Last night, my account was reduced to .7 profit.

So yeah, bad trader!!!

If the internet worked right I would go look up a disco song as punishment...

NY


Only one so far...

Thinking...

Winner with NY.

Now at $-.12 profit.



CHAR

HOU

TOR

CLE
TOR
NY

A few more maybe.

These work better when the home team is above .500.

I am working on my charts to display this.

Might be more plays later.

No internet or phone, two days running. Broke even roughly.

All road dog shorts only. That's my move one.

Later tonight, I will post the fascinating results so far!!!

SA
CHI
DEN
HOU
SAC
LAC

Some of these games are in the pay less than 10% zone!

All combined they grab a full 4% of a $100 bank, perhaps the highest I ever wagered as part of the bank.

The dogs are dogs. They are not Joe Public choices.

The favs are what Joe public chose.

Always the same.

Tracked!

Atlanta was short all season. Still is. The best move, was to short Atlanta away. Not all teams worked.

It made 2.3% so far. A lot of work!

They were not a favorite often on the road. They lost anyhow. Very few road teams as favs on a short make anything. They break even.

Much work to do yet. But it's a start.


$100.00 -$0.27 $0.00 11/25/2023 $99.73
$99.73 -$0.74 $1.00 11/26/2023 $99.99
$99.99 -$0.65 $1.00 11/28/2023 $100.35
$100.35 -$0.33 $0.00 11/30/2023 $100.02
$100.02 -$0.71 $1.00 12/2/2023 $100.30
$100.30 $0.00 $0.00 12/6/2023 $100.30
$100.30 -$0.79 $1.00 12/8/2023 $100.51
$100.51 $0.00 $0.00 12/11/2023 $100.51
$100.51 -$0.57 $1.00 12/13/2023 $100.94
$100.94 -$0.55 $0.00 12/15/2023 $100.39
$100.39 -$0.65 $1.00 12/16/2023 $100.74
$100.74 $0.00 $0.00 12/18/2023 $100.74
$100.74 -$0.59 $0.00 12/20/2023 $100.15
$100.15 -$0.53 $1.00 12/22/2023 $100.62
$100.62 $0.00 $0.00 12/23/2023 $100.62
$100.62 -$0.47 $1.00 12/26/2023 $101.15
$101.15 $0.00 $0.00 12/29/2023 $101.15
$101.15 -$0.33 $0.00 12/31/2023 $100.83
$100.83 $0.00 $0.00 1/3/2024 $100.83
$100.83 -$0.60 $1.00 1/5/2024 $101.23
$101.23 -$0.48 $1.00 1/7/2024 $101.75
$101.75 $0.00 $0.00 1/10/2024 $101.75
$101.75 $0.00 $0.00 1/12/2024 $101.75
$101.75 $0.00 $0.00 1/13/2024 $101.75
$101.75 $0.00 $0.00 1/15/2024 $101.75
$101.75 $0.00 $0.00 1/17/2024 $101.75
$101.75 -$0.75 $0.00 1/19/2024 $101.00
$101.00 $0.00 $0.00 1/20/2024 $101.00
$101.00 -$0.75 $1.00 1/22/2024 $101.25
$101.25 -$0.71 $1.00 1/24/2024 $101.53
$101.53 $0.00 $0.00 1/26/2024 $101.53
$101.53 $0.00 $0.00 1/28/2024 $101.53
$101.53 $0.00 $0.00 1/30/2024 $101.53
$101.53 $0.00 $0.00 2/2/2024 $101.53
$101.53 $0.00 $0.00 2/3/2024 $101.53
$101.53 $0.00 $0.00 2/5/2024 $101.53
$101.53 -$0.88 $1.00 2/7/2024 $101.65
$101.65 -$0.43 $0.00 2/9/2024 $101.23
$101.23 $0.00 $0.00 2/10/2024 $101.23
$101.23 $0.00 $0.00 2/12/2024 $101.23
$101.23 -$0.32 $1.00 2/14/2024 $101.91
$101.91 $0.00 $0.00 2/23/2024 $101.91
$101.91 $0.00 $0.00 2/25/2024 $101.91
$101.91 $0.00 $0.00 2/27/2024 $101.91
$101.91 -$0.54 $1.00 2/29/2024 $102.37
$102.37 -$0.51 $1.00 3/2/2024 $102.86
$102.86 -$0.49 $0.00 3/5/2024 $102.37
$102.37 $0.00 $0.00 3/6/2024 $102.37
$102.37 -$0.45 $0.00 3/8/2024 $101.92
$101.92 $0.00 $0.00 3/10/2024 $101.92
$101.92 -$0.65 $1.00 3/13/2024 $102.27
$102.27 -$0.50 $1.00 3/15/2024 $102.76
$102.76 -$0.82 $0.00 3/17/2024 $101.94
$101.94 -$0.81 $1.00 3/18/2024 $102.13
$102.13 -$0.81 $1.00 3/21/2024 $102.32

