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pinkpastrami
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2029

Why is Natti only -6 ½ ???

Did Cincy trade Palmer to Cleveland???

I don't understand why the line is where it is...

Please help me out...

Thanks in advance...

Old Post 09-12-07 05:41 AM
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fwljr3
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 1941

No idea.. I got burned last week by taking the opposite side of the games that "looked too good to be true" I just done see how cincy doesnt win by 14+... Cincy is better than Pittsburg.. Cincy judt beat a very good Baltimore team.. they should steamroll cleveland... who knows???

Old Post 09-12-07 05:54 AM
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pjamin10


Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 10

I'm a little puzzled myself. My only theory is that the books are expecting a let down game from the Bengals on a short week. Getting rid of Frye may give the browns a little extra bounce in their step mentally but they are still terrible. Plus the Bengals Kicker Graham is still a question mark which may cause them to lose a few points off the spread.

I also think the Colts game -7.5 seems a bit low.

Regardless so far i really like two teams that are due for a bounce back week. St. Louis and New Orleans both -3. Getting it in early.

Old Post 09-12-07 05:59 AM
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TheBuzzard
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Aug 2007
Posts: 3056

Sportsbook still shows Cincy -9 [even]. It's -9.5 currently at Matchbook. Where is it -6.5?

Old Post 09-12-07 06:00 AM
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TheBuzzard
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Aug 2007
Posts: 3056

Sorry

Got mixed up with NCAA Cincy football. Disregard.

Old Post 09-12-07 06:02 AM
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tdbabe
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 7262

Cincy vs. Clev last 5 years

SU: 6-4-0
ATS: 5-5-0 (0.8) avg line: -2.8
O/U: 5-5-0 (5.6) avg total: 41.0

Plus, coming off emotional, and very physical win on Monday Night....now on road....due for letdown?

All guesses




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Old Post 09-12-07 06:03 AM
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thedoc
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Registered: Sep 2006
Posts: 11024

Cincy was not impressive last nite. Division game. Cle. traded starter today. I laid -6.5 allready. It will climb.
GL

Old Post 09-12-07 06:06 AM
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fwljr3
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 1941

I cant find a thing.. I just dropped a lot on Cincy -6.5.. line will be 8 by game time... FWIW

Last 4 years:
Cincy is 6-2 vs. Cleve SU
Cincy is 3-1 @ Cleve (SU and ATS)
Cincy is 5-3 ATS in all games

Old Post 09-12-07 06:43 AM
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bawlmer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 2919

Ravens D did a good job of containing the Bengals potent offense. It is a short week for them and it was a tough and emotional game last night but if Roethlisberger can shred the Browns D for 4TD's I have to think Carson could do the same.

Old Post 09-12-07 06:45 AM
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jkaul
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

found this little tidbit

SUPER LOSERS
PLAY ON any NFL home dog off a SU loss of 24 > points as a home dog.

ATS W-L Record Since 1991: 17-6
Play On: Cleveland Browns

Old Post 09-12-07 07:06 AM
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daddydan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 743

pinkpastrami

i found the same facts that jkaul found... play on any nfl home dog off a su loss of 24+ pts as a home dog...ats..17-6 play is on cleve....and since this is a rivalry, and plus the fact that usually a team that wins on monday night, usually most of the time losses the following sunday.. i'm on the browns, not because they are my home boy's,but because this game will be a struggle for cinn.. good luck and be blessed............daddydan

p.s. i found this @ mark lawerence playbook.com

Old Post 09-12-07 08:32 AM
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jkaul
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

cincy game is fishy

92% of 5400 bets on Cincy but the line hasn't moved. Line is also a sucker line at 6 1/2, everyone is saying all they have to do is win by a touchdown, 2 1/2 is also a sucker line for favorites.

7 1/2 and 3 1/2 are sucker lines for dogs.

I would either play Cleveland or stay away on this one.....probably stay away since I can't bet on this Browns team right now.

GL

Old Post 09-12-07 09:45 AM
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luckydog132
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 3006

Cinncy D not very good, bonehead billick throws ball for INT, 4 balt turnovers and cincy still needed refs help to win. cinn letdown off of mon nite High, tough to get up every week adding clev div game = a clev win or close loss In my opinion. can not see putting my $ on Clev at this pt. PASS on this one for now! Good Luck L Dog. PS Balt ruined my shot at only one in statfox tourney to go 7-0 for 28 pts, mon nite games are always strange? the Refs name was donahy. nuff said. glad I only played 1 unit on balt. Good Luck Den.

Old Post 09-12-07 09:59 AM
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Deuce
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Registered: Aug 2007
Posts: 2604

AAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Cleveland totaly sucked in that game, they were handed 7 turnovers in all and couldnt do nothing with it. They won with the refs help.
McNair looked like a statue in the pocket, like his feet were stuck in cement. Myself, i think he was hiding that groin injury before the game because he is much more of a mobile QB than that. Most likely they will bring in Leftwich & McNair will be the backup once hes healed.
At the end of the game when Baltimore (twice) had 4 downs to punch the ball in for the tieing TD they had BONEHEAD Boller & the BONEHEAD Coach try to pass the ball into the endzone on the 1 yard line when they have one of the best RB McGahee to punch it in. VERY POOR CALL PLAYING.
The 1st time it was 1st & Goal from the 3 yard line. Can you tell me that the Baltimore offense with McGahee couldnt run that ball 4 times and not get into that endzone. BULL****.
The 2nd time it was 1st & Goal from the 6 yard line and they did the same BULL**** over again like they did in the 1st set of 4 downs and eventually it was passed for an INT.
Boller just gets off the bench cold & you expect him to throw a TD from the 3 yard line which is the hardest type of throws to make. If i was the Owner of that team that Coach would be out on his ASS. Bad play calling all game.

OMG i better lie down before i have a heart attack. Bye




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Old Post 09-12-07 04:28 PM
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pinkpastrami
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2029

Great...

FROM PDA...
Hoping for a little more feedback...
I have 2units on it and dont know if I let it ride or back it up???

Old Post 09-14-07 09:41 AM
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BWELL316
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2004
Posts: 2064

If I were you I would tease Cincy down to a pick em or -1/2 with another play you like. That way, it's possible you could middle the line, but at the very least you are covered.




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Old Post 09-14-07 03:17 PM
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