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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 4/20

Milwaukee (12-6) @ St Louis (9-11)
— Hall is 0-1, 7.11 in three starts.
— Milwaukee is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— This is his first start vs St Louis

— Brewers are 2-3 in their last five games.
— They’re 8-2 on road.
— over 10-3-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 12-4-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-x-4

— Mikolas is 1-2, 5.82 in four starts.
— St Louis is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4
— He is 9-5, 3.79 in 15 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
— They’re 3-4 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 5-12-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-4

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Miami (4-16) @ Cubs (12-7)
— Luzardo is 0-2, 7.65 in four starts.
— Miami is 0-4 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 2-0, 2.88 in four starts vs Chicago.

— bullpen game

— Marlins lost 16 of their first 20 games.
— Miami is 0-7 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on
— Marlins are 2-5 on road.
— under 4-2 last six road games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-5

— Assad is 2-0, 2.16 in three starts.
— Chicago is 02-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Imanaga is 2-0, 0.59 in his first three starts.
— Chicago is 3-0 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Cubs won five of their last six games.
— They’re 6-1 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-x-4

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NY Mets (11-8) @ Los Angeles (12-10)
— Butto is 0-0, 0.75 in two starts.
— New York is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— New York is 11-3 in its last 14 games.
— Mets are 5-2 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

— Stone is 1-1, 6.14 in three starts.
— Dodgers are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

— Dodgers are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 8-6 at home.
— over 9-4-1 at home
— scored run in first inning: 10-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3

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Arizona (10-11) @ San Francisco (9-12)
— Gallen is 3-0, 1.64 in four starts
— Arizona is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He is 1-2, 4.31 in seven starts at San Francisco.

— Arizona is 2-3 in its last five games.
— Diamondbacks are 3-5 on the road.
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 11-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6-3

— Harrison is 2-1, 4.70 in four starts.
— San Francisco is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Giants split their last eight games.
— They’re 4-4 at home.
— under 9-5 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 5-13-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4.1

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Tampa Bay (11-10) @ Bronx (14-6)
— Eflin is 1-1, 3.06 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 3-1, 1.86 in five starts vs New York

— Tampa Bay is 8-6 in its last 14 games.
— Rays are 4-3 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-2.1

— Cortes is 1-1, 4.50 in four starts.
— New York is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 2-2, 3.55 in 11 games (5 starts) vs Toronto.

— New York lost three of last five games, after a 12-3 start.
— They’re 5-2 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-3.2

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Oakland (8-12) @ Cleveland (14-6)
— Wood is 0-1, 8.10 in four starts.
— Oakland is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 2-1, 3.00 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Cleveland.

— A’s lost four of their last six games.
— Oakland is 4-3 on road.
— under 8-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-3

— Allen is 2-0, 5.06 in his four starts.
— Guardians are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-2
— He is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Oakland.

— Cleveland is 11-4 in its last 15 games.
— Guardians are 4-3 at home.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-4

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Baltimore (12-7) @ Kansas City (13-7)
— Burnes is 2-0, 2.66 in four starts.
— Baltimore is 4-0 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 2-0, 1.52 in four starts vs Kansas City

— Baltimore is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Orioles are 4-3 on road.
— over 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-2.1

— Ragans is 0-1, 1.90 in his four starts.
— Kansas City is 1-3 in his starts, scoring 9 runs.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He is 0-1, 1.00 in three games (1 start) vs Baltimore.

— Royals won 11 of their last 14 games.
— They won their last nine home games.
— under 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-3.1

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Detroit (11-9) @ Minnesota (6-12)
— Olson is 0-2, 3.86 in his three starts.
— Detroit is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He is 2-0, 3.21 in three starts vs Minnesota.

— Detroit is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Tigers are 7-2 on road.
— under 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-6.1-3

— Ober is 0-0, 0.82 in his last two starts.
— Minnesota is 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 1-2, 4.61 in eight starts vs Detroit.

— Twins are 3-10 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 1-5 at home.
— under 4-2 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-11-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3.1

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LA Angels (9-11) @ Cincinnati (10-9)
— Sandoval is 1-2, 6.48 in four starts.
— Angels are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in a relief stint vs Cincinnati.

— Angels are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 7-7 on road.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2.2-1

— Ashcraft is 2-1, 5.71 in three starts.
— Cincinnati is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 1-0, 3.86 in one start against the Angels.

— Reds lost three of last four games.
— They’re 5-5 at home.
— over 6-3-1 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 2-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-2.2

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Boston (11-10) @ Pittsburgh (11-9)
— Crawford is 0-0, 0.84 in four starts.
— Boston is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-2
— He gave up 7 runs in 4 IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh

— Boston is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Red Sox are 8-3 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-3

— Keller is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
— Pittsburgh is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 1-1, 5.00 in two starts vs Boston

— Pirates are 2-7 in their last nine games.
— They’re 3-3 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4.2

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White Sox (3-16) @ Philadelphia (12-8)
— Soroka is 0-2, 6.98 in his four starts.
— Chicago is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 1-0, 4.40 in three starts vs Philadelphia.

