Monday night Pitt at Cincy sharp trap or over thinking it?
Interesting game tonight. At open it made sense that sentiment on Pitt would be down losing to Tenn. But then after Tenn takes Houston to overtime at home I expected the line to move in Pitt's favor. Given Cincy loses to Chicago not exactly an impressive showing I don't see why wagerline.com has 60% of people laying the 6 points on Cincy.
What do those people see that I don't? I understand most are public squares but really?? Who is believing in Cincy -6 over a Pitt team thats beat them 5/6 times including the last 3 in Cincy. I can't even believe the public square is supporting that?
I know losing Pouncy is a big blow to Pitt and they are banged up in other spots too but seems Pitt is TOO easy of a bet here - is this a sharp trap?
Don't know if it is a trap and taking Pitt does look good but take it one step further and lets assume these teams are evenly matched which they are. Lets give Cincy a 3 point home advantage and make them a 3 point fav and I think everyone takes them and this game gets bet very one sided. Remember vegas want split action on a game so the line has to move up to get Steeler money. I look at this game and see Cincy up by 7-10 late in the game and it just depends if Pitt scores late to cover or not. Ill pass on this game.