|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
|
Cnotes Sunday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !
Rangers, Angels End Key AL West Series
‘How the West Was Won’ could be determined Sunday night when the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels conclude their key AL West showdown.
ESPN will have the national broadcast from Rangers Ballpark in Arlington at 8:00 p.m. (ET).
Los Angeles (71-60) came into this series riding a 6-game winning streak (all at home) and sitting just two games behind Texas in the division. However, the normally reliable Dan Haren got roughed up Friday and the team fell behind 11-0 before eventually losing 11-7.
Angels’ manager Mike Scioscia is not fooling around this series. He announced even before Friday’s game that Ervin Santana and Jered Weaver would pitch Saturday and Sunday respectively, each on short rest for the first time in their careers.
The Saturday night game is still pending with Santana opposed by C.J. Wilson in a great duel. Texas was a 155 favorite on the Don Best odds screen.
Weaver (15-6, 2.03 ERA) has the best ERA in the AL, but will probably lose the Cy Young to Detroit’s Justin Verlander. Weaver just signed an extension, spurning the advice of agent Scott Boras, and threw seven shutout innings versus the White Sox last Wednesday (8-0 win) after inking the deal.
The 28-year-old right-hander has lost his last two road starts. He allowed eight earned runs over 4 2/3 innings at Toronto on August 13 (11-2 loss). Weaver surrendered three earned runs over 6 2/3 innings at Detroit on July 31, but was outdueled by Verlander in a 3-2 loss. He’s 8-5 with a 2.60 ERA overall this year on the road.
The Angels are 3-1 in Weaver’s four starts against the Rangers this year (1.86 ERA). They split the two in Texas, with Weaver allowing a combined five earned runs over 15 innings (3.00 ERA).
The Rangers (75-58) needed that Friday win and not just to build their division cushion to three games. They were reeling after losing three straight to Boston (combined score 30-7) after winning that series opener 4-0 last Monday.
Colby Lewis (11-9, 4.07 ERA) is coming off one of his worst outings this year, seven earned runs over six innings against Boston last Tuesday at home. He had pitched well his previous six home starts (3.32 ERA), with Texas winning four, but his home ERA on the year is just 5.56.
The ‘over’ is 10-3 in Lewis’ last 13 home starts.
The 32-year-old right-hander pitched a beauty at the Angels on August 18, throwing seven scoreless on just four hits. He left the game with a lead, outdueling Weaver, but reliever Mike Adams blew the game in the ninth inning.
Lewis also faced the Angels at home in April, allowing four earned runs over five innings in a 15-4 defeat, the bullpen imploding in that one.
Texas is 0-4 in his four starts against the Angels since coming back from Japan last year, even with his combined ERA just 3.00.
Texas is 8-6 against Los Angeles this year, 4-3 at home after splitting six games in April and May.
The Angels are 33-32 away this year (+1.5 units against the betting money line). Their second-half road record is just 9-12.
The ‘over’ is 5-1 in L.A.’s last six games, scoring 7.33 runs per game. However, three of those games were beating up on the woeful Baltimore staff at home.
Texas is 41-26 at home, but it only translates into +.8 units. The second-half home mark is a pedestrian 10-8.
Jim Wolf will call balls and strikes. The Rangers are 16-5 the last 21 times he’s been behind home plate. The ‘over’ is 11-2-3 in his last 16 overall behind the dish.
Weather will be very hot, around 100 degrees at first pitch. Texas is off Monday before continuing its 10-game homestand Tuesday against Tampa. The Angels have to fly all the way to Seattle for a Monday contest.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
08-28-11 03:07 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
|
Detroit Tigers At Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers hope to increase their lead atop the AL Central when they face the Minnesota Twins Sunday afternoon in the final game of their three-game series.
Brad Penny and Brian Duensing take the hill for Sunday’s game at Target Field, which is set to start at 2:10 p.m. (ET).
