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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 5/05

Milwaukee (20-12) @ Cubs (20-14)
— Peralta is 3-0, 3.24 in six starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-0 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He is 5-1, 3.34 in ten starts vs Chicago.

— Brewers won three of last four games.
— They’re 13-5 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 11-32
— record in first 5 innings: 16-10-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-5

— Assad is 2-0, 1.69 in six starts.
— Chicago is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— This is his first start vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— They’re 11-4 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 9-34
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2.2-3

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Colorado (8-25) @ Pittsburgh (15-19)
— Feltner is 0-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 2-4 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He allowed 2 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Rockies are 8-25 in their first 33 games.
— They’re 3-17 away from home.
— under 15-7 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-33
— record in first 5 innings: 7-17-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-1.1-2.2

— Falter is 2-2, 3.68 in his last four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— This is his first start vs Colorado.

— Pirates are 6-16 in their last 22 games.
— They’re 6-8 at home.
— under 12-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-33
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-2

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San Diego (18-18) @ Arizona (14-20)
— Waldron is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 5-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Arizona

— Padres won their last four games.
— They’re 10-6 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 13-36
— record in first 5 innings: 16-15-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.1-3

— Nelson is 1-2, 5.17 in four starts.
— Arizona is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 1-2, 6.04 in five starts vs San Diego.

— Arizona is 2-7 in its last nine games.
— Diamondbacks are 8-10 at home.
— under 17-7 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-34
— record in first 5 innings: 14-14-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.2-3

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Atlanta (20-10) @ Los Angeles (21-13)
— Fried is 2-0, 1.69 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 5-1 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 3-2, 2.68 in eight starts vs Los Angeles.

— Braves are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— They’re 9-7 on road.
— under 10-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 16-11-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.1-4.1

— Paxton is 1-0, 4.91 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 1-0, 5.71 in three starts vs Atlanta.

— Dodgers won 10 of last 12 games.
— Dodgers are 11-8 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-35
— record in first 5 innings: 21-12-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2

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San Francisco (15-19) @ Philadelphia (23-11)
— Webb is 3-1, 1.75 in his last four starts.
— San Francisco is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 0-0, 5.25 in two starts vs Philadelphia

— San Francisco is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Giants are 6-12 on road.
— under 10-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 5-34
— record in first 5 innings: 10-18-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-7.1

— Walker gave up 6 runs in 6.1 IP, in his first ‘24 start.
— Phillies are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 3-3, 4.40 in nine starts vs San Francisco.

— Phillies are 18-5 in their last 23 games.
— Phillies are 12-6 at home.
— under 19-10 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-34
— record in first 5 innings: 24-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-3

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Detroit (18-15) @ Bronx (22-13)
— Skubal is 4-o, 2.21 in six starts.
— Detroit is 5-1 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 5-0-1
— He is 1-2, 3.60 in three starts vs New York.

— Detroit split its last six games.
— Tigers are 10-6 on road.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 12-33
— record in first 5 innings: 13-15-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2.2

— Cortes is 0-2, 4.13 in his last four starts.
— New York is 2-5 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
— He is 0-0, 4.50 in two games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— New York is 3-1 in its last four games.
— They’re 10-5 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 9-35
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-4

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LA Angels (12-21) @ Cleveland (21-12)
— Canning is 1-1, 5.28 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5
— He gave up 3 runs in 5.1 IP in his one start vs Cleveland.

— Angels are 3-12 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 8-10 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 9-33
— record in first 5 innings: 9-22-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2.1

— Carrasco is 1-1, 9.20 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 3-2, 3.42 in seven starts vs Anaheim.

— Cleveland is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Guardians are 9-5 at home.
— under 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 6-33
— record in first 5 innings: 18-10-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4-3

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Texas (18-16) @ Kansas City (20-14)
— Gray is 1-1, 1.90 in his last two starts.
— Texas is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 1-1, 1.98 in two starts vs Kansas City.

— Rangers are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— They’re 8-7 on road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 12-34
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4.1

— Kansas City hasn’t named a starter.

— Royals won seven of last eleven games.
— Royals are 13-6 at home.
— under 18-7 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 11-34
— record in first 5 innings: 17-10-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3-5.1

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Boston (18-16) @ Minnesota (19-13)
— Criswell is 2-0, 1.29 in three starts.
— Boston is 3-0 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— This is his first start vs Minnesota

— Red Sox are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 11-7 on road.
— under 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 14-34
— record in first 5 innings: 19-9-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2-9

— Ryan is 1-0, 4.63 in his last four starts.
— Minnesota is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He is 3-1, 3.12 in four starts vs Boston.

— Twins won their last 12 games.
— They’re 8-6 at home.
— over 7-4 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-32
— record in first 5 innings: 13-16-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

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Seattle (18-15) @ Houston (12-21)
— Miller is 3-1, 1.48 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 6-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
— He is 2-1, 2.20 in three starts vs Houston.

— Seattle is 8-4 in its last 12 games.
— Mariners are 7-7 on road.
— under 27-5 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-33
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-1

— Brown is 0-5, 10.17 in six starts.
— Houston is 1-5 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 0-2, 17.47 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Houston won five of last seven games.
— Astros are 7-11 at home.
— under 14-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-33
— record in first 5 innings: 15-15-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-3.2

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Baltimore (22-11) @ Cincinnati (16-17)
— Kremer is 2-0, 2.92 in his last two starts.
— Baltimore is 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He gave up 6 runs in 4.1 IP in his one start vs Cincinnati

— Baltimore is 14-5 in its last 19 games.
— Orioles are 10-4 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 7-33
— record in first 5 innings: 19-11-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2.2-2

— Lodolo is 3-0, 1.85 in his four starts.
— Cincinnati is 4-0 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He gave up a run in 6 IP, in his one start vs Baltimore.

