The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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unluckyjinxcrsd
Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 5
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book
I haven't bought or read the book, but since he proposes and advertises a system that would leave people bankrupt so easily, I am completely uninterested in anything else he has to say. He lost his chance to sell it to me. Maybe I shouldn't accuse him of fraud, because I don't know his intentions. Instead, I'll say that I don't think he did enough research before writing that article. I hope he can write better articles and books in the future, but honestly, I don't really care. But really, go ahead and buy the book and read it. At least he put in the time of writing it, and if anything, you might learn something you didn't know before. After all, you DO have the option of disagreeing with him, don't you?
Also, I willingly tested this theory, but I'm not here to test everyone's theories. Sorry.
theqman: I think discipline is important. In my opinion, the article uses the word discipline in a deceiving way. When I criticize discipline, I criticize his use of the word, not the true meaning of the word. If I did not believe in discipline, would I be sitting here doing calculations? No, I would probably be betting on instinct alone, raising my bets every time I lost, and waiting for that one win to save me from bankruptcy.
ucdrummer00: If you don't mind posting an email address, I'll send it to you that way. Otherwise, I don't know. I'm also not too familiar with this messageboard. Is there private messaging?
-Dave
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02-16-04 11:35 PM |
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nntrader
Registered: Jan 2004
Posts: 105
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George,
Your numbers at step #2 are correct, but step #3 and the rest are not. You almost have the progression down... you need to divide your most recent bet by 3 and add it to the last series, not the first series. Remember, you need to recoup not only your most recent bet, but all previous loses as well until you hit 2 winners for the series. (See the example on page 13, starting with bet #16, for example of 4-in-a-row loss.)
I've posted in previous threads where you are better off just doing straight martingale, where if $100 is the goal per series, then start at $50. Just win 8-per-month like the Set Monthly Income System and you're fine. In this case you can win just 20% of your bets and reach your goal, rather than only 26%... but of course, realize you need alternating W's and L's (like with ANY up-as-you-lose progression). Your average bet size will also be less, and you can withstand two 4-in-a-row losses within the same series (something you cannot do with the Set Monthly Income progression). Of course, for either progression, if you lose 5-in-a-row... boom, game over.
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02-17-04 02:38 AM |
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