Before the season began, Minnesota was considered one of the favorites to win the AL Central. But entering Saturday sitting 17 games back on division-leading Detroit, it appears that the Twins will have to settle for playing the spoiler role down the stretch.
Detroit (72-59) has opened up a 6.5-game lead in the AL Central with their recent hot streak. The Tigers have won seven of their last eight (+7.40 units), and are 11-4 over their last 15 games (+7.30 units).
Brad Penny (9-9, 4.82 ERA) has not pitched particularly well this season, but he’s been bailed out by Detroit’s strong offense. Despite Penny surrendering four or more runs in five of his last eight starts, the Tigers are 4-4 over that stretch and have actually been slightly profitable from a betting perspective (+0.30 units).
Penny has a 5.45 lifetime ERA against Minnesota in six career starts against them. Two of those starts came this season, when Penny gave up four runs in seven innings on July 23 (taking the loss) and five runs in six innings on May 30 (a no decision that Detroit went on to win 6-5).
It’s been a disastrous season for Minnesota (55-76) as the Twins have struggled in just about every facet of the game. The team has been on a tailspin in August, going an abysmal 5-18 so far this month (-13.45 units) including a six game losing streak (-7.75 units) heading into Saturday.
Brian Duensing (8-13, 5.12 ERA) hasn’t fared any better lately. In his last five starts, Duensing is 0-5 (-5.45 units) with an 8.65 ERA.
Duensing holds a 4.83 career ERA against Detroit, but has fared much worse than that against the Tigers this season. He gave up seven runs on July 22 and six runs on May 31, lasting only 4 2/3 innings in each of those outings, giving him a 12.54 ERA against Detroit in 2011.
Heading into Saturday’s game, Detroit held a commanding 10-3 lead on the season series over Minnesota. The total has trended ‘over’ at 8-3-2.
Interestingly, despite their clear struggles on the mound, Brad Penny and Brian Duensing’s games have actually trended ‘under’ recently. The ‘under’ is 5-2 in Penny’s last seven starts, and is 7-2-1 in Duensing’s last 10.
Detroit has been a profitable betting option on the road this season at 35-32 (+5.20 units), while Minnesota has struggled badly at home with a 28-38 record (-12.70 units).
Minnesota’s Joe Mauer (neck) and Detroit’s Brennan Boesch (thumb) are both questionable for Sunday’s game with minor injuries.
Sunday’s weather is expected to be cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
08-28-11 03:11 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
|
Sunday's betting tips: Run from Raiders' run D
Who’s hot
MLB: The Rays are 13-5 in David Price’s last 18 road starts.
MLB: The Cardinals are 23-11 in their last 34 Sunday games.
WNBA: The Under is 15-5-1 in San Antonio’s last 21 games.
Who’s not
MLB: The Twins are 0-5 in Brian Duensing’s last five starts.
MLB: The Mariners are 2-7 in Jason Vargas’ last nine starts.
WNBA: Chicago is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against the Eastern Conference.
Injury not to be overlooked
White Sox catcher A.J. Pierzynski (.296, 23 doubles), who fractured his wrist when he was hit by a pitch Aug. 12, appears close to returning from the first DL stint of his career. Pierzynski took batting practice and caught a bullpen session Friday and likely will start a rehab assignment early in the week. He plans to return by week’s end.
Key stat
11.9 – That’s the extra-base-hit percentage of Rangers right fielder Nelson Cruz, who had two homers, a double and six RBIs in Friday’s 11-7 win over the Angels. That gave him 55 extra-base hits in 462 plate appearances. The league average is 7.7 percent. Cruz’s percentage ranks second in the AL behind David Ortiz’s 12.4.
Game of the day
New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders (4.5, 38.5)
Notable quotable
"When I put my name to something and say I'm going to do something, I'm going to do it. This run defense thing has baffled this organization for years." – Raiders coach Hue Jackson to the Oakland Tribune on his vow to improve the team’s run defense. Oakland, which gave up 239 rushing yards to San Francisco last week, is a 4.5-point home dog to New Orleans in Sunday’s lone preseason game.
