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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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NFL Late Games Discussion

let's see if we can find another winner today, feel free to add stats, trends, or movement on games
GL

Old Post 10-21-18 09:00 PM
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msudogs
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The Cowboys are one of only nine teams with a positive differential in both halves of games this season (+9 in the first half and +11 in the second). Yet Dallas is just 3-3 straight up.

The Cowboys have entered halftime trailing their opponents in three games this season and are 3-0 against the second-half spread in all three. They’re a mediocre 69-60-1 against the second-half spread under Jason Garrett, but are 32-16 (+14.6 units) when trailing at the half and 27-37 (-13 units) when leading. The former is the best mark in the NFL since Garrett was hired in 2010
Did you know? The Cowboys have lost three straight road games SU entering this divisional matchup in Washington.

Old Post 10-21-18 09:32 PM
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msudogs
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LA Rams have 65% of wagers yet the line has dropped ?

Old Post 10-21-18 09:40 PM
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eels
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Registered: Dec 2005
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I really want to take CIN +6 but they are a hard team to trust with your money, especially in prime time

Old Post 10-21-18 09:42 PM
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msudogs
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Saints/Ravens U 50

The best defense in the league will clash against the best offense in the league.

A +24% bets vs. dollars differential has dropped the total down to 50, and I’m in agreement. I think this would be a solid play regardless.

Winds between 12 and 16 mph will be swirling in Baltimore, which should impact any long passes and field-goal attempts.

The Ravens have only closed with a total of 50 or higher once with Joe Flacco starting at M&T Bank Stadium: in 2015 against the Chargers. So this total is historically high for the situation. The Ravens have leaned to the under at home with Flacco (55.6%, 8.7% return on investment), too.

When Flacco starts at home with an average wind of 5 mph or higher, the under is 28-16 (63.6%, 24.6%), including 11-2 with an average greater than 10 mph. In those 13 games, opponents have averaged only 12.1 points.

I would be hard-pressed to not again mention the incredible second-half defense Baltimore has played. In addition to not allowing a second-half touchdown, the defense has allowed less than 20 net yards per drive, which is the best in the NFL by more than five yards.

Opponents’ 36 total second-half drives (tied for fifth most in the league) have started with the Ravens leading by an average of 9.6 points, which is the NFL’s highest lead in that spot

Old Post 10-21-18 09:48 PM
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msudogs
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talk about lucky !

Saints/Ravens U 50.............W

Old Post 10-22-18 07:54 AM
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