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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

NBA Lagniappe 3/29

Friday, 03/29/2024 (503) LA LAKERS vs. (504) INDIANA
Favoring: INDIANA against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
(33-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.5%, +25.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2 units).

, 03/29/2024 (503) LA LAKERS vs. (504) INDIANA
Favoring: INDIANA against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (INDIANA) - off a loss against a division rival, on Friday nights
(67-26 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.0%, +38.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (13-7 +5.3 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (503) LA LAKERS vs. (504) INDIANA
Favoring: INDIANA against the spread.
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - off a loss against a division rival, on Friday nights
(42-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.4%, +27.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-3 +3.7 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (513) PORTLAND vs. (514) MIAMI
Favoring: PORTLAND against the spread.
Play On - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games
(82-35 since 1996.) (70.1%, +43.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3 units).

Old Post 03-29-24 10:34 PM
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msudogs
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Friday, 03/29/2024 (507) GOLDEN STATE vs. (508) CHARLOTTE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team
(38-5 since 1996.) (88.4%, +32.5 units. Rating=6*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (507) GOLDEN STATE vs. (508) CHARLOTTE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team
(55-15 since 1996.) (78.6%, +38.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (15-1 +13.9 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (523) DALLAS vs. (524) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days
(62-19 since 1996.) (76.5%, +41.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (16-3 +12.7 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (505) DETROIT vs. (506) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 120 points or more
(53-16 since 1996.) (76.8%, +35.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (16-9 +6.1 units).

Old Post 03-29-24 10:36 PM
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msudogs
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Friday, 03/29/2024 (523) DALLAS vs. (524) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: SACRAMENTO on the first half line.
Play On - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog
(34-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.0%, +25.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +4 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (523) DALLAS vs. (524) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: SACRAMENTO on the first half line.
Play On - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog
(39-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%, +26.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +1.9 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (523) DALLAS vs. (524) SACRAMENTO
Favoring: SACRAMENTO on the first half line.
Play On - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog
(45-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +28.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +2.9 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (507) GOLDEN STATE vs. (508) CHARLOTTE
Favoring: GOLDEN STATE on the first half line.
Play On - Favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (GOLDEN STATE) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%)
(71-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +38 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (16-10 +5 units).

Old Post 03-29-24 10:36 PM
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Friday, 03/29/2024 (509) CHICAGO vs. (510) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 106 to 110.5 (CHICAGO) - off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
(40-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.9%, +26.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +0.9 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (503) LA LAKERS vs. (504) INDIANA
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 111 (LA LAKERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days
(37-11 since 1996.) (77.1%, +24.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +2.9 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (517) NEW YORK vs. (518) SAN ANTONIO
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 106 to 110.5 (NEW YORK) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record
(72-31 since 1996.) (69.9%, +37.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 +1.8 units).

Friday, 03/29/2024 (509) CHICAGO vs. (510) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 106 to 110.5 (CHICAGO) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off an upset win as an underdog
(58-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.6%, +32.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +2.9 units).

Old Post 03-29-24 10:40 PM
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msudogs
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Posts: 65535

The Sacramento Kings are 41-16 to the OVER at home, following a home game in which they failed to cover the spread.

A $100 bettor is up more than $2300 betting these overs

Old Post 03-29-24 11:36 PM
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msudogs
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* Home teams on 2 Days Rest are 125-87 SU but 92-118-1 ATS (43.8%) versus teams playing a 3rd Straight Road game over the last three seasons.
3/29: Fade MIAMI vs. Portland
System Match: FADE MIAMI (-13.5 vs POR)

3/29: Fade SACRAMENTO vs. Dallas
System Match: FADE SACRAMENTO (-1 vs DAL)

Old Post 03-29-24 11:46 PM
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msudogs
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The LA CLIPPERS boast a phenomenal 30-15 SU and 25-20 ATS (55.6%) record as a single-digit favorite this season.
3/29 at Orlando
System Match: PLAY LA CLIPPERS (-1.5 vs ORL)

The LA LAKERS have gone 23-11 Over the total (67.6%) on the road so far this season.
3/29 at Indiana
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 243.5)

Old Post 03-29-24 11:48 PM
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PHOENIX is 8-5-1 Over the total (61.5%) when playing in the second of consecutive games against non-divisional conference opponents in the 2023-24 season.
3/29 at Oklahoma City
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 227.5)

SAN ANTONIO has gone 2-15 SU and 6-11 ATS (35.3%) this season against teams currently with mid-level SM Power Ratings of 95-99.5.
3/29 vs. New York
System Match: FADE SAN ANTONIO (+9 vs NYK)

Old Post 03-29-24 11:48 PM
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