Notes and tips
Umpire Bill Miller will be behind the plate Sunday when the Cubs visit the Brewers. The Over is 5-0 in Miller’s last five games calling balls and strikes, and 4-0-1 in his last five games involving Milwaukee.
Tampa Bay cornerback Aqib Talib could get a four-game suspension from Commissioner Roger Goodell to start the season, and it would be a major blow to the Buccaneers’ secondary. Talib is facing a charge of aggravated assault following a March shooting incident in a Dallas suburb. Police believe Talib and his mother shot at a man, who was not hurt. If Talib is out, the the Bucs could be exposed in their Sept. 11 opener against Detroit. In last year’s matchup without Talib, Lions WR Calvin Johnson went off for 10 catches and 152 yards as Detroit won 23-20. And that was with Drew Stanton, not Matthew Stafford, at quarterback. Most books have the Bucs laying 3 in this matchup.
Brewers closer John Axford has converted 35 save chances in a row. The streak ties Trevor Hoffman (1999-2000) for the 15th longest in MLB since 1969.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
08-28-11 03:21 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
|
Sunday's six-pack
-- Matt Ryan threw 42 passes in the first half at Pittsburgh, sat out the second half. Guess 42 passes in a half is enough work.
-- Lions looked like the '72 Dolphins last night, passing for 272 yards in the first half; of course, they were 4-0 in preseason in 2008, then went 0-16 in the regular season. That won't happen this year.
-- Justin Verlander allowed 4+ runs Saturday for just the sixth time in his 29 starts this season.
-- Saturday was first time in seven games Twins scored more than two runs in a game, and they did it against Verlander. Go figure.
-- Jed York, owner of the 49ers, looks like he is 15 years old. Seriously. No way could he get into a bar without getting carded.
-- Bills scored the first 17 points, the last 18 points and still needed OT to beat Jacksonville at home. That doesn't happen very often.
********************
Sunday's List of 13: Looking deep into some NFC trends........
Arizona:
-- Ranked 28th or worse in rushing yards the last six years.
-- Redbirds are 20-12 SU at home the last four years, 10-5 in last 15 tries as a home dog.
-- Arizona is just 19-33-1 off a win since 2004.
-- They've had positive turnover ratio just twice in last decade (-52).
Atlanta:
-- 33-15 SU last three years, best stretch in club history.
-- Falcons are 22-8-1 in last 31 games as a favorite; 15-6-1 at home, 7-2 in last nine on road.
-- Atlanta covered 17 of last 24 games against AFC teams.
-- They’re just 7-17 in last 24 games as home dog, 2-10 in divisional play.
Carolina:
-- Panthers ranked 23-22-20 against run last three years.
-- Carolina is 5-9 in last 14 tries as home underdog, 8-13 in last 21 games as road dog, but 7-2 as a divisional road favorite.
-- They’re 7-15 in last 22 games as single digit favorite.
-- Panthers are 5-10-1 in last 16 games on artificial turf.
Chicago:
-- Bears allowed 56 sacks LY, 3.5 per game. Too many. Cutler has to throw more balls away.
-- Bears are 6-12-1 in last 19 games as a home favorite, 10-6 in last 16 as home dog.
-- Since 2005, Chicago is 20-13-1 against spread after a loss.
-- Bears were outscored 68-21 in last three visits to Lambeau Field.
Dallas:
-- Finished in top 7 in NFL in yards gained four of last five years.
-- Covered six of last seven as double digit underdog, but are just 3-8 in last 11 tries as double digit favorite.
-- Underdog covered 10 of their 12 division games the last two years.
-- Were 6-10 LY, despite a zero turnover ratio. Thats a bad sign.
Detroit:
-- Won their last two road games LY, making them 10-70 on foreign soil over the last decade, 2-22 over last three years.
