Historically you will encounter a higher percentage of scores under the total on the first Saturday of the tourney. I don't normally cap total plays (I tail Mike if I want action) with that said, I wanted to share some totals that fit my criteria for the circumstance.
This contest fits all five of the criteria I look at. I also believe Gonzaga will slow the pace after the scare on Thursday. Add the Wheatshockers ability to handle the boards and I like the play even more.
Wichita St. / Gonzaga under 130**
Stanford will want to push the pace and Bama will want to slow it down. Bama's back court should set the pace. Early tip off doesn't hurt.
Stanford / Alabama under 130**
Harvard will be flat coming out of the gate coupled with Arizona's front court preventing too many multiple shot possessions.
Harvard(14) vs Arizona under 133**
Syracuse is a play as well, but I'm going to wait since the 125 opening total is hedged a tad.
Don't believe the lines makers put much into this line since the spread is spot on. I was looking at Rider when the line came out and was hoping the line would move more than it has, but this contest has drawn little action. The average wager percentage at the Vegas books I track shows over 65% of the wagers are on the chalk, yet the line hasn't moved more that a half point. What is moving is the Rider money line. General trends are pointing to East Carolina to cover, but I pulled the trigger on Rider based on the movement with the money line during the past hour.