Despite a 7-11 record, Western Michigan is just 14 points away from 11-7. The Broncos lost by four at Ball State, four to TCU and three to Hofstra (in overtime) and to Loyola. The Broncos have only been outscored by 12 points, or 0.7 per game, all season.
Buff has had a lot of road games(and a huge win at Miami O last time out) and with 3 gimmes coming at home in next 10 days, a very, very strong chance they exhale a bit against what should be a hungry team with an inferioirty complex, a losing record(but 4-1 in conference) and a tough home court.
Expect West Mich to come out blasting.
I have a strong lean on the over but may wait until game time to determine my pick.