The final week of any season is difficult to bet, and I’m only taking one value play for Week 38: a moneyline parlay of Arsenal/Man City which pays out -125. Both teams have incentive to win with a Top 4 spot on the line, and neither team is getting a lot of public support. This means that bettors are taking the trendy underdogs of Everton and Watford, even though neither have much to play for on the final day.
Most Lopsided Around Market: 96% on Leicester (-104)
Biggest Line Moves at Pinnacle: Burnley (+148 to +124), Middlesbrough (+2900 to +2300)