-- Lions are 8-3-1 vs spread in their last dozen games on natural grass.
-- Detroit has ranked 23rd or worse in rushing the last six years.
-- Lions are 5-10-1 vs spread in last 16 games where spread was 3 points or less; over the last decade, they're 0-4 as a road favorite.
Green Bay:
-- Packers have a +45 turnover ratio in the last four seasons.
-- Green Bay covered 10 of last 13 as road dog in divisional games; since 2006, they're 16-6-1 overall as a road underdog.
-- Since '06, Pack is 18-11-3 against the spread after a loss.
-- They've been in top 9 in total offense in eight of the last ten years.
Vikings:
-- Minnesota is 10-17 as a road favorite over the last decade, 3-9 in the more important games vs NFC North opponents. .
-- Vikings covered twice in their last ten games as a home dog.
-- They averaged 17.9 yards per point LY, their worst average in that important category the last ten years.
-- Vikings are 14-24 vs spread in their last 38 games on grass.
Giants:
-- Giants are 4-10 as a home favorite the last two years; they're also 9-7 vs spread in first half of last two years, 4-12 in second half.
-- Big Blue is 16-7 as a road favorite since 2005.
-- LY, Giants ranked 5th in total offense, 7th in total defense, were +30 in sacks and still didn't make the playoffs.
-- Giants are 3-10 in games following their last thirteen losses.
Saints:
-- They've had negative turnover ratio in five of last six years, with Super Bowl championship season the only year they had a positive ratio.
-- Since 2001, Saints are 27-44-3 at home, 22-34-2 as a home fave.
-- Last two seasons, Saints are 0-6 as a home favorite against its division rivals, 7-2-1 against everyone else.
-- NO covered 10 of last 13 games that followed a loss.
Eagles:
-- Philly covered 10 of last 14 games as a road favorite.
-- Over last four years, Eagles are 2-8 as home favorite in division tilts, 13-5 against everyone else.
-- They've won six in row against the Giants, but lost three of four against the Cowboys- they won four of last five at Washington (59-28 LY).
-- Eagles were just 4-4 SU at home LY. That needs to improve.
Rams:
-- LY, Rams were +9 in sacks, +5 in turnovers; they improved their sack total from 25 to 43 LY.
-- St Louis is 13-6-1 in last 20 games that followed a win.
-- Rams lost their last six games at Seattle by average of 18 points.
-- They've covered just five of last 19 as an NFC West underdog.
49ers:
-- Last made playoffs in 2002; since then, they're 46-82 SU.
-- Ranked 23rd or worse in total offense the last seven years.
-- 49ers are 4-9-1 in their last 14 games as a road favorite.
-- Since 2002, they're 19-28-4 in game following a win.
Seattle:
-- Seahawks are 16-32 the last three years, with a minus-24 TO ratio.
-- Over last six years, Seattle is 29-17-2 at home, 15-32-1 on the road.
-- Since 2003, Seattle is 7-23-2 as a non-divisional road underdog.
-- Seahawks covered three of last 15 games that followed a win.
Tampa Bay:
-- Bucs are 11-3-2 in last 15 games as road dog, but just 1-10 in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
-- Tampa Bay is 6-1-1 vs spread in last eight games on artificial turf.
-- Bucs are 3-10-3 vs AFC teams the last four seasons.
-- They ranked 28/32 against the run last two years. Not very good.
Redskins:
-- Washington is 9-15 SU at home the last three seasons.
-- Last time Redskins had a positive turnover ratio was 2005.
-- Since 2006, Skins are 5-13-1 as a home favorite.
-- Last two years, Washington is 9-3-1 as a road underdog.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
08-28-11 03:23 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
|
MLB
Sunday, August 28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STREAKING
Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants (10-9, 2.90 ERA)
The 26-year-old right-hander is putting together his best season. He’s given up just six earned runs over his last four starts, covering 29 innings. Batters are hitting just .221 against him.
