StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

The FoxDen Forum : Powered by vBulletin version 2.3.0 The FoxDen Forum > Sports Handicapping, Trends, and Stats > NFL WEEK 4 Early Observations....Please Share
Search The Fox Den Forum:

Subscribe to this Thread
Pages (2): [1] 2 »

Last Message   Next Message
    
Author
Message    Post A Reply
Randizzle14
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2006
Posts: 1205

NFL WEEK 4 Early Observations....Please Share

Love all 3 of these, Would love if some of you fellow Foe Denners would look into these plays and share your insight. Or any others you may want to share.

Oakland +4
Green Bay -1.5
New England -6.5

Good Luck




2006-2007 Football Handicapping Record ATS 39-20-2 (66.1%) (+30.2 Units)
NCAA Football: 28-15-1 (65%) (+20.4 Units)
NFL Football: 11-5-1 (69%) (+9.8 Units)

2007-2008 Football Handicapping Record ATS: 107-59-6 (64.4%) (+77.2 Units)
NCAA Football: 54-29-2 (61%) (+ 42 Units)
NFL Football: 53-30-4 (59%) (+35.2 Units)

2008-2009 Season: 129-55-4 (70.1%) (+166.1 Units)
NCAA Football: *82-23-4 (78%) (+119.6 Units)*
NFL Football: 47-32-0 (59%) (+46.5 Units)

2009-2010 Season: 113-95-5 (54%) (+16 Units)
NCAA Football: 51-50-3 (50%) (-20.2 Units)
NFL Football: 62-45-2 (58%)(+36.2 Units)

NCAA Football Overall: 215-117-7 (65%)(+161.8 Units)
NFL Football Overall: 173-112-5 (60%)(+127.7 Units)
2006-2010 OVERALL= 388-229-17 (62.8%) (+289.5 Units)
All Units are on a 1-5 Scale.

Old Post 09-25-07 04:03 AM
Randizzle14 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Randizzle14 Click here to Send Randizzle14 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
nizzle


Registered: Oct 2006
Posts: 1582

Oakland is traveling across county. I'm always leary of teams that do that so i don't like that one.

No opinion on GB minny, from first look i would say the pack.

NE is on a roll and i can't bet against brady. But in the limelight with a spread as big as that, i would probally lean to the underdog. Maybe thats why sandiego got crushed by the pats though.

GL




GL

Nizzle

Old Post 09-25-07 04:16 AM
nizzle is offline Click Here to See the Profile for nizzle Click here to Send nizzle a Private Message Edit post   Report post
The Gush
Banned User

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 4922

Indy fits a very successful system

Old Post 09-25-07 04:21 AM
The Gush is offline Click Here to See the Profile for The Gush Click here to Send The Gush a Private Message Edit post   Report post
danny07
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2003
Posts: 1306

Randizzle14
The Raiders have the Culpepper effect on this game. Like looking at a team where a x coach or x key player returns to play there previous team. The game planning is truly aided. GL




The Greatest enemy of excellence is good !

NFL 13 SEASON

ATS 1-1
TEASERS 1-0
+80.00

NFL 12 SEASON
ATS 10-3
TEASER 3-5
TOTALS 4-1
ML DOGS 6-1
+2885.00
NBA 2012
ATS 6-3
+ 290.00

NFL 11 SEASON
ATS 9-4-1
TOTALS 5-1
TEASERS 8-3
ML DOGS 6-3
ML PARLAYS 4-1
+3855

+NFL 10 SEASON
ATS 25- 7
TOTAL 11-8
TEASERS 8-5
ML DOGS7-2
ML Parlay 2-1
+4975

NBA 09/10
ATS 4-1
+290.0

Old Post 09-25-07 04:24 AM
danny07 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for danny07 Click here to Send danny07 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Randizzle14
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2006
Posts: 1205

.

Nizzle- True about the traveling, but I don't know that it will affect them too much. The Pack is looking Good, and Minnesota is very weak at the QB position.

Gush- What system may that be sir?

Danny07- I totally agree, especially at the QB position. He can share alot of things with the Raiders.




2006-2007 Football Handicapping Record ATS 39-20-2 (66.1%) (+30.2 Units)
NCAA Football: 28-15-1 (65%) (+20.4 Units)
NFL Football: 11-5-1 (69%) (+9.8 Units)

2007-2008 Football Handicapping Record ATS: 107-59-6 (64.4%) (+77.2 Units)
NCAA Football: 54-29-2 (61%) (+ 42 Units)
NFL Football: 53-30-4 (59%) (+35.2 Units)

2008-2009 Season: 129-55-4 (70.1%) (+166.1 Units)
NCAA Football: *82-23-4 (78%) (+119.6 Units)*
NFL Football: 47-32-0 (59%) (+46.5 Units)

2009-2010 Season: 113-95-5 (54%) (+16 Units)
NCAA Football: 51-50-3 (50%) (-20.2 Units)
NFL Football: 62-45-2 (58%)(+36.2 Units)

NCAA Football Overall: 215-117-7 (65%)(+161.8 Units)
NFL Football Overall: 173-112-5 (60%)(+127.7 Units)
2006-2010 OVERALL= 388-229-17 (62.8%) (+289.5 Units)
All Units are on a 1-5 Scale.

