-6) @ St Louis (9-12)
— Rea is 2-0, 3.24 in three starts.
— Milwaukee is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 1-3, 5.19 in five starts vs St Louis

— Brewers won their last three games.
— They’re 9-2 on road.
— over 11-3-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-4-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-5.1

— Gray is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (11 IP).
— St Louis is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 4-3, 2.82 in 13 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 4-8 in their last dozen games.
— They’re 3-5 at home.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 5-13-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4.1

Miami (5-17) @ Cubs (13-8)
— Cabrera allowed a run in 6 IP in his first ’24 start.
— Miami is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 2-1, 3.60 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Marlins lost 17 of their first 22 games.
— Miami is 3-6 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-6

— Hendricks is 0-2, 12.71 in four starts.
— Chicago is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 3-1, 1.28 in seven starts vs Miami.

— Cubs won six of their last eight games.
— They’re 7-2 at home.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-7.1

NY Mets (12-8) @ Los Angeles (12-11)
— Houser is 0-1, 4.60 in three starts.
— New York is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 0-2, 9.39 in two starts vs Los Angeles.

— New York is 12-3 in its last 15 games.
— Mets are 6-2 on road.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4.2

— Glasnow is 3-1, 3.72 in five starts.
— Dodgers are 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He 1-2, 4.82 in four starts against the Mets.

— Dodgers are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— Dodgers are 8-7 at home.
— over 10-4-1 at home
— scored run in first inning: 11-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5.2

Arizona (10-12) @ San Francisco (10-12)
— Kelly is 2-0, 2.19 in four starts
— Arizona is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-2
— He is 7-5, 3.34 in 18 starts vs San Francisco.

— Arizona is 2-4 in its last six games.
— Diamondbacks are 3-6 on the road.
— under 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-3

— Hicks is 2-0, 1.96 in four starts.
— San Francisco is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 0-0, 3.97 in 9 games (1 start) vs Arizona.

— Giants are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— They’re 5-4 at home.
— under 9-6 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.1-5

Tampa Bay (12-10) @ Bronx (14-7)
— Civale is 2-1, 3.13 in four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 1-3, 4.58 in five starts vs New York

— Tampa Bay is 9-6 in its last 15 games.
— Rays are 5-3 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-4

— Gil is 0-1, 3.86 in three starts.
— New York is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— New York lost four of last six games, after a 12-3 start.
— They’re 5-3 at home.
— over 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 2-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-3

Oakland (8-13) @ Cleveland (15-6)
— Stripling is 0-4, 5.70 in four starts.
— Oakland is 0-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4
— He is 2-2, 5.40 in four starts vs Cleveland.

— A’s lost five of their last seven games.
— Oakland is 4-4 on road.
— under 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

— Bibee is 1-0, 4.82 in four starts.
— Guardians are 4-0 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 4 IP, in his one start vs Oakland.

— Cleveland is 12-4 in its last 16 games.
— Guardians are 5-3 at home.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-3.2

Baltimore (13-7) @ Kansas City (13-8)
— Irvin is 0-1, 6.75 in three starts.
— Baltimore is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 2-3, 2.83 in six starts vs Kansas City

— Baltimore is 8-3 in its last eleven games.
— Orioles are 5-3 on road.
— over 9-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.1-3.1

— Lugo is 3-0, 1.05 in his four starts.
— Kansas City is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
— He’s thrown 4 scoreless IP in two relief stints vs Baltimore.

— Royals won 11 of their last 15 games.
— They’re 9-1 in last 10 home games.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-7.1

Detroit (11-10) @ Minnesota (7-12)
— Mize is 0-0, 4.02 in three starts.
— Detroit is 3-0 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 0-3, 6.31 in six starts vs Minnesota.

— Detroit is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Tigers are 7-3 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-3-4

— Varland is 0-3, 9.64 in three starts.
— Minnesota is 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He allowed 6 runs in 4.1 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.

— Twins are 4-10 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 2-5 at home.
— under 5-2 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-3

LA Angels (9-12) @ Cincinnati (11-9)
— Soriano is 0-1, 5.00 in two starts.
— Angels are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He threw 2 scoreless IP, in 2 relief stints vs Cincinnati.

— Angels are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 7-8 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-13-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-1-4

— Montas is 0-2, 12.86 in his last two starts.
— Cincinnati is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 4-3, 2.59 in 13 starts against the Angels.

— Reds are 2-3 in their last five games.
— They’re 6-5 at home.
— over 7-3-1 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-4

Boston (12-10) @ Pittsburgh (11-10)
— bullpen game

— Boston is 3-1 in its last four games.
— Red Sox are 9-3 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-3

— Perez is 1-0, 2.55 in four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
— He is 5-2, 4.28 in nine starts vs Boston

— Pirates are 2-8 in their last ten games.
— They’re 3-4 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.2-3

White Sox (3-17) @ Philadelphia (13-8)
— Nastrini allowed 2 runs in 5 IP (74 PT) in his first MLB start.
— Chicago is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Philadelphia.

— White Sox lost 17 of first 20 games.
— Chicago is 1-8 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 5-11-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-3.1

— Nola is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
— Philly is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He gave up a run in 7 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Phillies are 8-2 in their last ten games.
— Phillies are 10-5 at home.
— under 13-3 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-1.2

Houston (7-15) @ Washington (9-11)
— Javier is 2-0, 1.93 in four starts.
— Houston is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
— He is 0-1, 6.52 in two starts vs Washington.