Ian Kennedy, Arizona Diamondbacks (16-4, 3.09 ERA)
The NL’s co-leader in wins, Kennedy has given up just four earned runs over his last three starts. The last time out, Kennedy blanked the Nationals over seven innings while fanning eight. He’s won eight of his last nine decisions.
SLUMPING
Casey Coleman, Chicago Cubs (2-6, 7.59 ERA)
This Triple-A callup wouldn’t start for most teams, but then again these are the Cubs. Coleman has given up 15 hits and nine runs in his last two starts covering 8 2/3 innings. He’s lost his last three decisions.
Brian Matusz, Baltimore Orioles (1-6, 8.92 ERA)
Batters are hitting .363 against Matusz. That’s not a misprint. He’s given up at least five earned runs in each of his last four starts, and the Orioles have lost the last six times he’s gotten the ball. It’s scary to think what the Yankees, who lead MLB in homers, will do to him.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
08-28-11 03:44 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
|
MLB
Sunday, August 28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday Night Baseball: Angels at Rangers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers (-105, 8.5)
The race for the American League West crown shifts to primetime when the Los Angeles Angels visit the division-leading Texas Rangers to close out their three-game series on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball.
HOW THE WEST WAS WON
The AL West has turned into a two-team race with Texas (75-58) clinging to a three-game leading over the Angels (71-60) heading into Saturday night's action. The race appeared over two weeks ago when Texas won the first three games of a four-game set at Los Angeles, but the Angels won the finale and went on to string together a six-game winning streak to keep things interesting.
The Rangers have been in first place all but 10 days this entire season and haven’t left the top spot since May 15.
HE WENT TO JERED
Angels manager Mike Scioscia will go to staff ace Jered Weaver (15-6, 2.03 ERA) on three days' rest. Weaver has been phenomenal all year and he has delivered in the most important games, his four starts against Texas.
Weaver has been lights out against the Rangers, posting a 1.86 ERA and 3-1 mark against them
“If you’re going to a four-man rotation or using guys on short rest three or four times through the rotation, some guys might unravel if they’re not used to it,” Scioscia told MLB.com. “But this would be a one-time deal, so these guys should be fine.”
Weaver is 9-5 with a 3.14 ERA in 24 career starts against Texas.
RANGER DANGER
The Texas lineup is dotted with big boppers. They rank second or third in MLB in runs per game (5.06), team batting average (.276), home runs (157) and OPS (.778). The Rangers offense looks forward to the challenge of facing Weaver again.
“Bring them on,” Texas outfielder Josh Hamilton said of facing Ervin Santana on Saturday and Weaver on Sunday.
“They’re good, no doubt about it. They’ll either step up on short rest or not.”
Hamilton is batting .269 over the last two weeks with three home runs, eight runs scored and six RBIs.
“I’m not surprised at anything Mike does,” Texas manager Ron Washington said of Scioscia’s decision to move up Santana and Weaver so they can both face Texas.
“We’re not afraid of Santana and Weaver. We’re not talking about Don Drysdale and Koufax. We’ve faced Weaver and Santana before.”
COLBY CHEESE
Texas will go with Colby Lewis on Sunday. His last time out, against the Angels on August 18, he was tossing straight cheese. He pitched seven shutout innings, scattering four hits and a pair of walk. But the Rangers are 0-4 in Lewis' last four starts against the Angels.
UNUSUAL SUSPECTS
Veteran catcher Mike Napoli has been the strongest bat in the Rangers lineup lately, while 24-year old centerfielder Peter Bourjos has been the toughest out in the Angels lineup.
Napoli is batting .309 with 11 runs scored and four home runs over the last two weeks. Bourjos is hitting .373 with nine runs scored and eight RBIs over that span. These two could have a major impact on Sunday's game.
NOTEWORTHY NUMBERS
The Rangers have outscored the Angels 68-56 this season and have a +99 run differential against all opponents.
The Angels have a +20 run differential against all opponents.
