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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 5/21

Arizona (20-21) @ Cubs (15-23)
— Bumgarner is 2-1, 3.22 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 4-4 in his starts.
— last four starts went over
— allowed run in first inning: 5-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He is 4-2, 3.44 in six starts at Wrigley Field.

— Diamondbacks lost six of last eight games.
— Arizona is 10-10 on road.
— four of last six games went over
— scored run in first inning: 11-41
— record in first 5 innings: 16-12-13

— Steele is 0-4, 7.36 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 0-0, 1.50 in one start vs Arizona.

— Cubs won four of last seven games.
— Cubs are 6-14 at home.
— under 11-4-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-37
— record in first 5 innings: 13-20-4

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NY Mets (26-14) @ Colorado (18-19)
— Carrasco is 2-0, 5.51 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Williams is 0-1, 6.00 in two starts.
— Mets are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 2-1, 4.58 in three starts vs Colorado

— Mets are 15-9 in their last 24 games.
— Mets are 13-6 on road.
— under 4-1 last five road games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-40
— record in first 5 innings: 23-9-8

— Marquez is 1-3, 9.15 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 3-1, 3.48 in five starts vs New York.

— Gomber is 1-2, 4.88 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5
— He is 1-0, 2.25 in one start vs New York.

— Colorado lost nine of last 12 games.
— Rockies are 13-9 at home.
— over 10-3 last thirteen home games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-37
— record in first 5 innings: 13-20-4

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San Diego (25-14) @ San Francisco (22-16)
— Musgrove is 1-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 7-0 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He is 2-3, 5.02 in seven starts vs San Francisco.

— Padres are 20-9 in their last 28 games.
— San Diego is 15-7 on road.
— under three of last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-39
— record in first 5 innings: 22-12-5

— Rodon is 1-2, 6.89 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Giants won eight of last twelve games.
— San Francisco is 11-8 at home.
— over 15-6 last 21
— scored run in first inning: 7-38
— record in first 5 innings: 21-12-5

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Los Angeles (26-12) @ Philadelphia (18-21)
— bullpen game

— Dodgers won their last six games.
— Los Angeles is 11-7 on road.
— over 7-4 last eleven
— scored run in first inning: 15-38
— record in first 5 innings: 23-9-6

— Nola is 0-4, 3.51 in his last seven starts.
— Phillies are 1-7 in his starts
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He is 2-0, 3.09 in six starts vs Los Angeles.

— Phillies lost four of their last five games.
— Philly is 10-12 at home.
— last four games under
— scored run in first inning: 14-39
— record in first 5 innings: 15-18-6

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Atlanta (18-21) @ Miami (17-21)
— Wright is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 1-2, 4.74 in four starts vs Miami.

— Braves lost three of last five games.
— Atlanta is 8-10 on road.
— over 16-7-1 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-39
— record in first 5 innings: 17-18-4

— Hernandez is 0-2, 9.22 in his last three starts
— Marlins are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 1-1, 3.22 in 11 games (6 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Miami lost 13 of last 18 games.
— Marlins are 9-11 at home
— over 10-3 last thirteen home games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-38
— record in first 5 innings: 15-16-7

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St Louis (21-18) @ Pittsburgh (16-22)
— Liberatore is making his MLB debut here.
— He is 3-3, 3.83 in seven AAA starts this year.
— He was 9-9, 4.04 in 22 AAA games (18 starts) last year.
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Cardinals are 5-8 in last thirteen games.
— St Louis is 11-10 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 15-39
— record in first 5 innings: 18-16-5

— Quintana is 1-0, 1.17 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 5-2 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
— He is 5-3, 4.39 in 11 starts vs St Louis.

— Pirates are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Pittsburgh split its last ten home games.
— under 5-0-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 7-38
— record in first 5 innings: 12-21-5

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Washington (13-27) @ Milwaukee (25-14)
— Corbin is 0-4, 6.75 in his last five starts.
— Washington is 0-8 in his starts.
— under 6-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
— He is 3-6, 4.55 in ten starts vs Milwaukee.

— Washington lost 11 of last 15 games.
— Nationals are 8-12 on the road.
— over is 12-5-3 in their road games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-40
— record in first 5 innings: 13-24-3

— Woodruff is 4-1, 4.80 in his last six starts.
— Brewers are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 3-0, 0.70 in five games (3 starts) vs Washington.

— Brewers are 21-9 in their last 30 games.
— Milwaukee is 13-5 at home.
— over 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-39
— record in first 5 innings: 17-14-8

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White Sox (19-19) @ New York (28-10)
— Keuchel is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
— White Sox are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He is 4-4, 2.06 in ten starts vs New York.

— White Sox are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Chicago is 10-9 on road.
— under 16-6-1 last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-38
— record in first 5 innings: 19-16-3

— Cortes is 1-1, 1.95 in his last five starts.
— New York is 4-2 in his starts
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-3
— He is 3-0, 1.89 in three games (2 starts) vs Chicago.

— New York won 22 of last 26 games.
— New York is 14-4 at home.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 11-39
— record in first 5 innings: 21-7-11

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Tampa Bay (23-16) @ Baltimore (16-24)
— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay won five of last eight games.
— Rays are 10-7 on road.
— over 7-0-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 12-39
— record in first 5 innings: 18-11-10

— Bradish is 1-2, 5.48 in four starts.
— Orioles are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay

— Orioles lost six of last eight games.
— Orioles won last two games on walk-off homers.
— Baltimore is 11-10 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-40
— record in first 5 innings: 10-21-9

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Detroit (13-26) @ Cleveland (17-19)
— Faedo is 0-1, 2.87 in three starts.
— Tigers are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Tigers won four of last seven games.
— Detroit is 4-13 on the road.
— under 24-11-1 last 36 games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-39
— record in first 5 innings: 10-23-6

— Bieber is 0-2, 4.98 in his last four starts.
— Cleveland is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He is 6-2, 2.28 in eight starts vs Detroit.

