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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

Super Sport System/Kelly Kelly

I have been working hard on a system that is 1524-976 61% over 10 years. It's an all sport system. I will start with a $500 bankroll for this system betting with the Kelly Strategy. Below is a introduction into the Kelly Strategy.


Introduction
J.L.Kelly, in his seminal paper A New Interpretation of Information Rate (Bell System Technical Journal, 35, 917-926 see below) asked the interesting question: how much of my bankroll should I stake on a bet if the odds are in my favor? This is the same question that a business owner, investor, or speculator has to ask themself: what proportion of my capital should I stake on a risky venture?

Kelly did not, of course, use those precise words — the paper being written in terms of an imaginary scenario involving bookies, noisy telephone lines, and wiretaps so that it could be published by the prestigious Bell System Technical journal.

Assuming that your criterion is the same as Kelly's criterion — maximizing the long term growth rate of your fortune — the answer Kelly gives is to stake the fraction of your gambling or investment bankroll which exactly equals your advantage. The form below allows you to determine what that amount is.


Good luck
TMoney

Old Post 03-06-10 06:43 PM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

Kelly amount for today will be $38.00

#1 Maryland ( -5 -110) 38.00 34.55
#2 Maryland ( -5 -110) 38.00 34.55
#3 Syracuse ( -1 -108) 37.31 34.55
#4 Pacific ( -3½ -110) 38.00 34.55


Some plays will trigger more than once. There are 13 possible plays today.


Good luck
TMoney




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-06-10 07:03 PM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

#5 Connecticut ( -1½ -110) 38.00 34.55



Good luck
TMoney




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-06-10 07:14 PM
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tendog


Registered: Feb 2003
Posts: 407

I have no clue what you are doing, but 61% catches attention. May tail or watch for a couple of days and then tail.. thanks

Old Post 03-06-10 07:16 PM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

tendog

Yeah as I was back tracking it I was shocked. It took me many many hours. LoL....I hope the hard work will pay off.


Good luck
TMoney




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-06-10 07:21 PM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

#6 Kansas ( -3 -115) 38.00 33.04


Good luck
TMoney




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-06-10 07:34 PM
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Getch13
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2004
Posts: 2118

T-Money

Is this a favorite weighted system? Or will dogs come into play as well?

Old Post 03-06-10 07:43 PM
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tendog


Registered: Feb 2003
Posts: 407

Ten years back? You did do the hours. Thanks for all the hard work and for several reasons hope it is successful!

Old Post 03-06-10 07:48 PM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

Getch13

It in fact is favorite heavy. I don't really like betting heavy public teams but I can't get over the success of the system.


Good luck
TMoney




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-06-10 07:53 PM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

tendog

I hope we all can profit from it.




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-06-10 07:55 PM
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Vinko


Registered: Nov 2008
Posts: 79

Tmoney

13 plays? Teams that are 80% and over?

Old Post 03-06-10 08:43 PM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

Vinko

Not sure what you are asking?




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-06-10 08:57 PM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

#7 Utah/Los Angeles ( U +205½ -110) 38.00 34.55
#8 Seton Hall ( -2 -107) 38.00 35.51


Good luck
TMoney




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-06-10 09:35 PM
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Vinko


Registered: Nov 2008
Posts: 79

Tmoney

Sorry was in a rush should have worded it differently. You said that they are heavy public teams, I was just curious what the public % was on the teams that you are choosing.

Old Post 03-07-10 02:32 AM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

#9 Duke/North Carolina ( U +146½ -110) 38.00 34.55



Good luck
TMoney




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-07-10 02:52 AM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

Vinko

Them being heavy public sides have nothing to do with the picks. It just so happens that the public is on some of the plays.

Good luck
TMoney




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-07-10 02:55 AM
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tendog


Registered: Feb 2003
Posts: 407

excellent results for 10 yrs and a day! lol

Old Post 03-07-10 05:27 AM
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Tmoneybags
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 2882

RESULTS

#1 Maryland ( -5 -110) 38.00 34.55 (W)
#2 Maryland ( -5 -110) 38.00 34.55 (W)
#3 Syracuse ( -1 -108) 37.31 34.55 (L)
#4 Pacific ( -3½ -110) 38.00 34.55 (W)
#5 Connecticut ( -1½ -110) 38.00 34.55 (L)
#6 Kansas ( -3 -115) 38.00 33.04 (W)
#7 Utah/Los Angeles ( U +205½ -110) 38.00 34.55 (W)
#8 Seton Hall ( -2 -107) 38.00 35.51 (W)
#9 Duke/North Carolina ( U +146½ -110) 38.00 34.55 (W)


Record (7-2 +$165.99) Bankroll ($677.60) Kelly amount for tomorrow will be ($51.00)


tendog - Tell me about it. LoL...Let's just hope it keeps pumping out winners.




Live and let live

ANGELS 1 Ring '02
BULLS 6 Rings '91 '92 '93 '96 '97 '98
49ERS 5 Rings '81 '84 '88 '89 '94
UCLA
CBB '64 '65 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 '72
'73 '75 '95


All-Time Posted Plays
NFL 33-24-3
CFB 83-70-2
CBB 273-268-14
NBA 172-130-2
NHL 52-65 mostly dogs
MLB 120-104-4 mostly dogs
Updated 2-15-10

Old Post 03-07-10 06:29 AM
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toti emul esto
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2010
Posts: 580

Sweet!!




http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2118..._f10b9ae2a7.jpg

There is no Try. There is Only Do or Do Not.
-- Yoda

Old Post 03-07-10 06:30 AM
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uthustler


Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 942

Looks good




Fort Worth, Tx

Old Post 03-07-10 02:56 PM
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