— Reds lost seven of last nine games.
— They’re 9-9 at home.
— under 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-33
— record in first 5 innings: 12-14-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-4

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Toronto (16-18) @ Washington (16-17)
— Manoah is making his first ’24 start.
— This year, he is 0-2, 6.50 in four AAA starts.
— He was 3-9, 5.87 in 19 starts last year.
— In his career, he is 28-18, 3.32 in 70 starts.
— He gave up 7 runs in 3 IP in his one start vs Washington.

— Toronto lost eight of last eleven games.
— Blue Jays are 8-11 on road.
— under 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 10-34
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3.1

— Gore is 0-3, 3.60 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Toronto.

— Nationals are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— They’re 5-9 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 6-33
— record in first 5 innings: 15-17-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4

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NY Mets (16-17) @ Tampa Bay (16-18)
— Severino is 2-1, 2.16 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 8-3, 3.33 in 15 games (11 starts) vs Tampa Bay

— New York is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
— Mets are 7-7 on road.
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 8-33
— record in first 5 innings: 9-15-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.1-1.1

— Pepiot is 2-0, 1.00 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Tampa Bay is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
— Rays are 10-9 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 10-34
— record in first 5 innings: 13-15-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-3

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White Sox (7-26) @ St Louis (15-18)
— Crochet is 0-3, 10.26 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 1-6 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
— This is his first start vs St Louis

— White Sox lost 26 of their first 33 games.
— Chicago is 2-14 on road.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-33
— record in first 5 innings: 12-16-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-5.2

— Gibson is 1-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 9-6, 3.46 in 20 starts vs Chicago.

— Cardinals are 2-4 in their last six games.
— They’re 6-8 at home.
— under 16-7 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-33
— record in first 5 innings: 11-18-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-5

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Miami (9-26) @ Oakland (17-17)
— Sanchez is 0-0, 9.45 in two starts.
— Miami is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Marlins lost 3-1/20-4 in two games since trading Arraez.
— Miami is 4-11 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-35
— record in first 5 innings: 12-20-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-5.2

— Boyle is 1-3, 5.21 in his last four starts.
— Oakland is 2-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— A’s are 9-3 in their last dozen games.
— Oakland is 9-9 at home.
— under 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 8-34
— record in first 5 innings: 14-19-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.2-2

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Umpires
Milw-Chi— Under is 5-1 in last six Tumpane games.
Colo-Pitt- Under is 4-1 in last five Eddings games.
SF-Phil- Favorites are 4-1 in Moscoso games.
SD-Ariz- Under is 3-0 in Cuzzi’s last three games.
Atl-LA— Favorites are 3-1 in Blaser games.

Det-NYY— Under is 16-8 in last 24 Edwin Jiminez games.
LAA-Clev- Favorites won last three Ramos games.
Tex-KC- Over is 5-5 in last ten Bacon games.
Bos-Minn- Over is 5-1 in Hernandez games.
Sea-Hst- Under is 3-0 in last three Valentine games.

Mia-A’s- Home team won four of last five Guccione games.
Balt-Cin- Over is 4-1 in last five Clemons games.
Tor-Wash- Under is 4-2 in Libka games.
NYM-TB- Underdogs are 3-2 in last five Vondrak games.
CWS-StL- Home side is 6-0 in Mackay games.

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Sunday, 05/05/2024 (917) SEATTLE vs. (918) HOUSTON
Favoring: SEATTLE on the money line.
HOUSTON is 4-14 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 3.4, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (907) SAN DIEGO vs. (908) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA on the money line.
ARIZONA is 38-19 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 5.2, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 3*)

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Sunday, 05/05/2024 (903) MILWAUKEE vs. (904) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: CHICAGO CUBS against the spread.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-6 (+18.5 Units) against the run line vs. excellent speed teams - averaging 1 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 7, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (923) NY METS vs. (924) TAMPA BAY
Favoring: TAMPA BAY against the spread.
NY METS are 3-20 (-19.9 Units) against the run line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 4.7, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (923) NY METS vs. (924) TAMPA BAY
Favoring: TAMPA BAY against the spread.
NY METS are 10-38 (-35.1 Units) against the run line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 4.1, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (923) NY METS vs. (924) TAMPA BAY
Favoring: TAMPA BAY against the spread.
NY METS are 8-32 (-29.8 Units) against the run line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 4.3, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 4*)

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Sunday, 05/05/2024 (915) TEXAS vs. (916) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: Under on the total.
KANSAS CITY is 20-4 UNDER (+15.8 Units) after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 2.9, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (929) BALTIMORE vs. (930) CINCINNATI
Favoring: Under on the total.
CINCINNATI is 20-5 UNDER (+14.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 4.1, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (917) SEATTLE vs. (918) HOUSTON
Favoring: Under on the total.
SEATTLE is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) after allowing 2 runs or less this season.
The average score was SEATTLE 3.6, OPPONENT 2.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (917) SEATTLE vs. (918) HOUSTON
Favoring: Under on the total.
SEATTLE is 14-2 UNDER (+11.7 Units) after a win this season.
The average score was SEATTLE 3.5, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 3*)

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Sunday, 05/05/2024 (929) BALTIMORE vs. (930) CINCINNATI
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
DEAN KREMER is 27-12 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KREMER 5.4, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 2*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (929) BALTIMORE vs. (930) CINCINNATI
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
DEAN KREMER is 22-7 (+16 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KREMER 5.7, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)

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