Los Angeles is 8-2 in Weaver's last 10 starts but 1-5 in his last six Sunday starts.
Texas is 13-4 in its last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MLB
Sunday, August 28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hot lines: Sunday's best MLB bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins (105, 9.5)
Twins lefty Brian Duensing is far better suited to the bullpen, and likely will be back there soon if he keeps pitching the way he’s been.
Right-handed batters have a .923 OPS against him. All batters are hitting .302 against him.
Minnesota has lost six of Duensing’s last seven starts. He’s given up 13 earned runs in his last two starts while lasting a total of seven innings.
When he faced the Tigers on July 22, Detroit lit him up for two homers and seven earned runs in 4 2/3 innings.
Meanwhile, Detroit’s Brad Penny is 2-0 with a respectable 4.08 ERA over his last three starts.
Pick: Tigers
Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds (-158, 7.5)
Cincy starter Johnny Cueto just faced the Nationals on Aug. 17 in Washington. He dominated them, allowing one run on six hits over eight innings in a 2-1 victory.
Cueto leads the NL with a 2.03 ERA and it’s not even close. Giants ace Tim Lincecum is next at 2.46.
Washington starter Jordan Zimmermann, whose 3.10 ERA ranks 12th, faced the Reds a day after Cueto toyed with Washington. Zimmermann tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings as the Nationals won 3-1.
The Under is 5-0 in Zimmermann’s last five starts overall and 7-2 in his last nine road starts.
Pick: Under
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
08-28-11 03:47 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
|
MLB
Write-Up
Sunday, August 28
Hot pitchers
-- Cueto is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts. Zimmerman is 2-1, 2.25 in his last four outings.
-- Greinke is 6-0, 1.40 in his last six starts.
-- Karstens is 4-0, 2.27 in his last seven road starts.
-- Kennedy is 8-1, 2.48 in his last nine starts. Luebke is 2-0, 1.88 in his last four outings.
-- Chacin is 2-2, 3.45 in his last five starts. Eovaldi is 1-1, 2.05 in four starts this season.
-- Norris is 1-1, 2.23 in his last five road starts.
-- Price is 2-1, 1.13 in his last three starts.
-- Indians won last six Masterson starts (2-0, 3.79). Chen is 4-0, 3.28 in his last four outings.
-- Nova is 6-0, 3.32 in his last six starts.
-- Penny is 2-0, 4.08 in his last three starts.
-- Floyd is 2-0, 3.72 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 8-2, 1.80 in his last thirteen starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Coleman is 0-3, 10.57 in his last four starts.
-- Lohse has a 6.43 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Cain is 1-3, 3.89 in his last five starts.
-- Morrow is 1-3, 6.40 in his last four starts.
-- Britton is 1-3, 19.06 in his last four starts. Matusz is 0-6, 12.08 in his last six starts. Colon is 0-2, 5.73 in his last four starts.
-- Duensing is 0-5, 9.00 in his last five starts.
-- Vargas is 0-3, 11.15 in his last three home starts.
-- Lewis is 1-2, 4.78 in his last six starts.
Totals
-- Under is 9-2-1 in Washington's last twelve road games.
-- Seven of last eight games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Cardinals' last eleven home games.
-- 12 of San Diego's last 17 road games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Dodgers' last eleven home games.
-- Eight of Giants' last ten home games stayed under total.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Bronx games.
-- Over is 7-3 in Toronto's last ten home games.
-- Six of Cleveland's last eight games went over the total.
-- Seven of Angels' last eight road games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-4-2 in Detroit's last sixteen road games.
-- Under is 8-3 in Floyd's last eleven road starts.
Hot Teams
-- Reds won six of their last seven home games.
-- Milwaukee won 20 of its last 23 home games.
-- Arizona won last five games, allowing total of four runs.
-- Colorado won five of its last seven games. Dodgers won seven of their last nine games.
-- Giants won three of their last four games.
