Sunday, 08/04/2019 (955) MILWAUKEE vs. (956) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: CHICAGO CUBS on the money line.
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games
(64-17 since 1997.) (79.0%, +40.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-4 +2.3 units).

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (965) LA ANGELS vs. (966) CLEVELAND
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the money line.
Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CLEVELAND) - with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL
(78-70 over the last 5 seasons.) (52.7%, +60.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-9 +5.5 units).

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (965) LA ANGELS vs. (966) CLEVELAND
Favoring: CLEVELAND on the run line.
Play Against - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 or higher) (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start
(48-12 since 1997.) (80.0%, +32.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2 +2.6 units).

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (957) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (958) COLORADO
Favoring: COLORADO on the run line.
Play On - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (COLORADO) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts
(86-66 over the last 5 seasons.) (56.6%, +59.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (16-12 +10.5 units).

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (965) LA ANGELS vs. (966) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA ANGELS) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
(49-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +31.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-4 +5.7 units).

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (953) NY METS vs. (954) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PITTSBURGH) - a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record, in August games
(139-74 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.3%, +60.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Brewers (57-55) @ Cubs (59-51)
Houser is 0-4, 6,75 in seven starts. Team in his starts: 2-5
5-inning record: 2-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: 3-4

Darvish is 1-1, 2.25 in his last four starts, and is 0-1, 2.12 in three starts vs Milwaukee. Team in his starts: 9-13
5-inning record: 9-7-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-22 Over/under: under 3-1 last four

Milwaukee lost five of last six games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight games.

Cubs won 10 of last 12 home games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight games.

Mets (54-56) @ Pirates (48-62)
Syndergaard is 1-1, 2.54 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 1.77 in three starts vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 12-9
5-inning record: 11-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: 13-7-1

Musgrove is 2-2, 5.82 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 0.96 in two games (1 start) vs NY. Team in his starts: 11-11
5-inning record: 11-8-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-21 Over/under: 11-9-2

Mets won eight of their last nine games; under is 4-3 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Pittsburgh lost 17 of last 21 games; over is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-3 last ten games.

Reds (51-58) @ Braves (65-46)
Gray is 3-1, 2.33 in his last six starts; he is 0-2, 4.34 in three starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 12-9
5-inning record: 10-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: 8-11-2

Teheran is 1-1, 2.37 in his last five starts; he is 3-4, 4.01 in eight starts vs Cincy. Team in his starts: 15-8
5-inning record: 10-8-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-23 Over/under: 12-11

Cincy won seven of last 12 games; under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-5 last 11 games.

Braves won six of their last nine games; over is 4-3-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-4-1 last 14 games.

Giants (56-55) @ Rockies (51-60)
Beede is 0-2, 6.75 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 8-4
5-inning record: 4-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-12 Over/under: under 3-0 last three

Freeland is 0-3, 9.22 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 7.20 in two starts vs SF this year. Team in his starts: 5-11
5-inning record: 6-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-16 Over/under: 9-6-1

Giants are 4-5 in their last nine games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight games.

Colorado lost five of last seven games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Padres (51-59) @ Dodgers (73-40)
Paddack is 3-1, 1.82 in his last five starts; he is 0-1, 5.23 in two starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 11-7
5-inning record: 6-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-18 Over/under: 6-11-1

Maeda is 0-4, 5.70 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 3.10 in three starts vs SD this year. Team in his starts: 10-11
5-inning record: 9-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: last five under

San Diego lost 10 of last 15 games; four of their last six games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-3 last six games.

Dodgers are 9-5 in their last 14 games; under is 9-3 last 12 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-1-1 last 11 games.

Red Sox (59-54) @ New York (71-39)
Price is 0-2, 7.92 in his last four starts; he is 9-8, 4.74 in 22 starts in the Bronx. Team in his starts: lost last four
5-inning record: 9-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-19 Over/under: 10-10

Happ is 1-3, 6.75 in his last six starts; he is 1-0, 3.09 in two starts vs Boston this year. Team in his starts: 14-7
5-inning record: 11-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-21 Over/under: 10-11

Red Sox lost their last seven games; over is 16-5-1 in their last 22 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 10-1-2 last 13 games.

New York won its last four games; over is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-3-2 last 14 games.

Angels (56-56) @ Indians (65-45)
Barria was 2-2, 7.71 in four July games; they might use an opener ahead of him. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5 Over/under: 0-5

Bieber is 4-1, 2.45 in his last six starts; he is 1-0, 3.18 in one start vs LAA. Team in his starts: 15-7
5-inning record: 12-5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-22 Over/under: under 5-1 last six

Angels lost seven of last nine games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3-1 last 11 games.