— Guardians lost five of their last seven games.
— Cleveland is 8-7 at home.
— over 9-6 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-36
— record in first 5 innings: 9-15-12

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Seattle (17-23) @ Boston (17-22)
— Flexen is 0-4, 4.91 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 1-6 in his starts, scoring 7 runs total.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-1
— He is 1-0, 1.29 in one start vs Boston.

— Mariners lost 17 of their last 23 games.
— Seattle is 8-16 on road.
— over 9-6-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-40
— record in first 5 innings: 14-20-6

— Whitlock is 0-1, 3.60 in five starts
— Red Sox are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He threw 2.1 scoreless IP in relief vs Seattle.

— Red Sox are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Boston is 8-10 at home.
— under 7-5-1 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-39
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-10

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Minnesota (23-16) @ Kansas City (14-24)
— Ryan is 4-1, 2.14 in his last six starts.
— Minnesota is 5-2 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 1-0, 0.00 in one start (6 IP) vs Kansas City

— Minnesota won five of last seven games.
— Twins are 10-8 on road.
— under 8-5-1 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 13-39
— record in first 5 innings: 18-13-8

— Keller is 1-1, 3.46 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 3-3, 3.20 in nine starts vs Minnesota.

— Kansas City lost 14 of last 21 games.
— Royals are 8-13 at home.
— under 3-2-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 9-38
— record in first 5 innings: 12-19-7

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Texas (18-20) @ Houston (25-15)
— Gray is 1-1, 5.73 in five starts.
— Rangers are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-3
— He is 1-1, 3.00 in three starts vs Houston.

— Rangers are 12-6 in their last 18 games.
— Texas is 8-8 on foreign soil.
— under 15-9-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-38
— record in first 5 innings: 11-16-11

— Verlander is 3-0, 1.25 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 19-8, 2.66 in 32 starts vs Texas.

— Astros won 14 of their last 18 games.
— Houston is 10-5 at home.
— under 19-5 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-40
— record in first 5 innings: 24-12-4

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A’s (17-24) @ LA Angels (24-17)
— Montas is 0-3, 3.69 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 2-6 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-3
— He is 4-2, 2.36 in 11 starts vs Anaheim.

— A’s lost five of their last eight games.
— Oakland is 11-10 on road.
— under 11-4-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 11-41
— record in first 5 innings: 15-20-6

— Lorenzen is 3-1, 3.12 in his last four starts
— Angels are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 1-0, 1.00 in two games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Angels are 18-12 in their last 30 games.
— Angels are 12-8 at home.
— over five of last six games
— scored run in first inning: 18-41
— record in first 5 innings: 23-14-4

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Cincinnati (11-27) @ Toronto (21-18)
— Greene is 0-2, 2.08 in his last two starts.
— Reds are 1-6 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Reds are 8-5 in last 13 games, after a 3-22 start.
— Cincinnati is 6-18 on road.
— over 16 of last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-38
— record in first 5 innings: 9-25-4

— Manoah is 4-2, 2.14 in seven starts.
— Toronto is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Blue Jays are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— Toronto is 13-7 at home.
— under 7-0 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 15-39
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-12

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Saturday, 05/21/2022 (973) TEXAS vs. (974) HOUSTON
Favoring: HOUSTON on the money line.
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less
(49-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (90.7%, +39.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +4 units).

Saturday, 05/21/2022 (973) TEXAS vs. (974) HOUSTON
Favoring: HOUSTON on the money line.
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less
(78-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.7%, +52.8 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +1.5 units).

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Saturday, 05/21/2022 (967) SEATTLE vs. (968) BOSTON
Favoring: SEATTLE on the money line.
SEATTLE is 31-17 (+27.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SEATTLE 4.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/21/2022 (967) SEATTLE vs. (968) BOSTON
Favoring: SEATTLE on the money line.
SEATTLE is 42-29 (+26.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SEATTLE 4.3, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 3*)

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Saturday, 05/21/2022 (971) TAMPA BAY vs. (972) BALTIMORE
Favoring: Under on the total.
BALTIMORE is 13-2 UNDER (+10.9 Units) after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 3.1, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/21/2022 (969) DETROIT vs. (970) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Under on the total.
DETROIT is 26-8 UNDER (+17.3 Units) after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 3.7, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 3*)

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Saturday, 05/21/2022 (977) OAKLAND vs. (978) LA ANGELS
Favoring: OAKLAND against the spread.
OAKLAND is 16-1 (+14.8 Units) against the run line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was OAKLAND 4.6, OPPONENT 2.8 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/21/2022 (979) CINCINNATI vs. (980) TORONTO
Favoring: TORONTO against the spread.
CINCINNATI is 2-15 (-15.1 Units) against the run line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 3.1, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 4*)

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Saturday, 05/21/2022 (967) SEATTLE vs. (968) BOSTON
Favoring: SEATTLE on the money line.
CHRIS FLEXEN is 19-7 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FLEXEN 5.1, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/21/2022 (955) LA DODGERS vs. (956) PHILADELPHIA
Favoring: LA DODGERS on the money line.
AARON NOLA is 7-18 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NOLA 4.4, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 3*)

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