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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

MLB "End Of The Road System"

Hi guys! I was playing this system in hockey with some filters and I decided to try it in baseball as well..

You know baseball is different than all other sports. There's no time counting, you play everyday unlike hockey or basketball etc. Another thing interesting about baseball is teams may go to loong road trips and they're playing everyday!

They're missing their wifes, kids, home, garden etc.

This system is very simple,

When a road-team is playing the last road game (next game will be at home) just play AGAINST the road team. With some filters we can even make it better but still record is not bad either. The most important thing here is to play RUNLINE because they win or they lost by huge margins! Specially if you can find -2.5 RUNLINE (5dimes etc) you can make very nice profit!

21 of 48 plays are won by +3 or more run difference in American League..

Today's Play is:

PLAY AGAINST TAMPA BAY

Play is: OAKLAND

Old Post 05-21-08 02:18 PM
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Zac
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 15654

Interesting

Thanks for posting.

Zack

Old Post 05-21-08 06:54 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

OAKLAND 9-1 TAMPA BAY

WINNER

Old Post 05-21-08 11:59 PM
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windycity
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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 1071

Nice system, I wish I saw this earlier.

Old Post 05-22-08 12:07 AM
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AkiraWulf
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2398

How long of a road trip must a team be on in order for them to qualify as a play?

Old Post 05-22-08 03:09 AM
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Jacey
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 725

Took it -1.5, thanks for the win

Old Post 05-22-08 04:13 AM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

I strongly recommend picking -2.5 RL (if available in your bookie) instead of 1.5 because it pays too much..

I'm working on some filters right now yeah the number of road games should effect it as well.

Old Post 05-22-08 04:28 AM
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thomasharriss


Registered: Apr 2008
Posts: 5

Sawyer are you going to post about the filters for this system?

Old Post 05-23-08 03:23 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

Yeah, I'm thinking on filters like road winning percentage etc.

Old Post 05-23-08 03:32 PM
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maineroad


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 72

Cool. Wish I had read this about a day ago!

Old Post 05-23-08 06:09 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

UPCOMING PLAYS

play on pitsburgh 25 may
play on arizona 29 may
play on atlanta 26 may
play on washington 26 may
play on houston 25 may
play on colorado 25 may
play on san diego 25 may
play on dodgers 25 may
play on kansas city 29 may
play on tampa bay 28 may
play on yankees 25 may
play on toronto 26 may
play on tampa bay 25 may
play on chicago white sox 25 may
play on baltimore 2 jun

All plays are -2 RL

Old Post 05-23-08 06:22 PM
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Zac
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 15654

Good luck!

Hope you win 'em all ............. unless I go the other way. :]

Zack

Old Post 05-23-08 06:32 PM
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tomla021
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Registered: May 2003
Posts: 1806

thats a sneaky logical system thanks
tom




'cest la vie'

Old Post 05-23-08 06:38 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

RESULTS FOR AL

PS: All Runlines are -2.5. As you know odds for -2.5 are very high like +180 or +200!

BAL (Away Winning Percentage %40.9)

ML 2-0
RL 2-0 (by 4 runs in both games)

BOS (Away Winning Percentage %41.6)

ML 3-0
RL 3-0 (by 3 or more runs in 3 games)

NYY 0.458

ML 1-2
RL 1-2 (by 3 runs)

TB 0.476

ML 2-2
RL 2-2 (by 8 runs and by 5 runs)

*TOR*0.481*

ML 1-3
RL 0-4

*CHW*0.518*

ML 1-3
RL 0-4

CLE 0.440

ML 2-1
RL 2-1 (by 3 and 4 runs)

TEX 0.434

ML 1-2
RL 1-2 (by 6 runs)

DET0.375

ML 3-1
RL 2-2 (by 4, 1 and 11 runs)

*KC* 0.500*

ML 1-2
RL 1-2 (by 6 runs)

MIN 0.368

ML 4-0
RL 3-1 (by 1, 10, 4 and 4 runs)

*LAA* 0.571*

ML 1-3
RL 1-3 (by 3 runs)

OAK 0.50

ML 2-1
RL 2-1 (by 3 runs in both)

SEA 0.330

ML 2-0
RL 2-0 (by 6 and 7 runs)

Results for AL

23 Moneyline Lost
26 Moneyline Win

27 Runline Lost
22 Runline -2.5 Win

%45 Winning Rate with -2.5 Runline sounds very profitable imo, what do you think?