I am down 1% overall.

That was a lot of plays, and I still get shorting the home team is better. Working on that to be sure.


More than anything, the total hack hit.

This is what killed my phone.

Personally, every e-mail I use, is being removed from the internet. Except Loto-Quebec.

I will never use e-mail again for any company or government organization.

They also broke into my tax account. My computer was not turned on. Now I got to spend a day to fix that.

My cell phone arrives next week. Then I will film the virus and post it on youtube.

This actually happened a few days ago.

It reprogrammed a Nortel phone. No easy task for the at home punk hacker.


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One game today only.

I have now switched the gaming button to on! It was hard to find. Underneath the computer...

Lakers currently 4.26

I now wait, until game time for the final line. May the power of "Grey-skull" protect the Internet and Hydro. Don't know if "Grey-skull" is the good guy, I forget.

The gaming machine is all dog!!!

The other model was quite interesting, and yes, I still use the shorting part.

Winner.

Nice to see a winner to start. That pays for three losses.

I see 4.20 as yesterday's odd on the oddsportal screen today.

I paid 4.10. Half an hour before game time.

So I pay another 2.5% to 5% vig to loto Q. Must adjust!

Today.

Portland. Listed at 5.08

PORT
LAL
CHAR
PHI
DET

My four bit patterns take too long to show up.

So I short favs and that's it from now on.

It works on paper, mostly. I pay quite a high vig on these games. PORT alone is 12% by game time most times.

It's always a guess. I wait as long as my back can take it and I'm done!

Loto Quebec will tell me if I can win or not. If it wins on paper, but fails on screen, them I am out of course.

This has everything to do with the odds portal line as my guide. And then it shorts the fav.

I show about a 15% or so season gain on paper.

Everyday, I try just touch it up a bit. However, not all things work. That 15% can be double easily by increasing the wager for more leverage.

The above wagers currently use no more than 1.5% of bank.

All this experimentation has left me down a total of $10.40 on the season.

You know, you gotta try bad moves eh...

Some of these games are close!!!!!!!!!!!!

I have a song for that...

Let me go get it...

Never found the song!

Well, it is truthfully over for the NBA trading.

This is the day I planned to stop betting early in the season, and there are no wagers left anyhow.

Fun experiment! Not profitable, but quite interesting.

Have a good Easter!

Later this week, I begin baseball.

There are no plays for about a month and a half.

Unless I find something and get greedy...

https://www.mathsisfun.com/games/hex-drums.html?r=Base_8089~Claves_788D~Hi-Hat-1_B889~Low-Conga_4889~Mid-Conga_7889~Hi-Conga_9889

Hexadecimal 5 deep as well, or 32 bit.

https://www.oddsportal.com/baseball/usa/mlb/standings/

Form to the right.

I am building a slide rule.

Maybe bigger than 5 games.

It's tough to program.

