Two things I look for in a bet, value & a good track record. Avg line is +110, I'm getting a little better than that. And an 18-2 record for the L5Y gives me an excellent history for a winning UNDERDOG. Therefore, my play is:
Arizona +119 risk 3 units
W MILEY-L - Must Start C MORTON-R - Must Start
Play Against - Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs.
(65-24 since 1997.) (73%, +47.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +110
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1, +5.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-2, +18 units).