Cleveland won three of its last four games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-3 last 11 games.

White Sox (47-61) @ Phillies (58-52)
Lopez is 1-1, 2.39 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 9-13
5-inning record: 9-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-22 Over/under: under 3-1 last four

Smyly is 1-0, 0.69 in two starts for Philly; he is 0-1, 4.83 in 12 games (5 starts) vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 1-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 0-2

White Sox lost nine of last 11 games; under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1 last seven games.

Phillies won four of last six games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-5-1 last 12 home games.

Marlins (42-66) @ Rays (64-48)
Smith is 4-0, 3.77 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: won last five
5-inning record: 8-5-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-17 Over/under: 7-8-2

Chirinos is 0-1, 8.59 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 7-9
5-inning record: 5-10-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-16 Over/under: 7-9

Marlins won six of last ten games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2 last seven games.

Tampa Bay won seven of last eight games; over is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-1 last ten games.

Cardinals (58-51) @ A’s (63-48)
Wainwright is 2-0, 5.14 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 11-9
5-inning record: 8-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-20 Over/under: 7-12-1

Roark is making his Oakland debut; he was 1-1, 6.30 in his last six starts for Cincy; he is 0-0, 2.61 in two starts vs StL this year. Reds in his starts: 11-10
5-inning record: 9-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-21 Over/under: over 4-0 last four

Cardinals are 3-5 in their last eight games; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1-1 last seven games.

A’s won five of last six games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-0-1 last six games.

Mil-Chi: This is Bacon’s 2nd MLB game behind plate; he has no trends.
NY-Pitt: Over is 9-1 in last ten Everitt games.
Cin-Atl: Underdogs won five of last six Gonzalez games.
Wsh-Az: Last five Conroy games went over the total.
SF-Colo: Over is 5-2-1 in last eight May games.
SD-LA: Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Meals games.

Bos-NY: Seven of last eight Marquez games went over.
Tor-Balt: Favorite won 16 of last 18 O’Nora games.
LA-Clev: Over is 8-3 in last 11 Carlson games.
Sea-Hst: Four of last five Mahrley games stayed under.
KC-Minn: Six of last eight Visconti games stayed under.
Det-Tex: Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Vanover games.

Mia-TB: Underdogs are 7-5 in last dozen Baker games
Chi-Phil: Four of last five Muchlinski games went over.
StL-A’s: Last three Lentz games stayed under the total.

Royals (40-72) @ Twins (68-42)
Keller is 3-1, 2.86 in his last four starts; he is 0-0, 2.08 in two starts vs Minnesota this year. Team in his starts: 9-14
5-inning record: 9-10-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-23 Over/under: 7-13-3

Odorizzi is 2-2, 7.83 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 7.20 in two starts vs KC this season. Team in his starts: 14-7
5-inning record: 13-5-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: 10-11

Royals lost eight of their last nine games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-3 last 13 games.

Minnesota won seven of last nine games; over is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 11-2 last 13 games.

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (963) TORONTO vs. (964) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
TORONTO is 9-38 (-29.5 Units) against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season.
The average score was TORONTO 3.9, OPPONENT 6.1 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (957) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (958) COLORADO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-8 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 5.6, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (973) BOSTON vs. (974) NY YANKEES
Favoring: NY YANKEES against the spread.
NY YANKEES are 16-3 (+21.2 Units) against the run line at home when the run line is (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.9, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 8*)

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (973) BOSTON vs. (974) NY YANKEES
Favoring: NY YANKEES against the spread.
NY YANKEES are 27-14 (+24 Units) against the run line when the run line is (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 6.2, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (953) NY METS vs. (954) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: Over on the total.
PITTSBURGH is 23-6 OVER (+16.3 Units) at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 6.4, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (971) DETROIT vs. (972) TEXAS
Favoring: Under on the total.
TEXAS is 24-7 UNDER (+16.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
The average score was TEXAS 4.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (957) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (958) COLORADO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO against the spread.
KYLE FREELAND is 0-9 (-11.6 Units) against the run line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season.
The average score was FREELAND 3.8, OPPONENT 7.8 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (957) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (958) COLORADO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO against the spread.
KYLE FREELAND is 0-9 (-12.6 Units) against the run line after a loss this season.
The average score was FREELAND 3.3, OPPONENT 6.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (961) SAN DIEGO vs. (962) LA DODGERS
Favoring: Under on the total.
KENTA MAEDA is 13-1 UNDER (+12 Units) as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MAEDA 4.1, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 08/04/2019 (959) WASHINGTON vs. (960) ARIZONA
Favoring: Under on the total.
PAT CORBIN is 11-1 UNDER (+9.8 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CORBIN 3.4, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 2*)