Soon, picks!

I will attempt to run two systems in unison.

My charts have not hit 34 days yet.

Don't quit your gambling day job to play drums!

CLE
BAL
TOR
SEA
ATL
PHI
NYM

Do note, I started yesterday. I went 6-1. Luck involved for sure.

I divided by the line like usual.

So my bank moved from $100.00 to $103.87.

I want let you know this because I need to see if this is range bound and by how much.

So I started my bank count with what I won.

Trust me, it makes life a lot easier to use the bank winnings of your book, and not made up ones based on a line.

I am not tracking favs. I am tracking streaks.

When they streak, if successful at winning, they tend to go fav, eventually.

Often, not that many games, maybe four or five wins in a row.

So that is the game plan so far.

After 34 games, I will add a second system.

And, I am following Chris! As a fan!

Too much weed in me to chase...

SEA Second game.

Not that that good so far. Looking like a losing day.

3-3 so far..

BAL
ATL
MIL
PHI
NYM

A little under break even yesterday.

Hit 5.64% up on the year.

BAL
ATL
MIL
PHI

PHI
CLE
PIT
TB
KC
CHI
MIN
NYM
TEX
LAD

Actually, this a whole new build!

The games above are the best of the lot, using two criteria only.

Let me explain all soon.

The AI has been studying...

P.S. Still up 4.2% in baseball. i had to wait.

The lines I had from statfox, Oddsportal, and from my bookie, are up to 30% vigourish difference!

So I need a whole new build.

Things were going the same, breaking even too much.

Vigourish is a beast.

Today, CLE pays 1.83 at my book.
Detroit, the opponent pays 2.


Oddsportal, 1.85,and 2.01

So I am good. Loto Quebec plays fairly in the morning as fairly gets.

To base a bet on a line turns out to be an absurdity to input.

So I stopped all that. I now will track money as before.


My way. 1/1.85= 0.540540541

So I must bet .55 on CLE, to win $1.

1/2=.50 So .50 on DET to win.

Not too difficult. All good. At breakfast. This will never hold!!! Anyhow, example really.

I have two games and I go 1-1.

It is clear I lost .05 cents.

Therefore, the odd does not matter. Even if the game is different.

Let me try PHI. 1.5 and 2.7 At loto Q.

.67 to win a buck.

.38 on SF to win a buck.

Oddsportal odds.


1.48 to 2.81

My vig increases 4% on dogs if I lived in England.

I don't.

So yes, I get taken a bit more the higher the line goes.

My AI determined all the plays today. Evey team is one particle or more, better than the other team.

I have to use bigger words that sound like science stuff for the newest machine.



Let me post this part and continue...

The next step, is see how much this loses!!!

So I set aside my $100 and my modest $4.20 of baseball profit so far.

Every day will have all these bets posted.

This is, at long last, the daily line!!!

You can see I took the whole board. Quite obvious. However, I smoke 8 grams a day to walk. Gotta watch for those early morning errors...

I built the line myself.

All that can happen now, is this goes up, or down.

Give it thirty days at least.

The AI tells me, why people bet. How they bet.

I believe I should be very close to break even. I believe in Santa too!

I am building in a why and how, that is a solo Joe Public. Model 1.

He only bets one way, every morning, every day, with his cup of coffee, a "J" or a couple, and good music!

Can you beat Joe Public model 1???

It is clear, as stated, the vig I use. I am not typing that in each day. No way. I'll go insane...

All fibs used by books are running a 13/34 fib to balance things out. Or many variants of it. All clearly visible after many an investigation.

That is why Basketball broke even.

Now, I have a line I can build through time!

Since I want it to look nice, my starting balance will be $100. As of today.

So...

Win or lose, a percentage will be generated each day.


And that, is the daily line!!!

I can rebuild from the day baseball was invented. It would be 100% accurate.

In the end, the plan is to bet the whole thing, or against the whole thing.

A bit more soon...