— Houston lost 15 of its first 22 games.
— Astros are 3-6 on road.
— under 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 10-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-3

— Parker allowed 2 runs in 5 IP (81 PT) in his first MLB start.
— Washington is 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Nationals are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— They’re 3-5 at home.
— under 11-3 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4

Seattle (10-10) @ Colorado (4-16)
— Kirby is 2-2, 6.64 in four starts.
— Seattle is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 6.1 IP, in his one start vs Colorado.

— Hancock is 1-2, 7.98 in his three starts.
— Seattle is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Seattle won its last four games.
— Mariners are 3-4 on road.
— under 15-4 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-2

— Quantrill is 0-2, 5.57 in four starts.
— Colorado is 0-4 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 0-1, 5.65 in three starts vs Seattle.

— bullpen game

— Rockies are 4-16 in their first 20 games.
— Last five games, Colorado scored seven runs.
— They’re 2-5 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 4-13-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-5

Toronto (12-9) @ San Diego (11-12)
— Bassitt is 2-2, 4.43 in four starts.
— Toronto is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 1-2, 4.71 in four starts vs San Diego.

— Toronto is 6-1 in its last seven games.
— Blue Jays are 6-6 on road.
— under 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-3

— Musgrove is 2-2, 6.29 in five starts.
— San Diego is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 2-0, 1.47 in 4 games (2 starts) vs Toronto

— Padres lost their last three games.
— They’re 5-8 at home.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-4

Texas (11-11) @ Atlanta (14-5)
— Lorenzen threw 5 shutout IP (79 PT) in his first ‘24 start.
— Texas is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-1, 7.52 in 12 games (2 starts) vs Atlanta

— Rangers are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— They’re 6-6 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-2.2

— Vines allowed a run in 4.2 IP in his first ‘24 start.
— Atlanta is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Braves are 11-3 in their last fourteen games.
— They’re 6-2 at home.
— over 11-7-1
— scored run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3

Umpires
— Mil-StL- Under is 2-1 in Tosi games.
— Mia-Chi- Over is 4-1 in Carapazza games.
— Az-SF- Under is 3-1 in Scheurwater games.
— NY-LA- Over is 4-0 in Hernandez games.

— TB-NY- Under is 3-0 in Libka games.
— Det-Minn- Under is 2-1 in Ortiz games.
— A’s-Clev- Over is 2-1 in Gibson games.
— Balt-KC- Under is 2-0-1 in Barber games.

— Bos-Pitt- Favorites are 3-1 in BRMiller games.
— Hst-Wash- Road team is 3-0 in Tomlinson games.
— Chi-Phil- Last three Fairchild games went over.
— LAA-Cin- Favorites are 4-1 in Barry games.
— Tex-Atl- Under is 3-1 in Ballou games.
— Sea-Colo- Under is 2-1 in Morales games.
Underdogs are 3-1 in Additon games
— Tex-SD- Favorites are 4-0 in Johnson games.

Sunday, 04/21/2024 (913) BALTIMORE vs. (914) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
BALTIMORE is 78-36 (+44.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.5, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 04/21/2024 (913) BALTIMORE vs. (914) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
BALTIMORE is 57-33 (+32.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.5, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 04/21/2024 (903) MIAMI vs. (904) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: CHICAGO CUBS against the spread.
MIAMI is 10-24 (-20.4 Units) against the run line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 3.2, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 04/21/2024 (903) MIAMI vs. (904) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: CHICAGO CUBS against the spread.
MIAMI is 22-45 (-32.9 Units) against the run line vs. an NL team with they batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 3.4, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 04/21/2024 (913) BALTIMORE vs. (914) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: Under on the total.
KANSAS CITY is 19-4 UNDER (+14.8 Units) after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 04/21/2024 (907) NY METS vs. (908) LA DODGERS
Favoring: Over on the total.
LA DODGERS are 39-14 OVER (+23.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 5.7, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 04/21/2024 (919) BOSTON vs. (920) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: Over on the total.
PITTSBURGH is 38-16 OVER (+20.1 Units) after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 5.4, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 04/21/2024 (929) TEXAS vs. (930) ATLANTA
Favoring: Over on the total.
TEXAS is 14-2 OVER (+11.6 Units) after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 7.3, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 2*)

Losing Streak Betting System #6:
Teams that have lost their last four games but are getting reasonably good pitching during the skid have been solid wagers in game #5, as those that allowed 6.0 RPG or fewer during the streak are on a 134-109 run (+51.72 units, ROI: 21.3%).
System Matches: PLAY PITTSBURGH (-148 vs BOS), PLAY COLORADO (+164 vs SEA)

Winning Streak Betting System #1:
Teams on winning streaks of five games or more are on a 167-86 (+14.15 units, ROI: 5.6%) run in the next game when playing as home favorites.
System Matches: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-325 vs CWS), PLAY ATLANTA (-162 vs TEX)

Winning Streak Betting System #3:
The teams with some of the best value in looking to extend winning streaks are actually those that don’t score a lot of runs typically. Teams on winning streaks of five games and scoring less than 4.5 RPG are 119-85 (+21.10 units, ROI: 10.3%) since the start of the 2021 season.
System Matches: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-325 vs CWS)

Winning Streak Betting System #4:
Teams on winning streaks of five games or more and playing against non-divisional league opponents are 151-98 in their last 249 tries (+25.02 units, ROI: 10%).
System Matches: PLAY NY METS (+215 at LAD)