-- Orioles won their last five games, outscoring foes 36-9.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Angels won seven of their last eight games.
-- Tigers won eight of their last nine games.
-- White Sox won four of their last six games.
Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost their last five games, outscored 24-9.
-- Cubs lost six of their last seven games.
-- Cardinals lost eight of their last 12 games. Pirates lost seven of 11.
-- Padres lost their last three games, scoring two runs.
-- Astros lost six of their last seven games.
-- Toronto is 5-8 in its last thirteen home games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost three of their last four games.
-- Cleveland lost six of its last nine games. Royals lost nine of their last twelve road games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Twins lost their last seven games, outscored 41-9.
-- Seattle lost eight of its last eleven games.
Umpires
-- Colo-LA-- Four of last five Layne games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-StL-- Last five Fletcher games all went over the total.
-- Chi-Mil-- Last five Miller games all went over the total.
-- Wsh-Cin-- Under is 7-4 in last eleven Holbrook games.
-- SD-Az-- Home teams won last eight Timmons games.
-- Hst-SF-- Over is 11-1-2 in last fourteen Vanover games.
-- NY-Balt-- Road team won four of last five Hirschbeck games.
-- TB-Tor-- 10 of last 13 Nelson games went over the total.
-- Det-Min-- Home team won 11 of last 14 Porter games.
-- KC-Clev-- Under is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Gibson games.
-- LA-Tex-- Over is 12-2-2 in last sixteen Wolf games.
-- Chi-Sea-- Nine of last ten Demuth games went over the total.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
08-28-11 03:53 PM |
|
|
| |
|
wildcat76
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 6148
|
New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders (+4.5, 38.5)
STARTER REPORT
RAIDERS: Oakland coach Hue Jackson wouldn’t say how long he’ll play his starters on Sunday against the Saints, but, judging by the general rule of thumb, bettors should count on the Raiders’ first-string offense playing the entire first half and maybe a drive or two in the third quarter.
Newly signed rookie quarterback Terrelle Pryor is not expected to play against New Orleans but Jackson did say he’d give Pryor a few snaps in the Raiders’ exhibition finale.
That means Oakland will stick to its regular QB rotation, with Jason Campbell leading the first team offense and Trent Edwards and Kyle Boller backing up the former Redskin.
Campbell had to leave last week’s 17-3 loss to the Niners after getting knocked in the head, but he was back in practice on Tuesday and has been playing with Oakland’s starters all week.
SAINTS: New Orleans head coach Sean Payton told reporters his primary starters would play the first half “and then we’ll see where we are at halftime to see what we’re going to do in the third quarter.”
INJURY REPORT
The Saints will be without starters Lance Moore (WR), Roman Harper (S) and Sedrick Ellis (DT). The Raiders, meanwhile, won’t have newly signed CB Lito Sheppard or starting LB Rolando McClain suiting up Sunday.
Running back Darren McFadden has been the star of the Raiders' camp but it’s unclear whether the Pro Bowler will see any preseason action because of how important he is to the offense. He broke his orbital bone at the start of August and only recently returned to full practices.
PRESEASON PERFORMANCE
Silver and Black backers hope the club’s play in the preseason isn’t a sign of things to come. The Raiders have been uneven on offense and defense, losing to the Niners and Cardinals so far.
Oakland’s biggest weakness so far is its run defense. The unit gave up 239 yards on the ground last week to San Fran and allowed over four yards per carry against Arizona, too.
The Saints looked great in Week 1 but not as sharp last weekend against the Texans. Houston gained over 400 yards, most of which came against New Orleans’ first-string defense.
THING TO REMEMBER
New Orleans is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four Week 3 preseason games. The third week of the preseason is generally when starters play the most and coaches actually do a bit of game planning.
