The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375
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Saturday College Bowl 5*
Not sure how much time I will have tomorrow, so wanted to get this posted as it is only game I see tomorrow with value on Bowl slate.
5* Troy vs N.Texas Under 62
This is best defense N.Texas has faced since Iowa early in year and that was a game Mean Green managed just 14 points in.They may be in for even a tougher time today against a Troy defense that is rested and held 9 of 12 opponents to 21 or less.Troy offense is extremely bread and butter and can look comatose against some of the worst of defenses(South Alabama,Idaho,etc). I expect Troy to do what they have done all season here, short passes and runs. The Mean Green have had preperation time and having watched Troy a good bit this season, I have a heavy inclination the offense will stink it up tomorrow. I love Under here. GL
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12-15-17 11:40 PM |
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Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375
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GL on this folks. The early part of Bowl season always seems the trickiest for me ,so I will stick with one play today. Just a note on N.Texas defense. Stats show them allowing 5 YPC, but when you filter out Florida Atlantic and Army, this rush defense was considerably better then what stats indicate and when opponents held Troy under 5 YPC this season , they averaged about 24 PPG, or around 6 points less then season average. This game is dripping a high 40s or low 50s outcome to me.
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12-16-17 04:44 PM |
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Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375
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Lots of N.Texas action coming in late.Interesting
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12-16-17 06:51 PM |
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Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375
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Poor read on this one for sure.Hope NFL better tomorrow.
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12-17-17 12:30 AM |
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