Old Post 09-25-07 08:00 AM
Randizzle14 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Randizzle14 Click here to Send Randizzle14 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
AngryBeavers
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 1555

I too would like to hear more about the system favoring Indy!

I like GB this week - a lot; I already have two units on GB -2; This is a great matchup for GB! Minnesota's defensive strength is stopping the run, but they are suspect in the air. GB can't run, but sure can throw. On the other side, GB matches up its' defensive strength - rush D, against Minnesota's offensive Strength, rushing. I think GB wins by at least 7!

I agree about fading Oakland this week as they are a West Coast Team travling East!

I also like ATL a lot this week, both plus the point and on the ML!. Atlanta should have won last week while Houston is coming off of an emotional game and is VERY banged up. I think ATL gets its' first W of the season this weekend.

Old Post 09-25-07 03:54 PM
AngryBeavers is offline Click Here to See the Profile for AngryBeavers Click here to Send AngryBeavers a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Jacey
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 725

I like all three of these. Cincy can score but their defense is so porous. Oakland has a good D, Minny may score only 10 points again, and GB is looking very good. These are actually the three games I picked out while looking at lines yesterday.

Old Post 09-25-07 04:00 PM
Jacey is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Jacey Click here to Send Jacey a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Callis-Redick
Restricted User

Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 848

Like GB, and I like the Texans -3.5 so far, thoose are the 2 im looking at right now

Old Post 09-25-07 04:11 PM
Callis-Redick is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Callis-Redick Click here to Send Callis-Redick a Private Message Edit post   Report post
AkiraWulf
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2398

I like Atlanta +3.5 next week. Joey Harrington played well enough to win against a solid Panther defense, and had it not been for a few stupid, stupid mental errors they would have won last week. The Texans are injured, they can't run and Matt Schaub will have no targets with andre and jacoby both out.

I wouldn't be surprised to be 80%+ of the public on Houston, which is even better.

Old Post 09-25-07 06:33 PM
AkiraWulf is offline Click Here to See the Profile for AkiraWulf Click here to Send AkiraWulf a Private Message Edit post   Report post
amich1
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2006
Posts: 1547

dogs

underdogs have gone 21-8-3 the last two weeks in the NFL, if past history is any indication the faves should bounce back this week. thoughts?

Old Post 09-25-07 06:58 PM
amich1 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for amich1 Click here to Send amich1 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Vaitek
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 1038

"looking at a team where a x coach or x key player returns"

I think the Steelers traveling out to to play the Cardinals and Wizzenhunt fit this too this week.

Old Post 09-25-07 07:59 PM
Vaitek is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Vaitek Click here to Send Vaitek a Private Message Edit post   Report post
tdbabe
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 7262

NE scoring this season: 38-14, 38-14, 38-7.

Last year, NE at CIN.....Week 4, score 38-13. Eerie.....lol




Please view this site. Donations of any kind are always appreciated by these brave people.

http://www.anysoldier.com/index.cfm

America is not at war. The U.S. Military is at war. America is at the Mall. If you don't stand behind our troops, PLEASE feel free to stand in front of them!

Remember, Freedom isn't Free, thousands have paid the price so you can enjoy what you have today.

Old Post 09-25-07 08:26 PM
tdbabe is offline Click Here to See the Profile for tdbabe Click here to Send tdbabe a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Vaitek
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 1038

tdbabe

Didn't even think to look, nice. What are the odds? :)

Old Post 09-25-07 08:32 PM
Vaitek is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Vaitek Click here to Send Vaitek a Private Message Edit post   Report post
tdbabe
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 7262

Very odd they got to that number 3 straight weeks. Planned? 3 + 8 = 11 (players on the field). Maybe a goal set during training camp.




Please view this site. Donations of any kind are always appreciated by these brave people.

http://www.anysoldier.com/index.cfm

America is not at war. The U.S. Military is at war. America is at the Mall. If you don't stand behind our troops, PLEASE feel free to stand in front of them!

Remember, Freedom isn't Free, thousands have paid the price so you can enjoy what you have today.

Old Post 09-25-07 08:54 PM
tdbabe is offline Click Here to See the Profile for tdbabe Click here to Send tdbabe a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Vaitek
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 1038

AkiraWulf - Atlanta +3

I agree, I was on Atlanta (unfortunately) and the Texans (push) last week. They had a good shot and played the Panthers tough until the end. With the injuries to the Texans and going on the road, I'm not exactly sure why they are favored and the game isn't maybe a pick, but I think a lot of people will be on the Texans despite giving away the points on the road.

