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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

5-4/5-16 Hockey thread, picks, info and more

TB just steals one against the Isles and the Stars goaltending is faltering at a very bad time.

Gargo 1-0 (13-8 run, +9.75)
Brutus5775 1-0 (5-1 run, +3.9)


eels 0-1 (5-3 run +3.22)
usc1990 0-1 (2-1 run +1.75)

Did not make pick

fulkgl 1-0
lemgreen 1-1 (102-98 run, +16.01)
Sherlock 0-1 (6-3 run, +3.30)
Zac 0-1 (50-40 run, +8.62)
lineshark 0-1 (168-122, +40.03)

Wednesday

Caps at Pens 8:00 PM

Thursday

Stars at Blues 8:00 PM
Sharks at Preds 9:00

Old Post 05-04-16 05:45 PM
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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

The Pens are at home for game 4, being up 2-1. You would think the Caps would cowboy up and put in a great effort to tie things up at 2-2 right ? So exactly how does history say the Pens will do tonight ?

It says the Pens are in a bit of trouble tonight and the oddsmakers are yelling at you about it by having the Caps a -115 fave and higher. In this situation the home team has a horrible 47% win rate in this situation. With the Caps at this much of a fave it's pretty much right on. Personally I would wait for the late Pens money to come in to get a better payback on the Caps.

Old Post 05-04-16 05:52 PM
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dg84


Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1178

Letang's suspension will have a big effect on the Pens puck movement on the PP & moving out of their own end. I can see a few neutral zone turnovers turning into great scoring opportunities for the Caps tonight. Murray will need to stand on his head again, if they're to go up 3-1 before heading back to Washington.

Old Post 05-04-16 07:26 PM
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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

dg84

I agree completely

Caps -118
Pens ov 5 -120

Old Post 05-05-16 12:29 AM
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Zac
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 15654

Pittsburgh +113

Good luck.

Old Post 05-05-16 01:19 AM
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usc1990
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6863

Caps -125 to win 3 units


Playoffs : 7-6 (-5.6)

Old Post 05-05-16 01:21 AM
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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

5-5-16 History lesson

Both games are 2-1 tonight, but one home team is in the lead while one road team is in the lead.

Let's take the Sharks being up 2-1 tonight in Nashville. Here the Sharks are a under .500 prop, hitting at 47%. So the Preds are a slight bargain at -109.....very slight.

Now how about the Blues being up 2-1. Here you have a huge bargain if you can trust the Stars goaltending. In this situation the home team is hitting at a horrible 46.5% for all rounds and a much worse 42.1% for the quarterfinal round. Now this last number is based on only 57 games, but still a good little sample.

So tonight we have a slight play on the Preds and big play on the Stars.....again that's if you can trust their goaltending.

GL

Old Post 05-05-16 09:21 PM
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Zac
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 15654

Saint Louis Blues -1 (+118)

Good luck.

Old Post 05-06-16 01:16 AM
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ONE TOUGH MAZE
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Registered: Feb 2012
Posts: 7968

Nashville+100
Nashville U/5

Old Post 05-06-16 03:14 AM
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