The Raiders, on the other hand, are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three Week 3 preseason games and were outscored 97-31 in the process, including a 45-7 beatdown at the hands of the Saints two years ago.
|
08-28-11 05:14 PM |
|
|
| |
|
wildcat76
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 6148
|
New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders (+4.5, 38.5)
Normally, NFL preseason games are relatively local in nature, but on Sunday night, for NBC’s Sunday Night Football, the New Orleans Saints will take the lengthy road trip across the country to tango with the Oakland Raiders.
QB Drew Brees and the starting offense should see at least two quarters of action this week, if not more, as Head Coach Sean Payton tries to assess exactly what his team has to offer this year. However, injuries are definitely starting to mount up for this squad, something that proved to be a major problem in the regular season last year as well. Again, the running back position has been hit hard. Rookie RB Mark Ingram has missed substantial practice this week, while RB Chris Ivory is already out of the fold for at least the next month to boot. Starting OL Carl Nicks isn’t expected to play on Sunday night, nor is WR Lance Moore. Moore isn’t the only wide out left off of the team’s roster this week in all likelihood. Rookies Jarred Fayson and Joe Morgan aren’t likely to see any time with injuries either. S Roman Harper fractured a finger this week in practice as well. Needless to say, Payton has to be more concerned about just getting out of this week’s game healthy than he does with actually winning it.
Meanwhile, this is the first truly big test for new Head Coach Hue Jackson, as his team is going against one of the best teams in the game, at home, following a pair of relatively embarrassing losses to start off the campaign. Preseason results don’t often matter, but Jackson is going to want to notch that first win eventually. QB Jason Campbell and the starting offense will get its time in this one, but the focus might be on the other side of the ball, where the secondary, now sans DB Nnamdi Asomugha, has to cope against one of the best passing teams in the land this year. We aren’t sure whether WR Jacoby Ford or RB Darren McFadden will be in the fold for the offense this week, as both are recovering from injuries. Campbell though, needs to perform a whole heck of a lot better than he has to start off the preseason. He only went 6-of-9 for 66 yards in limited action against the Arizona Cardinals, but he wasn’t able to get the team into the end zone. The same was true against the San Francisco 49ers, as he went 5-of-7 for 74 yards, but couldn’t get the team to score.
New Orleans Saints @ Oakland Raiders Pick: The oddsmakers are hoping that you fall into the trap of backing New Orleans in this one, laying four points with a team that really might look more like a preseason practice squad than a full team. Sure, Brees and the offense will surely put up its one or two scores, but the Oakland offense should have the advantage at some point and perform a heck of a lot better than it has in recent weeks. Remember that this is still a preseason games. Scores are generally low, and points are at a premium.
|
08-28-11 05:15 PM |
|
|
| |
|
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
|
Sparks visit Seattle on Sunday night
LOS ANGELES SPARKS
at SEATTLE STORM
Tip-off: Sunday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: TBD, Total: TBD
Two of the WNBA’s model franchises play the first game of a home-and-home when Seattle hosts Los Angeles on Sunday night.
These teams have crushed each other at home this year, with the Sparks winning by 24 in L.A. in June, and the Storm getting them back with a 19-point victory in Seattle in July. The Storm have been outstanding at home all year, going 12-2 SU and 8-5-1 ATS, and they’ve won the first three games SU (2-1 ATS) of their current homestand.
And now they have Lauren Jackson back. The WNBA’s reigning MVP has averaged 15.7 PPG and 5.7 RPG despite playing limited minutes (20.7 MPG) in her three games back from hip surgery. The Sparks, meanwhile, have been miserable on the road all year (5-10 SU, 4-11 ATS). All of this makes SEATTLE the pick.
The Sparks were without star forward Candace Parker when they lost to Seattle in July. Parker averaged 20.0 PPG, on 53% FG and 60% from three-point land, and 8.7 RPG during their recent three-game road trip. Los Angeles went 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in those games.
Seattle is 6-2 SU with Jackson in the lineup this year, and it has dominated the Sparks over the past two seasons. Seattle is 8-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS against L.A. over the past two seasons, including 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
|
08-28-11 06:23 PM |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|