Maybe the whole Houston beat Carolina @ home who beat Atlanta @ home. Simple logic, maybe.

Old Post 09-25-07 09:45 PM
Vaitek is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Vaitek Click here to Send Vaitek a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Randizzle14
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2006
Posts: 1205

I'm Loving

That alot of you are in agreeance. Also like some opinions on the other Games.

Gush if you get a chance, I would love to know what system that is. Thanks again.

BTW noone forget that before the season even started I called Packers as Super Bowl Champs. Looking good, but a LOONNG way to go.

seeya




2006-2007 Football Handicapping Record ATS 39-20-2 (66.1%) (+30.2 Units)
NCAA Football: 28-15-1 (65%) (+20.4 Units)
NFL Football: 11-5-1 (69%) (+9.8 Units)

2007-2008 Football Handicapping Record ATS: 107-59-6 (64.4%) (+77.2 Units)
NCAA Football: 54-29-2 (61%) (+ 42 Units)
NFL Football: 53-30-4 (59%) (+35.2 Units)

2008-2009 Season: 129-55-4 (70.1%) (+166.1 Units)
NCAA Football: *82-23-4 (78%) (+119.6 Units)*
NFL Football: 47-32-0 (59%) (+46.5 Units)

2009-2010 Season: 113-95-5 (54%) (+16 Units)
NCAA Football: 51-50-3 (50%) (-20.2 Units)
NFL Football: 62-45-2 (58%)(+36.2 Units)

NCAA Football Overall: 215-117-7 (65%)(+161.8 Units)
NFL Football Overall: 173-112-5 (60%)(+127.7 Units)
2006-2010 OVERALL= 388-229-17 (62.8%) (+289.5 Units)
All Units are on a 1-5 Scale.

Old Post 09-25-07 10:33 PM
Randizzle14 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Randizzle14 Click here to Send Randizzle14 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
dj56


Registered: Aug 2007
Posts: 15

Kansas City ML

Old Post 09-25-07 11:01 PM
dj56 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for dj56 Edit post   Report post
The Gush
Banned User

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 4922

Randizzle

Scratch that comment about the Indy play, its a system that involves teams and there bye weeks but Indy is a week or two away so ignore it. My bad, sorry.

Old Post 09-25-07 11:36 PM
The Gush is offline Click Here to See the Profile for The Gush Click here to Send The Gush a Private Message Edit post   Report post
amich1
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2006
Posts: 1547

devil's advocate

there are some strong indicators working against the Packers this weekend...

Overall when the Pack visits the Metrodome the underdog has gone an amazing 11-3, 7-1 the last 8 years. In all games played in this series the dog has gone 15-1 ATS the last 8 years. The Vikings playing at home off BB SU losses playing a team off a SU underdog win are 8-0 ATS. This situation in general is a very profitable one....anytime a team is coming off a SU home dog win and is favored on the road in their following game it is time to look at the home dog. It happens so seldom I think it happened only 4 times last year in the NFL. (pretty sure 3-1 last year). The Packers are in a letdown situation, brett in a dome w/ the bears on deck & minny looking ahead to their bye week.


v

Old Post 09-26-07 12:28 AM
amich1 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for amich1 Click here to Send amich1 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Randizzle14
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2006
Posts: 1205

Starting to love these early plays

Green Bay won
Oakland won
NE still hasnt played


woot woot




2006-2007 Football Handicapping Record ATS 39-20-2 (66.1%) (+30.2 Units)
NCAA Football: 28-15-1 (65%) (+20.4 Units)
NFL Football: 11-5-1 (69%) (+9.8 Units)

2007-2008 Football Handicapping Record ATS: 107-59-6 (64.4%) (+77.2 Units)
NCAA Football: 54-29-2 (61%) (+ 42 Units)
NFL Football: 53-30-4 (59%) (+35.2 Units)

2008-2009 Season: 129-55-4 (70.1%) (+166.1 Units)
NCAA Football: *82-23-4 (78%) (+119.6 Units)*
NFL Football: 47-32-0 (59%) (+46.5 Units)

2009-2010 Season: 113-95-5 (54%) (+16 Units)
NCAA Football: 51-50-3 (50%) (-20.2 Units)
NFL Football: 62-45-2 (58%)(+36.2 Units)

NCAA Football Overall: 215-117-7 (65%)(+161.8 Units)
NFL Football Overall: 173-112-5 (60%)(+127.7 Units)
2006-2010 OVERALL= 388-229-17 (62.8%) (+289.5 Units)
All Units are on a 1-5 Scale.

Old Post 09-30-07 11:09 PM
Randizzle14 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Randizzle14 Click here to Send Randizzle14 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Post A Reply
  
Pages (2): [1] 2 »   Last Message   Next Message

Quick Links: