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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 4/13

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (923) MILWAUKEE vs. (924) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
Play On - Any team (BALTIMORE) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game
(37-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.2%, +31.2 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1.3 units).

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (919) CINCINNATI vs. (920) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - very bad AL offensive team (<=3.6 runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA>=4.50), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities
(105-70 since 1997.) (60.0%, +70.7 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1.5 units).

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (921) COLORADO vs. (922) TORONTO
Favoring: TORONTO on the money line.
Play On - Home teams (TORONTO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings
(58-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.2%, +42 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1.5 units).

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (921) COLORADO vs. (922) TORONTO
Favoring: TORONTO on the money line.
Play On - Home teams (TORONTO) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games
(58-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.2%, +42 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1.5 units).

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Saturday, 04/13/2024 (905) ST LOUIS vs. (906) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ARIZONA) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on Saturday
(88-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.7%, +48.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1 -1.4 units).

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (919) CINCINNATI vs. (920) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CHI WHITE SOX) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on Saturday
(88-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.7%, +48.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1 -1.4 units).

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (929) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (930) SEATTLE
Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SEATTLE) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on Saturday
(88-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.7%, +48.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1 -1.4 units).

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (929) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (930) SEATTLE
Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SEATTLE) - poor AL offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA>=5.00), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing
(29-8 since 1997.) (78.4%, +23.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

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Saturday, 04/13/2024 (905) ST LOUIS vs. (906) ARIZONA
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Home teams (ARIZONA) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team, playing on Saturday
(46-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +30.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (921) COLORADO vs. (922) TORONTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Home teams (TORONTO) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team, playing on Saturday
(46-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +30.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (905) ST LOUIS vs. (906) ARIZONA
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ARIZONA) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team, playing on Saturday
(32-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +23.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (921) COLORADO vs. (922) TORONTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team, playing on Saturday
(32-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +23.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

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Pittsburgh (10-4) @ Philadelphia (7-7)
— Gonzales is 0-0, 2.08 in his two starts TY.
— Pittsburgh is 2-0 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Philadelphia

— Pirates are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— They’re 7-2 on the road.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1.2-4

— Turnbull is 1-0, 0.82 in two starts TY.
— Philly is 2-0 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 2-0, 1.00 in three starts (18 IP) vs Pittsburgh.

— Phillies ware 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Phillies are 4-4 at home.
— under 9-0 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

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Atlanta (8-4) @ Miami (2-12)
— Sale is 1-0, 3.37 in his first two starts.
— Atlanta is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 0-1, 4.63 in two starts vs Miami.

— Braves are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— They’re 4-2 on road.
— over 9-2-1
— scored run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2.2

— Meyer is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts.
— Miami is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Marlins are off to a 2-12 start.
— Marlins are 0-8 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-4

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St Louis (7-7) @ Arizona (6-8)
— Gibson is 1-1, 6.23 in two starts.
— St Louis is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 3-2, 2.10 in five starts vs Arizona.

— Cardinals lost three of their last five games.
— They’re 4-4 on road.
— under 6-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-4.1

— Nelson is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts.
— Arizona is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs St Louis.

— Arizona lost six of last eight games.
— Diamondbacks are 4-4 at home.
— under 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 9-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3

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San Diego (7-8) @ Los Angeles (10-5)
— Waldron is 0-1, 4.82 in two starts.
— San Diego is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.

— Padres won three of their last four games.
— They’re 2-2 in true road games.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-6

— Stone is 0-1, 9.00 in his two starts.
— Dodgers are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He gave up 7 runs in 5.1 IP in his one start vs San Diego.

— Dodgers are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Dodgers are 6-2 at home.
— over 6-1-1 at home
— scored run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-6

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Bronx (10-3) @ Cleveland (9-3)
— Schmidt is 0-0, 4.66 in two starts.
— New York is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 0-0, 4.35 in three games (2 starts) vs Cleveland.

— bullpen game

— New York won 10 of its first 13 games.
— They’re 6-1 on road.
— under 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-x

— Carrasco is 0-0, 4.50 in two starts.
— Cleveland is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 5-5, 4.01 in 13 games (10 starts) vs New York.

— McKenzie is 1-1, 4.00 in two starts.
— Cleveland is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts vs New York.

— Cleveland won nine of its first 12 games.
— Guardians are 2-1 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-x

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Minnesota (4-7) @ Detroit (8-4)
— Ryan is 0-1, 3.18 in his first two starts.
— Minnesota is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 4-1, 3.57 in six starts vs Detroit.

— Woods-Richardson is making his first ’24 start.
— He is 0-1, 6.52 in two career MLB games (one start)
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.

— Twins lost five of their last six games.
— They’re 3-3 on road.
— under 7-4
— scored run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-4

— Maeda is 0-1, 9.00 in his first two starts.
— Detroit is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 3-3, 3.38 in 11 starts vs Minnesota.
— Maeda pitched for the Twins from 2020-23.

— Manning threw 5.2 scoreless IP in his first ‘24 start.
— Detroit is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He is 0-1, 5.40 in three starts vs Minnesota.

— Detroit lost three of last five games.
— Tigers are 2-2 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

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LA Angels (7-6) @ Boston (7-6)
— Canning is 0-1, 8.38 in two starts.
— Angels are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 1-0, 3.06 in three starts vs Boston.

— Angels are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— They’re 5-2 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-2.2

— Red Sox haven’t named a starter.

— Boston lost five of last six games.
— Red Sox are 0-4 at home.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-3.1

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Texas (8-6) @ Houston (4-11)
— Heaney is 0-2, 7.56 in his two starts.
— Texas is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 4-5, 3.84 in 16 starts vs Houston.

— Rangers are 2-4 in their last six games.
— They’re 3-1 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4-4

— Blanco is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts.
— He’s allowed one hit in 15 IP this year.
— Houston is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 2-0, 3.14 in five games (2 starts) vs Texas.

— Houston lost 11 of its first 15 games.
— Astros are 2-6 at home.
— under 5-3 at home
— scored run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-7.1-5

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San Francisco (5-9) @ Tampa Bay (8-6)
— Webb is 0-1, 4.86 in three starts.
— San Francisco is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Giants are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 2-6 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3

— Pepiot is 1-1, 4.63 in two starts.
— Tampa Bay is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 3 IP, in one relief stint vs San Francisco.

— Tampa Bay won five of last six games.
— Rays are 4-4 at home.
— under 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-5

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Milwaukee (9-3) @ Baltimore (8-5)
— Hall is 0-1, 4.82 in his two starts.
— Milwaukee is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He pitched for Baltimore from 2022-23.

— Brewers are 4-1 in their last five games.
— They’re 6-1 on road.
— over 6-1-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 10-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-3

— Kremer is 0-0, 2.19 in his two starts.
— Baltimore is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He gave up 6 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Milwaukee

— Baltimore is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Orioles are 4-3 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-5

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Colorado (4-10) @ Toronto (6-8)
— Hudson is 0-2, 2.38 in his two starts.
— Colorado is 0-2 in his starts, scoring 0-2 runs.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Rockies are 4-10 in their first 14 games.
— They’re 2-6 on road.
— over 6-2 in their road games
— scored run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4

— Yariel Rodriguez is making his MLB debut here.

— Toronto is 2-4 in its last six games.
— Blue Jays are 2-2 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-5.1

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Kansas City (9-5) @ NY Mets (6-7)
— Marsh is 1-0, 3.09 in his two starts.
— Kansas City is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He pitched a scoreless IP of relief against Mets LY.

— Royals won seven of their last eight games.
— They’re 1-3 on the road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2

— Manaea is 1-0, 0.82 in two starts.
— New York is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 2-1, 4.61 in five starts vs Kansas City.

— New York is 6-2 in its last eight games.
— Mets are 2-5 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-4

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Cincinnati (7-6) @ White Sox (2-11)
— Lodolo is making his first 2024 start.
— Last two years, he was 6-8, 4.31 in 26 starts.
— He gave up 3 runs in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs the White Sox.

— Reds are 3-4 in their last six games.
— They’re 3-1 on road.
— over 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-2

— Crochet is 1-1, 2.00 in three starts.
— Chicago is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He didn’t give a run in 3 relief stints (2.1 IP) vs Cincinnati.

— White Sox lost 11 of first 13 games.
— Chicago is 1-5 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-x-6.1

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Cubs (7-6) @ Seattle (6-8)
— Imanaga is 1-0, 0.00 in his two starts (10 IP).
— Chicago is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Cubs are 1-3 in their last four games.
— They’re 2-5 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4

— Hancock is 1-1, 11.42 in his two starts.
— Seattle is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Cubs.

— Seattle lost six of last nine games.
— Mariners are 4-4 at home.
— under 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-x-2.2

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Washington (5-8) @ Oakland (6-8)
— Gore is 1-0, 4.09 in his two starts.
— Washington is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the A’s.

— Nationals are 3-2 in their last five games.
— They’re 3-4 on the road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-x-3.1

— Boyle is 1-1, 8.22 in his two starts.
— Oakland is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— A’s won five of their last six games.
— Oakland is 2-6 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-3.2

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Saturday, 04/13/2024 (927) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (928) TAMPA BAY
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-13 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.5, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (923) MILWAUKEE vs. (924) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
BALTIMORE is 20-4 (+18.5 Units) against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.6, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (919) CINCINNATI vs. (920) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: CINCINNATI on the money line.
CINCINNATI is 17-4 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 6.2, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (919) CINCINNATI vs. (920) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: CINCINNATI on the money line.
CINCINNATI is 16-4 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 6.3, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 04-13-24 03:38 PM
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Registered: Nov 2005
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Saturday, 04/13/2024 (911) TEXAS vs. (912) HOUSTON
Favoring: TEXAS against the spread.
TEXAS is 17-1 (+16.8 Units) against the run line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 5.3, OPPONENT 2.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 04/13/2024 (923) MILWAUKEE vs. (924) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE against the spread.
BALTIMORE is 19-5 (+18 Units) against the run line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.6, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 04-13-24 03:38 PM
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