Sunday, 05/05/2024 (545) ORLANDO vs. (546) CLEVELAND
Favoring: CLEVELAND against the spread.
CLEVELAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 116, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 2*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (545) ORLANDO vs. (546) CLEVELAND
Favoring: ORLANDO against the spread.
ORLANDO is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 110.6, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 2*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (545) ORLANDO vs. (546) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Under on the total.
ORLANDO is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) on Sunday games this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 110.5, OPPONENT 103.3 - (Rating = 2*)

Sunday, 05/05/2024 (545) ORLANDO vs. (546) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Over on the total.
CLEVELAND is 18-8 OVER (+9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 113.5, OPPONENT 111.3 - (Rating = 1*)

First-Round Trends by Game Number

• Game Sevens are usually competitive – Every fan loves a big Game Seven, and NBA fans should even more, as although the first-round Game Sevens have gone heavily to the favorites (13-4 SU), they are just 6-10-1 ATS (37.5%) in those 17 do-or-die contests.
System Matches: FADE CLEVELAND ATS (-3.5 vs ORL)

Trends by Seed Number

• #4 seeds have tended to stack losses, as they are just 27-34 SU & 21-40 ATS (34.4%) since 2013 in same series games following a loss.
System Matches: FADE CLEVELAND (-3.5 vs ORL)

ORLANDO has thrived in the commonplace One Day Rest scheduling scenario this season, going 36-17 SU & ATS (67.9%).
5/5 at Cleveland
System Match: PLAY ORLANDO (+3.5 at CLE)

Cavaliers-Magic Game 7 betting at BetMGM

Cavs open -3.5, no movement
▪️ 65% of bets, 42% of money on Cavs

Total open 195.5, no movement
▪️ 81% of bets, 80% of money on Over

Orlando Magic
open +140, now +125
▪️ 45% of bets, 19% of money on Magic

Most bet (tickets) Cavaliers-Magic player props at BetMGM

1. Donovan Mitchell over 28.5 points (-125)

2. Paolo Banchero over 24.5 points (-120)

3. Donovan Mitchell over 9.5 ASTs/RBs (-145)

4. Evan Mobley under 9.5 rebounds (-105)

UNDERs are 38-22 in Game 7s of the NBA Playoffs since 2005

Including 13-3 in the past five postseasons.

80% of money is on Cavaliers-Magics OVER 195.5 at BetMGM

Home teams in Game 7 of the NBA Playoffs


2005-2019: 33-14 (70%) SU

2021-2023: 3-6 SU

81% of money is on Cavs -150 vs. Magic.

The Cavaliers started this series up 2-0 in their first two home games, and now they find the series tied 3-3 heading into a Game 7 after losing to the Magic in Orlando, 103-96, in Game 6. Donovan Mitchell had himself a monster 50-point performance on 22-of-36 shooting, but the rest of the Cavaliers — featured and role players alike — failed to contribute in any meaningful way, combining for just 46 points.

Home teams in Game 7 of the first round are 15-8-1 ATS in the first half (24.7% ROI) going back to 2005. If we include the second round for a larger sample size, the higher seed is still 26-16-1 (18.3% ROI). And off a loss, those teams are 17-7 ATS in the first half.

Taking a shot on Franz Wagner U 19' pts
GLTA

Taking a shot on Franz Wagner U 19' pts