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SWAHILI
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 671

NHL 4d chase (home + away) 12/12/06

Record 100 - 2

RT-Bet against Ducks (game 4)

ROAD TRIPS -- RT
(play against teams on 4 or more game rd trip)
Game 1 = 19-18
Game 2 = 9-9
Game 3 = 5-4
Game 4 = 2-1

WELCOME HOME --WH
(play on a team when they come home after extended road trip of 4 or more)
Game 1 = 20-13
Game 2 = 9-4
Game 3 = 3-1
Game 4 =-0-1

HOME STAND --HS
(play on team when at home for 4 or more games in a row)
Game 1 = 16-2
Game 2 = 1-1
Game 3 = 1-0

AWAY FROM HOME-- AWH
(play against team for next 4 games away after being home for 4 or more)
Game 1 =6-11
Game 2 =7-2 -pending Stars 12/16, Caps 12/15
Game 3 =1-1
Game 4 =1-0

Old Post 12-13-06 04:02 PM
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SWAHILI
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 671

thanks to everyone helping this weekend

wish that 100 wins included the panthers last night

Old Post 12-13-06 04:03 PM
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fulkgl
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Registered: Mar 2005
Posts: 2093

12/13

YTD
chases 100-2
WL 82-59
+53.04 / 427.35 = +12.4%roi

tonight: ATL 5.82 units RT4(!ana)

Old Post 12-13-06 04:32 PM
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rfd27@optonline


Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 52

RDT 4d Chase 12/13/06

HF-Bet On Pittsburgh(Gm1)


Chase results: 49-1

Road Dogs (Bet AGAINST after 2 wins in a row as a road dog)

Game 1 = 10-10
Game 2 = 5-4 Clb
Game 3 = 1-2 Buff
Game 4 = 1-1

Chase results: 17-1 (Loss on Montreal -32.4 units)

Road Favorites (Bet ON after 2 losses in a row as a road favorite)

Game 1 =0-4
Game 2 = 4-0
Game 3 =
Game 4 =

Chase results: 4-0

Home Favorites (Bet ON after 2 losses in a row as a home favorite)

Game 1 = 21-6
Game 2 = 2-2 Fla,Stl,
Game 3 = 2-0
Game 4 =

Chase results: 25-0

Home Dogs (Bet AGAINST after 2 wins in a row as a home dog)

Game 1 = 2-2
Game 2 = 1-0 Pho
Game 3 =
Game 4 =

Chase results: 3-0

Old Post 12-13-06 04:49 PM
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fulkgl
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Registered: Mar 2005
Posts: 2093

correction

I just ran a program to check of my hand recorded data for the last week and found I incorrectly recorded a game. I marked the 12/9 was/phl game as a phl win, but they lost. Sorry for the slight mistake.

The corrected numbers YTD...
chases 100-2
WL 81-60
+50.90 / 427.35 = +11.9%roi

Old Post 12-13-06 04:54 PM
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fulkgl
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2005
Posts: 2093

RFD?

Are you adding a new chase to this thread? Sorry, but I've been busy the last week and haven't read all the thread text. What are the rules for your chase? For instance, you state chase a team as a HF after 2 losses as a HF. Is that chase the next 4 games, no matter H/V F/D?

Old Post 12-13-06 05:10 PM
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rfd27@optonline


Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 52

fulkgl

This chase is an adaptation of the MLB 4d chase that has been run here. Rules are the same.

After 2 losses as a home favorite you would be betting on a team when they are a home favorite again up to 4 times. There can be road games in between or home games as an underdog in between.

Opposite is true for road dogs. After 2 wins as a road dog you bet against a team when they are again a road dog up to 4 times

In today's game Pitt lost to the Islanders as a home fav on 12/2 and lost again as a home fav to Fla on 12/5. So today they become a Play On against Phil as a favorite

Old Post 12-13-06 05:53 PM
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rfd27@optonline


Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 52

I edited the summary sheet. Appreciate your question I didn't realize it was so vague to somebody unfamiliar with the MLB 4d chase

RDT 4d Chase 12/13/06

HF-Bet On Pittsburgh(Gm1)


Chase results: 49-1

Road Dogs (Bet AGAINST as a road dog after 2 wins in a row as a road dog)

Game 1 = 10-10
Game 2 = 5-4 Clb
Game 3 = 1-2 Buff
Game 4 = 1-1

Chase results: 17-1 (Loss on Montreal -32.4 units)

Road Favorites (Bet ON as a road favorite after 2 losses in a row as a road favorite)

Game 1 =0-4
Game 2 = 4-0
Game 3 =
Game 4 =

Chase results: 4-0

Home Favorites (Bet ON as a home favorite after 2 losses in a row as a home favorite)

Game 1 = 21-6
Game 2 = 2-2 Fla,Stl,
Game 3 = 2-0
Game 4 =

Chase results: 25-0

Home Dogs (Bet AGAINST as a home dog after 2 wins in a row as a home dog)

Game 1 = 2-2
Game 2 = 1-0 Pho
Game 3 =
Game 4 =

Chase results: 3-0

Old Post 12-13-06 06:14 PM
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gpleas


Registered: Feb 2003
Posts: 112

rfd27@optonline
do you have prior years results or is this a test starting this year?

Old Post 12-13-06 08:32 PM
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bstone


Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 6

link for 4d chase rules

http://www.bertw2.com/misc/

Old Post 12-13-06 09:29 PM
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rfd27@optonline


Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 52

bstone,

thank you, thank you, thank you

First time I've seen that, and it explains the chase about a 1000 times better than I ever could.

Old Post 12-13-06 10:19 PM
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fhmesq


Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 31

THANKS B STONE

Do you have any information on prior years? For baseball

Old Post 12-13-06 10:28 PM
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rfd27@optonline


Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 52

gpleas,

165-3 last year. I also researched it back to 2000 and it won but the shootout changes everything so I don't know have valid that is.

Old Post 12-13-06 10:33 PM
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casey


Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 20

About your Pick

Hello,
Your pick, Bet Against Ducks has a date of 12 12 on top.
Yet the message was entered 12 13
I assume that this pick is for today 12 12
Right?

Thanks
Casey

Old Post 12-13-06 11:08 PM
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*Capo*


Registered: Jun 2005
Posts: 218

rfd27@optonline

rfd27@optonline,

Do you have the 4d NHL breakdown for the 2005-06 season? Please let me know as I am doing some backtesting. Thanks.

Old Post 12-14-06 07:37 AM
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THE_REAL_GOLD
Banned User

Registered: Dec 2003
Posts: 663

does anyone know regarding the losses this system has incurred this year and past years if it was against teams that were either a)hot or b)very good?

seems like a filter of betting against really good teams could weed out a loss or two.

just wondering......




Rockwall, Tx

Old Post 12-14-06 07:44 AM
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