Padres 1st game back from a road trip, F5 and FG Under is combined (13-0-1)

vs Atl (0-3) U4.5 (3-5) U8.5
vs Stl (0-1) U5 (3-1) U9
vs Mil (2-0) U4.5 (2-0) U8
vs Mia (2-0) U3.5 (5-2) P7
vs Pitt (1-0) U4 (4-3) U7.5
vs LAD (3-0) U4 (3-4) U7.5
vs Col (1-2) U4 (2-5) U7.5

Friday, 07/26/2019 (913) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (914) SAN DIEGO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 6.3, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 5*)

Friday, 07/26/2019 (913) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (914) SAN DIEGO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN DIEGO is 2-14 (-14.9 Units) against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.2, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 5*)

Friday, 07/26/2019 (917) NY YANKEES vs. (918) BOSTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
NY YANKEES are 13-1 OVER (+12 Units) in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 7.1, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Friday, 07/26/2019 (913) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (914) SAN DIEGO
Favoring: Over on the total.
SAN DIEGO is 14-1 OVER (+13.1 Units) in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 4.7, OPPONENT 6.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Friday, 07/26/2019 (909) ARIZONA vs. (910) MIAMI
Favoring: Under on the total.
ZACK GREINKE is 18-2 UNDER (+15.9 Units) as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GREINKE 3.4, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Friday, 07/26/2019 (901) COLORADO vs. (902) CINCINNATI
Favoring: Under on the total.
LUIS CASTILLO is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in night games this season.
The average score was CASTILLO 4.7, OPPONENT 2 - (Rating = 3*)

Friday, 07/26/2019 (901) COLORADO vs. (902) CINCINNATI
Favoring: Under on the total.
LUIS CASTILLO is 11-1 UNDER (+9.8 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.
The average score was CASTILLO 3.8, OPPONENT 3 - (Rating = 3*)

Friday, 07/26/2019 (923) TEXAS vs. (924) OAKLAND
Favoring: Under on the total.
LANCE LYNN is 28-7 UNDER (+20.6 Units) in July games since 1997.
The average score was LYNN 3.9, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 3*)

If you don’t like betting on losing clubs, you might have some difficulty finding value on Friday’s board

Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds
German Marquez (9-5, 4.99 ERA) vs. Luis Castillo (9-3, 2.36 ERA)

Rockies Moneyline: +124
Reds Moneyline: -134
Over/Under: 8.5
First pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET
A simple glance at these two pitchers’ stats suggest that Luis Castillo is a way better pitcher than German Marquez. Marquez is pushing an ERA of 5, while Castillo is below half of that at just 2.36. Let’s delve deeper, though. Keep in mind Marquez has to pitch half his games on the moon, where his ERA is over 7.

Marquez: 4.99 ERA, 8.74 K/9, 1.97 BB/9, 50.8% GB%, .311 BABIP, 4.04 FIP, 3.65 xFIP
Castillo: 2.36 ERA, 10.53 K/9, 4.35 BB/9, 56.1% GB%, .237 BABIP, 3.73 FIP, 3.74 xFIP

Castillo has been getting quite lucky when it comes to batted balls, as his BABIP is just .237. That’s super low for anyone, but absurdly low for a ground-ball pitcher. Of nearly 1,500 individual seasons since 2002, just two pitchers with a GB% over 50% have had a lower BABIP than .237: Derek Lowe (.235) in 2002 and Trevor Cahill (.236) in 2010. Quite frankly, Castillo is getting lucky and should see some regression over the final two months of the season.

Since 2005, the Yankees are 13-6 straight-up after allowing 15 or more runs. In the game after giving up 19 or more runs, New York has gone 3-0, winning by 4.7 runs per game.

Zack Greinke has faced the Marlins 11 times in his career.
His teams are 11-0.