Btw did you noticed TOR, CWS, KC and LAA? These 4 teams have a road winning rate %52, %57, %50 and %48! Their cumulative record is 2-13!!

So if we exclude them,

20 Runline Win
14 Runline Lost

Maybe we should exclude teams with high away winning percentage, what do you think? Also road trip length may be a factor too and distance.

We'll carry on with National League..

Old Post 05-24-08 03:08 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

NATIONAL LEAGUE

The records indicates the system record. If it is 0-3 for Braves, then it means Atlanta had 3 road trips so far and they lost all the last games of the road.

All Runlines are by -2.5..

Atlanta Braves

ML 2-1
RL 1-2

Florida Marlins

ML 1-1
RL 1-1

Because the last game of the road trip is post-poned in 15 May, Marlins have 2 road trips record so far.

New York Mets

ML 2-1
RL 1-2

(RL -1.5 record is 2-1 but wins by "exact 2 runs" are very rare so -2.5 is much better)

Philadelphia Phillies

ML 3-0
RL 1-2

Washington Nationals

ML 1-3
RL 1-3

Chicago Cubs

ML 2-1
RL 1-2

Cincinnati Reds

ML 2-1
RL 2-1

Houston Astros

ML 3-1
RL 1-3

Milwaukee Brewers

ML 3-0
RL 2-1

Pittsburgh Pirates

ML 3-1
RL 2-2

St Louis Cardinals

ML 2-1
RL 2-1

Arizona Diamondbacks

ML 1-3
RL 1-3

Colorado Rockies

ML 4-0
RL 2-2

Los Angeles Dodgers

ML 4-0
RL 3-1

San Diego Padres

ML 3-1
RL 1-3

San Francisco Giants

ML 2-1
RL 1-2

Old Post 05-24-08 03:41 PM
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Chico1856
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6165

BOL to you Saywer




http://unmetneeds.com/

LIFE: Sometimes you're the baby, sometimes you're the diaper

Old Post 05-24-08 04:53 PM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

Enjoying articles..

Thank you Chico, nice avatar btw :)

Btw today found some nice articles about betting and gambling. In one of them there was a story about a system. This guy is betting on home team after a longtrip but only SECOND game! Sounds interesting, feel free to have a look..

Many nice articles btw specially the magic one was enjoying:))

http://www.gambleonthis.com/My_Father_s_Lucky_Gambling_System.html

http://www.gambleonthis.com/The_Magic_Baseball_Betting_System.html

Old Post 05-24-08 06:45 PM
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SugarHill
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Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 7062

I love the concept behind this.

Old Post 05-24-08 07:08 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

UPCOMING PLAYS

play on pitsburgh 25 may WINNER
play on arizona 29 may
play on atlanta 26 may
play on washington 26 may
play on houston 25 may LOST
play on colorado 25 may PENDING
play on san diego 25 may PENDING
play on dodgers 25 may PENDING
play on kansas city 29 may
play on tampa bay 28 may
play on yankees 25 may WINNER
play on toronto 26 may
play on tampa bay 25 may WINNER
play on chicago whitesox 25 may PENDING
play on baltimore 2 jun

Old Post 05-25-08 11:24 PM
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Sawyer
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7141

Unfortunately all the RL bets are lost :(

I can't believe all the winners won by 1 run so far!?

Old Post 05-25-08 11:27 PM
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