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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 4/14

Arizona (8-5) @ Miami (6-7)
— Bumgarner is 0-1, 8.31 in his first two starts
— Arizona is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 4-4, 3.78 in 14 starts vs Miami

— Arizona won five of its last six games.
— Arizona is 3-3 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-5

— Rogers is 0-2, 7.00 in his first two starts
— Marlins lost both of those starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 1-1, 5.23 in two starts vs Arizona.

— Miami won three of its last four games.
— Marlins are 3-4 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

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Philadelphia (4-9) @ Cincinnati (5-7)
— Walker is 0-1, 6.00 in his first two starts.
— Phillies are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 2-1, 4.98 in four starts against the Reds.

— Phillies lost four of their last five games.
— Phillies are 1-6 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-4-3.1

— Overton is 0-0, 10.13 in his first two starts.
— Reds are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 0-0, 10.80 in two starts against the Phillies (6.2 IP).

— Reds lost six of their last eight games.
— Cincinnati is 4-2 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-4

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Pittsburgh (8-5) @ St Louis (5-8)
— Oviedo is 1-0, 3.97 in his first two starts.
— Pirates are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 0-1, 3.60 in two starts vs St Louis

— Pirates won seven of their last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-2 on road.
— under 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

— Woodford is 0-2, 9.00 in his first two starts.
— Cardinals are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He gave up 7 runs in 11 IP, in seven relief stints vs Pittsburgh.

— Cardinals are 5-8 in their first 13 games.
— Cardinals are 2-5 at home.
— under 9-4
— scored run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-2.2

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Milwaukee (9-4) @ San Diego (7-7)
— Former Padre (2018-19) Lauer is 1-1, 7.71 in his first two starts.
— Brewers are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 0-0, 1.50 in two starts vs San Diego

— Brewers won nine of their last 12 games.
— Milwaukee is 4-3 on road.
— six of last seven games stayed under the total
— scored run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.1-4.1

— Wacha is 2-0, 3.00 in his first two starts.
— Padres are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 6-0, 3.38 in 14 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Padres lost three of their last four games.
— San Diego is 3-4 at home.
— under 5-1 last six
— scored run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

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Cubs (6-5) @ Los Angeles (7-6)
— Steele is 1-0, 0.75 in his first two starts.
— Cubs are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 1-1, 3.60 in two games (1 start) against the Dodgers.

— Cubs won five of their last seven games.
— Chicago is 1-1 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-3-x

— Syndergaard is 0-1, 6.30 in his first two starts
— Dodgers are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 1-2, 5.67 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
— Dodgers are 4-2 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 7-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-x

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Minnesota (9-4) @ New York (8-5)
— Mahle is 1-1, 4.09 in his first two starts.
— Twins are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Twins won nine of their first 13 games.
— Minnesota is 5-2 on road.
— under 8-4-1
— scored run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4-2

— Cortes is 2-0, 2.61 in his first two starts.
— New York won both of his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 2-1, 4.35 in five games (3 starts) vs Minnesota.

— New York is 8-5 in its first 13 games.
— Bronx is 4-3 at home.
— under 4-3 at home
— scored run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-8.1

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Tampa Bay (13-0) @ Toronto (8-5)
— Rasmussen is 2-0, 0.00 in his first two starts (13 IP).
— Tampa Bay won both of his starts
— over 1-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 1-3, 2.33 in seven starts vs Toronto

— Tampa Bay is 13-0, with 11 wins by 4+ runs.
— Rays are 3-0 on road.
— over 10-2-1
— scored run in first inning: 7-13
— record in first 5 innings: 11-1-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-6

— Berrios is 0-2, 13.03 in his first two starts.
— Blue Jays are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 1-4, 5.86 in eight starts vs Tampa Bay

— Toronto won seven of its last nine games.
— Blue Jays are 2-1 at home
— Over 7-6
— scored run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2-3

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LA Angels (7-5) @ Boston (5-8)
— Sandoval is 1-0, 1.64 in his first two starts.
— Angels split his first two starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He gave up four runs in 4.2 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Angels are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Angels are 4-2 on road.
— over 5-5-2
— scored run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-x

— Houck is 2-0, 4.50 in his first two starts.
— Red Sox are 2-0 in his starts, scoring 23 runs.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He gave up 7 runs in 4.1 IP, in two relief stints vs Anaheim.

— Red Sox lost seven of their last ten games.
— Boston is 2-4 at home.
— over 8-4-1
— scored run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-9-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3.1

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Baltimore (7-6) @ White Sox (5-8)
— Wells allowed four runs in 6 IP in his first ‘23 start.
— Orioles lost his first start.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— This is his first start against Chicago.

