Saturday, 05/25/2019 (921) BOSTON vs. (922) HOUSTON
Favoring: BOSTON on the money line.
Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games, in May games
(33-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.2%, +29.7 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2.9 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (911) LA DODGERS vs. (912) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 9 runs or more
(31-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (62.0%, +33.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-5 +6.5 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (917) SEATTLE vs. (918) OAKLAND
Favoring: SEATTLE on the money line.
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - off 2 straight road losses vs. a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts
(42-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.6%, +35.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 +0 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (911) LA DODGERS vs. (912) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more
(33-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +30.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-4 +4.1 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (923) TEXAS vs. (924) LA ANGELS
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TEXAS) - good offensive team - scoring >=4.9 runs/game on the season (AL), after 3 straight wins by 2 runs or less
(33-8 since 1997.) (80.5%, +31.9 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +4.4 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (923) TEXAS vs. (924) LA ANGELS
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play Against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TEXAS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL), after 3 straight wins by 2 runs or less
(42-13 since 1997.) (76.4%, +34.9 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +3.4 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (911) LA DODGERS vs. (912) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the run line.
Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+215 to -130) (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA >=4.50), playing on Saturday
(37-8 since 1997.) (82.2%, +28.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2.4 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (913) CHI WHITE SOX vs. (914) MINNESOTA
Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the run line.
Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a loss by 6 runs or more against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games
(34-8 since 1997.) (81.0%, +26.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (929) BALTIMORE vs. (930) COLORADO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 10 or higher (BALTIMORE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games
(55-20 since 1997.) (73.3%, +33.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +1 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (921) BOSTON vs. (922) HOUSTON
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more errors
(37-11 since 1997.) (77.1%, +25.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (919) TAMPA BAY vs. (920) CLEVELAND
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
TAMPA BAY is 51-30 (+28.3 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 4.3, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (919) TAMPA BAY vs. (920) CLEVELAND
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
CLEVELAND is 3-16 (-15.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.1, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (919) TAMPA BAY vs. (920) CLEVELAND
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
TAMPA BAY is 30-19 (+22 Units) against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (915) NY YANKEES vs. (916) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: NY YANKEES on the money line.
NY YANKEES are 24-4 (+18 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 6.4, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (903) MIAMI vs. (904) WASHINGTON
Favoring: WASHINGTON against the spread.
MIAMI is 1-12 (-14.4 Units) against the run line after 3 or more consecutive road games this season.
The average score was MIAMI 2.3, OPPONENT 7.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (921) BOSTON vs. (922) HOUSTON
Favoring: HOUSTON against the spread.
HOUSTON is 12-2 (+11 Units) against the run line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 5.8, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (915) NY YANKEES vs. (916) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: NY YANKEES against the spread.
NY YANKEES are 34-22 (+22.2 Units) against the run line when the run line is (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.3, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (911) LA DODGERS vs. (912) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: PITTSBURGH against the spread.
PITTSBURGH is 13-1 (+13.2 Units) against the run line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.4, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (915) NY YANKEES vs. (916) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: Over on the total.
NY YANKEES are 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 6.7, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (915) NY YANKEES vs. (916) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: Over on the total.
NY YANKEES are 14-1 OVER (+13.1 Units) after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 7.1, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (915) NY YANKEES vs. (916) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: Over on the total.
NY YANKEES are 13-1 OVER (+12 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 7.8, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (919) TAMPA BAY vs. (920) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Under on the total.
TAMPA BAY is 32-10 UNDER (+20.8 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 3.7, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (917) SEATTLE vs. (918) OAKLAND
Favoring: OAKLAND on the money line.
MICHAEL FIERS is 18-4 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FIERS 4.8, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (925) SAN DIEGO vs. (926) TORONTO
Favoring: TORONTO on the money line.
EDWIN JACKSON is 9-0 (+11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JACKSON 6.1, OPPONENT 2.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (929) BALTIMORE vs. (930) COLORADO
Favoring: COLORADO on the money line.
KYLE FREELAND is 19-5 (+18 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FREELAND 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (917) SEATTLE vs. (918) OAKLAND
Favoring: OAKLAND on the money line.
MICHAEL FIERS is 14-3 (+14.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FIERS 4.7, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (901) CINCINNATI vs. (902) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: CINCINNATI against the spread.
YU DARVISH is 5-20 (-17.1 Units) against the run line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DARVISH 3.6, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 2*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (919) TAMPA BAY vs. (920) CLEVELAND
Favoring: TAMPA BAY against the spread.
CARLOS CARRASCO is 1-12 (-13.3 Units) against the run line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CARRASCO 3.2, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 2*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (929) BALTIMORE vs. (930) COLORADO
Favoring: COLORADO against the spread.
KYLE FREELAND is 18-6 (+14.3 Units) against the run line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FREELAND 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (917) SEATTLE vs. (918) OAKLAND
Favoring: OAKLAND against the spread.
MICHAEL FIERS is 17-5 (+14.3 Units) against the run line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FIERS 4.8, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 2*)

Astros, A's, Rays VS LH
GL

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (901) CINCINNATI vs. (902) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: Under on the total.
YU DARVISH is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DARVISH 2.8, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2019 (901) CINCINNATI vs. (902) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: Under on the total.
TYLER MAHLE is 12-2 UNDER (+9.9 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MAHLE 2.8, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)

i see some overs today

Marlins SP Sandy Alcantara
The Pick: Under 4.5 (-130)

Alcantara hasn’t been great this season, pitching to a 5.02 xFIP, 6.11 K/9, and absurdly low 5.3% K-BB% through nine starts. He’s up against a Nationals offense that has a middling 24% strikeout rate against right-handers, and though their strikeout rate isn’t as low as would be ideal for a prop like this, it’s also not that high.

Given there are 10-mph winds blowing out to left field and the Nationals are implied for 5.5 runs, I’m leaning toward the under in hopes that Alcantara’s inefficiency prohibits him from pitching deep into the game.

It wouldn’t be surprising to see him get into trouble, especially if his walks start to pile up. Given his 10.6% walk rate, that is well within the realm of possibility.

Cin-Chi: Under is 4-1-1 in last six Rehak games.
Mia-Wsh: Over is 5-2-1 in Timmons games.
Az-SF: Favorites won eight of nine Ripperger games.
Phil-Mil: Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Estabrook games.
Atl-StL: All five Carapazza games went over total.
LA-Pitt: Underdogs are 4-2 in last seven Lentz games.

Chi-Min: Favorites won last seven Vanover games.
Sea-A’s: Five of last six LBarrett games stayed under.
TB-Clev: Under is 6-1-1 in Fletcher games.
Bos-Hst: Five of seven Barry games went over.
Tex-LAA: Six of seven Porter games went over.

SD-Tor: Last five Tichenor games stayed under.
Det-NY: Three of last four Foster games stayed under.
Balt-Colo: Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Cederstrom games.

Astros (-123) are getting 47% of bets and 62% of money tonight against Boston.

This season, Houston is 15-5 when getting more dollars than bets on the moneyline, including 7-2 at Minute Maid Park.

I’m only particularly interested in playing the Pirates in an extremely contrarian spot at home against the Dodgers. The Pirates are taking less than 20% of both the moneyline tickets and cash with Joe Musgrove going against Hyun-Jin Ryu.

12 of the Pirates past 15 wins have come by more than one run