— White Sox lost 16 of first 19 games.
— Chicago is 1-7 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-x-5

— Wheeler is 0-3, 4.37 in four starts.
— Philly is 0-4 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 2-0, 4.15 in three starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Phillies are 9-5 at home.
— under 13-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-2

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Houston (7-14) @ Washington (8-11)
— Blanco is 2-0, 0.86 in three starts.
— Houston is 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Houston lost 14 of its first 21 games.
— Astros are 3-5 on road.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 9-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3

— Williams is 2-0, 3.60 in three starts.
— Washington is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He is 0-2, 4.85 in three games (2 starts) vs Houston.

— Nationals are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— They’re 2-5 at home.
— under 10-3 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-3-5

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Texas (11-10) @ Atlanta (13-5)
— Eovaldi is 1-1, 2.92 in four starts.
— Texas is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He is 3-3, 2.89 in 16 starts vs Atlanta

— Rangers are 3-2 in their last five games.
— They’re 6-5 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 9-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.1-3

— Morton is 1-0, 5.51 in three starts.
— Atlanta is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 3-1, 2.48 in seven starts vs Texas.

— Braves are 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
— They’re 5-2 at home.
— over 11-6-1
— scored run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-2

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Seattle (9-10) @ Colorado (4-15)
— Hancock is 1-2, 7.98 in his three starts.
— Seattle is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Seattle won its last three games.
— Mariners are 2-4 on road.
— under 14-4 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-x

— Hudson is 0-3, 5.71 in three starts.
— Colorado is 0-3 in his starts, scoring 5 runs.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Rockies are 4-15 in their first 19 games.
— Last four games, Colorado scored seven runs.
— They’re 2-4 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 4-12-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-x-x

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Toronto (11-9) @ San Diego (11-11)
— Berrios is 3-0, 1.05 in four starts.
— Toronto is 4-0 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 0-2, 2.08 in two starts vs San Diego.

— Toronto is 5-1 in its last six games.
— Blue Jays are 5-6 on road.
— under 7-3 last 10 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-5

— San Diego hasn’t named a starter.

— Padres are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— They’re 5-7 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0.1-x-4.1

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Umpires
— Mil-StL- Over is 2-1 in Randazzo games.
— Mia-Chi- Favorites are 3-0 in Moscoso games.
Under is 3-1 in last four Hamari games.
— Az-SF- Road team is 4-0 in Baker games.
— NY-LA- Road team is 3-1 in last four Barksdale games.

— TB-NY- Favorites won last three Parra games.
— Det-Minn- Over is 4-0 in Ripperger games.
— A’s-Clev- Under is 2-1 in Diaz games.
— Balt-KC- Favorites, over are 2-0 in Blakney games.

— Bos-Pitt- Under is 2-0-1 in Reyburn games.
— Hst-Wash- Underdogs won 2 of 3 Gonzalez games.
— Chi-Phil- Underdogs won 2 of last 3 Ramos games.
— LAA-Cin- Favorites, over are 3-0 in Walsh games.
— Tex-Atl- Home team is 4-0, over 3-1 in Iassogna games.
— Sea-Colo- Underdogs are 3-0 in Knight games.
— Tex-SD- Underdogs won 2 of 3 DeJesus games.

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Saturday, 04/20/2024 (965) BALTIMORE vs. (966) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
BALTIMORE is 77-36 (+43.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.5, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 04/20/2024 (965) BALTIMORE vs. (966) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
BALTIMORE is 56-33 (+31.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.4, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 3*)

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Saturday, 04/20/2024 (955) NY METS vs. (956) LA DODGERS
Favoring: LA DODGERS against the spread.
LA DODGERS are 25-8 (+21.3 Units) against the run line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 5.8, OPPONENT 3 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 04/20/2024 (955) NY METS vs. (956) LA DODGERS
Favoring: LA DODGERS against the spread.
LA DODGERS are 19-4 (+17.6 Units) against the run line after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 6.5, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 4*)

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Saturday, 04/20/2024 (975) TEXAS vs. (976) ATLANTA
Favoring: Over on the total.
TEXAS is 14-1 OVER (+12.8 Units) after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 7.6, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 04/20/2024 (953) MIAMI vs. (954) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: Under on the total.
MIAMI is 20-5 UNDER (+14.3 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 3.4, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 04/20/2024 (955) NY METS vs. (956) LA DODGERS
Favoring: Over on the total.
LA DODGERS are 38-14 OVER (+22.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 5.7, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 04/20/2024 (971) CHI WHITE SOX vs. (972) PHILADELPHIA
Favoring: Under on the total.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.7, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 3*)

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