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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

Andy's Baseball Plays

Going to start a thread here with something I have been playing around with. I had a small sample size on what i was able to back test from last season, but I was guessing it would become a playable system around May 20th.

It has started to do pretty well since the 14th, so I am assuming part of that early success can be attributed to luck.

I am playing these, but they are very small plays until the sample size gets bigger. Last night was a very good night, it went 6-1 with the lone loss coming from Tampa Bay. I also got lucky with Kansas City, thank you Kerry Wood!

I am going to measure units assuming one wager = one unit, I think that is just an easy measuring tool to determine success.

Year-to-date it is 52-43 for .79 units, but from May 14th to today it is 18-5 up 9.85 units. I think the 18-5 is better than it is capable of, but the 52-43 is worse than it is capable of. I didn't begin to wager anything on it until last night.

Good luck to all!

Today's plays are:
Detroit Tigers -153
Toronto Blue Jays -101
Tampa Bay -175

ML numbers are from Bookmaker.

Old Post 05-20-09 03:35 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

1-2 Yesterday.

Today's Plays:

Philly (hate playing against the Reds) -115
Stl -140
SD +128
Det -128
TB -200


YTD
1-2
-1.3 Units

Old Post 05-21-09 04:01 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

Good day yesterday 5-0!

This system doesn't do as well with interleague play so I am posting the plays today, but I am not putting as money on them.

I will try and post the plays this weekend as well, but it is a busy weekend.

I live on the west side of Indianapolis a few miles away from the speedway and there is a LOT going on this weekend. Also headed down to Cincinnati to catch the Reds/Indians on Saturday.

Good luck everyone and have a great holiday weekend!

Philly +143
Det -150
Cle -105
Tor -168
Sea -144
LAD -125

YTD
6-2
+ 2.72 Units

Old Post 05-22-09 03:40 PM
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tdbabe
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Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 7262

BOL Andy. Looks like you have a jam-packed weekend...enjoy.




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Old Post 05-22-09 04:08 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

Tuesday 5/26

I didn't make any plays on this system over the weekend (other than Friday). It went .500 on Friday so all I lost was a little juice.

Interleague is bad news. I am staying away from it the rest of the year.

Today we have
NYM -151
TB -133
Oak -140

Prices may have changed, but that is what I got earlier today. This is the first chance I had to post.

Hope everyone had a terrific Memorial Day weekend and the weather was nice enough to get out and have fun!

Old Post 05-26-09 11:18 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

Light Tuesday

2-1 Yesterday, gained a fraction of a unit, just a little more than I lost Friday.

The formula spit out only two plays today, only one I am making an official play.

NYM was a play, but with a few starters out they are WAY too expensive today, even against the "Natinals" I am not willing to go that high.

Today we have:
LAA -200 (again, steep price)

YTD:
11-6
+2.89 Units

On a side note, how HUGE has Joey Votto been for the Reds this year. Even with being ill the last few weeks he has been unbelievable. Redlegs are 1.5 out of first and charging hard!

Old Post 05-27-09 03:27 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

Nothing Today

No Plays today.

Went 1-0 yesterday and gained half a unit.

12-6
+3.39 Units

Good luck to everyone else playing bases today!

Old Post 05-28-09 02:45 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

Happy Friday!

Three plays today:

Col -135
Atl -130
TB -150

YTD
12-6
+3.39 Units

Old Post 05-29-09 03:07 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

3-0 Yesterday! Up just over 2 units. A lot of plays today.


Fla -120
Col -128
Stl -155
Tor -118
NYY -170
CWS -108
Tex -152


YTD
15-6
+5.57 Units

Old Post 05-30-09 03:46 PM
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tallen


Registered: Mar 2004
Posts: 90

Wow, nice sweep. Keep it going.

Old Post 05-31-09 08:21 AM
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noelcran
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 729

great selections keep it up

Old Post 05-31-09 08:29 AM
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lemgreen
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2006
Posts: 2401

Nice day.

Keep up the good work.

Good luck.

Lem

Old Post 05-31-09 02:06 PM
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cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

You're on a roll my man. Whatever it is you are doing is working out.

Congrats-

Old Post 05-31-09 02:38 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

Thanks for the well wishes everyone. Some luck involved last night, but I will take it! Hope to keep it rolling today!

I placed these last night but didn't get a chance to throw it on here.

Pit -140
Col -150
Tor -105
Tex -165

BOL everyone!

Old Post 05-31-09 05:11 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

New week, fresh start

I knew the law of averages were going to come back to bite me in the @$$, but 0-4 was a little shocking.

All in all though, very pleased with the weekend. It was profitable and that is all you can ask for. Make more than you lose.

I have been thinking about adding a parlay to each day, and if I had been doing a full unit parlay for each day (the parlay being each team I bet on for the day) I would be up many more units.

On May 17th it went 4-0 and would have been just over 11 units, May 19th it went 6-0 and would have been 19, Friday it was 3-0 and would have been just over 4 units and Saturday would have netted over 29 units. Adding those and subtracting the days it would have lost a unit I would still have added 55.6 units (From May 14th to Today, not including Interleague).

Any thoughts on this from some of the veterans on this board? Is this a good option to try and add to the unit total or over the long haul to the parlays hit too infrequently to make it a worthwhile venture?

I am going to do a half-unit parlay on the two plays today.

Phi -123
LAD -180

YTD
21-10
+6.85 Units

Just wanted to give a quick tip of the cap to my alma matter's baseball team. Indiana University made it to their second ever college baseball NCAA tournament.

We were swept out, but coach Smith has that program headed in the right direction! GO HOOSIERS! Basketball season is just around the corner (not as excited about football without coach Hep leading the charge).

Old Post 06-01-09 03:45 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

1-1 Yesterday. Lost about 1/3rd of unit including the half unit parlay.

One play today
Brew Crew -120

YTD
+6.51 Units

Old Post 06-02-09 04:54 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

Big day on Saturday has turned into a small slide this week, but I am not concerned yet, it is early June.

Big card today
"Natinals" -130
Phi EV
LAD -200
TB -144
Sea -128

.5 Unit Parlay to win 7.5 units


YTD
22-12
+5.51 Units
0-1 on .5 Unit Parlay

Good luck everyone!

Old Post 06-03-09 03:47 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

4-0 day, hit the parlay which was knocked down to a 4-teamer with the Nats game rained out.

Net gain of 7 units yesterday. If I hit +17 units the .5 unit parlay will become a full unit parlay.

Today:
Nats GM1 -140
Hou -171
Stl -200
Tor -122
TB -170

.5 Unit Parlay to win 5.4 Units


YTD
26-12
+12.51 Units
1-1 on .5 Unit Parlay

Old Post 06-04-09 03:12 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

FRIDAY!

2-3 Yesterday, not good but not the worst that could have happened. I actually doubled up and put 2 units on Tampa since that was a JeffDane Bookie Buster, but won't count it in the tally since I did not post it.

Normally this system spits out several favorites, but there is a nice mix of dogs. Lately it has been all favorites. I am thinking about throwing a couple of filters on, but at this point I don't have enough data to do that.

I worked a 14 hour day yesterday, so thank God for Friday!

Friday's Plays

Fla -165
Mil No Line
Stl -177
Bos -140
Oak -120
.5 Unit Parlay on all

YTD
28-15
+9.5 Units
1-2 on .5 Unit Parlay

Old Post 06-05-09 03:53 PM
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andy06


Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 92

Adding the Cleveland Indians +115 as well.

Line I got for Milwaukee was+105.

Old Post 06-05-09 05:19 PM
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