— Orioles are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— Baltimore is 3-3 on road.
— over 9-4
— scored run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4.2-5

— Clevinger is 2-0, 3.48 in his first two starts.
— Chicago won his two first starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 4-1, 3.69 in six starts vs Baltimore.

— Chicago lost five of its last seven games.
— White Sox are 1-2 at home.
— under 3-0-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x

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Texas (7-5) @ Houston (6-7)
— Perez is 1-1, 3.37 in his first two starts.
— Rangers split his two starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 2-4, 4.22 in his last seven starts vs Houston.

— Texas is 3-1 in its last four games.
— Rangers are 1-2 on road.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-x

— Garcia is 0-1, 7.00 in his first two starts.
— Astros are 0-2 in his starts
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 3-0, 2.50 in five games (3 starts) vs Texas

— Astros are 3-1 in their last four games.
— Houston is 3-4 at home.
— over 6-1 at home
— scored run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-x

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San Francisco (5-7) @ Detroit (3-9)
— Manaea allowed a run in 6 IP (76 PT) in his first ‘23 start.
— Giants are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 3-2, 3.81 in five starts vs Detroit.

— Giants are 5-7 to start this season
— San Francisco is 3-3 on road
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5.1-x

— Wentz is 0-2, 10.29 in his first two starts.
— Tigers lost his first two starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Giants.

— Detroit lost six of its last seven games.
— Tigers are 0-3 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-4

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Cleveland (7-6) @ Washington (4-9)
— Quantrill is 0-1, 7.45 in his first two starts.
— Guardians are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Guardians are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Cleveland is 5-2 on road.
— over 4-3 on road
— scored run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4.1-x

— Williams is 1-1, 5.23 in his first two starts.
— Nationals are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 1-1, 0.90 in two starts vs Cleveland (10 IP).

— Nationals lost nine of their first 13 games.
— Washington is 1-5 at home.
— over 3-2-1 home
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4.1-x

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Atlanta (9-4) @ Kansas City (4-9)
— Morton is 1-1, 5.06 in his first two starts.
— Braves split his two starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 1-2, 4.44 in four starts vs Kansas City.

— Atlanta won 3 in row, nine of first 13 games.
— Braves are 5-1 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4-x

— Singer is 1-0, 4.91 in his first two starts.
— Royals are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Braves.

— Royals lost three of their last four games.
— Royals are 1-6 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-x

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NY Mets (7-6) @ Oakland (3-10)
— Senga is 2-0, 1.59 in his first two MLB starts, both vs Miami.
— Mets won both of those games.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against the A’s

— Mets won four of their last six games.
— Mets are 3-4 on road.
— under 4-1 last five
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-x

— Kaprielian is 0-1, 11.17 in his first two starts.
— A’s are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

— A’s lost 10 of their last 11 games.
— Oakland is 2-4 at home
— over 9-4
— scored run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-5.2

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Colorado (5-8) @ Seattle (5-8)
— Gomber is 0-2, 6.75 in his first two starts.
— Colorado lost both of those games.
— over 21-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He gave up three runs in 6 IP in his one start vs Seattle.

— Rockies are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
— Colorado is 2-4 on road.
— over 4-2 last six
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-x

— Gonzales is 1-0, 4.22 in his first two starts.
— Mariners split his first two starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 2-0, 4.60 in three starts vs Colorado.

— Seattle lost three of its last four games.
— Mariners are 2-5 at home.
— over 7-4-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-2.1-x

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Friday, 04/14/2023 (921) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (922) DETROIT
Favoring: DETROIT on the money line.
SEAN MANAEA is 0-10 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MANAEA 3.9, OPPONENT 6.6 - (Rating = 5*)

Friday, 04/14/2023 (921) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (922) DETROIT
Favoring: DETROIT on the money line.
SEAN MANAEA is 3-12 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MANAEA 4.5, OPPONENT 6.9 - (Rating = 2*)

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Friday, 04/14/2023 (925) ATLANTA vs. (926) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: Over on the total.
CHARLIE MORTON is 24-9 OVER (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MORTON 5.1, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 2*)

Friday, 04/14/2023 (915) BALTIMORE vs. (916) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: Over on the total.
MIKE CLEVINGER is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVINGER 5.7, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)

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The system making Friday’s pick factors in both wind speed and direction.
Today, Bet Labs’ Wind Blowing In PRO system suggests bettors take the Orioles vs. White Sox under the total of 9.

The Guaranteed Rate Field forecast Friday shows an average of seven mph winds blowing in for the night game, fitting the model’s criteria to play the Orioles vs. White Sox under.

Sharp Action and Big Money PRO tools lit up Friday, with the under attracting a hefty three-fourths of the money on just 56% of tickets. That’s because we tracked two steam moves on the under, and zero on the over.

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