The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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9 p.m. ET: Orlando Magic at Denver Nuggets (-9.5, 223.5)
The Magic (19-15) have dropped three-straight games and just fell to the Kings in double overtime 138-135. On the other hand, the Nuggets (25-11) have won eight of their last nine games and just outlasted the Warriors 130-127. This line opened with the Nuggets listed as a 10.5-point home favorite. We've seen Denver fall from -10.5 to -9.5, indicating wiseguys grabbing the points with the road dog Magic. Orlando is receiving 70% of bets and 79% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support.
This is a tough schedule spot for Denver, who won in Golden State last night and now has to travel home and play again tonight. Meanwhile, Orlando is rested and didn't play yesterday. Fading teams on the second leg of a back-to-back has gone 90-70 ATS (56%) this season. The Magic will lean on their defense, ranking 4th in defensive efficiency compared to 9th for the Nuggets. The Magic are 23-11 (68%) ATS this season, third best in the NBA. Sharps have also leaned under, dropping the total slightly from 224.5 to 223.5. The under is receiving only 19% of bets but 71% of money, a notable "low bets, higher dollars" bet discrepancy.
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01-05-24 10:56 PM |
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