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jerseyguy


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 289

Hank Stram's Super Bowl Formula results

Please post results if you should come across.

Thanks, Joe

Old Post 01-27-19 10:11 PM
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Breadman
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 10967

the classic "Hank Stram" point system gives the Patriots a big advantage over the Rams - 50 to 19.5. That system rewards prior Super Bowl wins in last 3 years - advantage NE




Tell/support a lie once, and all your truths become questionable.

aka IntenseOperator

Old Post 01-28-19 12:03 AM
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jerseyguy


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 289

Many Thanks.....................

Old Post 01-28-19 05:44 PM
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CUBANO
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Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 21143

Thanks




2014 MLB Contest 1st Place
2016 NBA Contest 1st Place

Old Post 01-28-19 08:21 PM
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Breadman
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 10967

I'm not all that bright.....

But can't help but thinking the Sharps have this all set up to play the middle. Books gotta be worried about their exposure.




Tell/support a lie once, and all your truths become questionable.

aka IntenseOperator

Old Post 01-29-19 04:05 PM
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Toby13
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Registered: Sep 2010
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Ring 6 sunday.




6 Rings

Old Post 01-29-19 10:13 PM
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Breadman
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Registered: Jan 2003
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here's the actual system....


Give 10 points to a team if they have won a Super Bowl in the last three seasons.

Give 8.0 points to either team if their opponent is playing in their very first Super Bowl in franchise history.

Give 8.0 points to the team that has given up the fewer amount of defensive rushes.

Give 7.0 points to the team with the best straight up win/loss record including playoffs.

Give 7.0 points to the team with the most offensive rushes on the season.

Give 5.0 points to the team with the better defensive yards-per-carry average.

Give 4.0 points to the team that has the best net kick-punt touchdown returns.

Give 4.0 points to the team who performed better against the point spread in the regular season

Give 4.0 points to the team that has the better net penalty yards number.

Give 3.5 points to the team that has the greater yards per pass attempt.

Give 3.5 points to the team that has allowed up the fewest points on the season.

Give 3.5 points to the team that has given up the fewest amount of rushing touchdowns.

Give 3.0 points to the team that has recorded the most sacks.

Give 2.5 points to the team with the fewer offensive pass attempts.

Give 2.0 points to the team that had the best net punts (total) on the year.

Give 1.5 points to the team with the best offensive yards-per-carry average.

Give 1.0 points to the team with the better completion percentage.

Old Post 01-30-19 06:38 PM
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Breadman
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off the net from a couple years back....

Many experts are also giving the advantage to the Patriots due to the combined Super Bowl experience of quarterback Tom Brady and head coach Bill Belichik. Rothman sees this as a superficial statistic. But, after looking at the statistics supplied by STATS, LLC on the impact of experience on the final result, he has reduced his emphasis on experience.

The statistics showed the following:

The team with more players to appear in at least one Super Bowl won 17 times and lost 22 times
The team with more combined Super Bowl games played among all players had 16 wins and 22 losses
The team with a prior Super Bowl quarterback won 9 times and lost 10 times
“Stats have shown that prior Super Bowl experience of the players has no real effect on the final score,” he explained.




Tell/support a lie once, and all your truths become questionable.

aka IntenseOperator

Old Post 01-30-19 06:48 PM
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Breadman
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This is just for the entertainment factor.......

"So, you wanna be an ESPN talking head and GET YOUR OWN SHOW?"

https://www.facebook.com/TheHerd/videos/a-formula-to-predict-the-super-bowl-winner/1194641984027317/




Tell/support a lie once, and all your truths become questionable.

aka IntenseOperator

Old Post 01-30-19 07:05 PM
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Breadman
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Registered: Jan 2003
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Better X

(whoever this is)

Has $3-4 million on the Rams across a number of books in Vegas.

story from a year ago....

http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/22326536/las-vegas-bettor-x-cash-more-six-million-super-bowl-bets




Tell/support a lie once, and all your truths become questionable.

aka IntenseOperator

Old Post 02-03-19 05:44 PM
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Breadman
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 10967

from down the dial....

Brady/ Belichek.....3-5 ats in super bowls and 1-5 ats as favorites (with the one cover being a miraculous comeback, cover with a td in ot vs atl)




Tell/support a lie once, and all your truths become questionable.

aka IntenseOperator

Old Post 02-03-19 05:47 PM
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Breadman
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(on a side note....I would get great joy out of watching a youtube vid of David Purdum being shredded by a pack of wolves)

Seven-figure bets come in on Rams, Patriots in run-up to Super Bowl LIII

David Purdum
2/2/19


A flurry of big Super Bowl bets, some greater than $1 million, showed up on the Los Angeles Rams late this week in Las Vegas, the largest ones coming from a bettor who shredded sportsbooks for millions on last year's Super Bowl.


MGM Resorts reported taking a $2 million money-line bet late Thursday on the Rams, who face the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LIII on Sunday in Atlanta. Bookmaker William Hill on Friday said it took a $1.5 million money-line bet on the Rams, and hours later the sportsbook at South Point Casino in Las Vegas reported taking a $300,000 money-line bet on Los Angeles. The bets were made at +120 odds and first reported by the Vegas Stats & Information Network and RotoGrinders.


Bookmakers and the media nicknamed him "Bettor X," and he did some damage. The bettor, who has asked to remain anonymous, won $10 million in the World Series between the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers. He followed it up by staking between $8 million and $10 million on the underdog Eagles to beat the Patriots in Super Bowl LII. Philadelphia won 41-33, and Bettor X ended up with a net $25 million from the run.


Now, he's back, betting again against the Patriots in Super Bowl LIII.


New England remains a consensus 2.5-point favorite over the Rams (the over/under sits at 56.5 at most sportsbooks), and the Patriots have seen some big bets, as well.
MGM took a bet Saturday just over "seven figures" on the Patriots -2.5. MGM vice president of race and sports Jay Rood told Vegas Stats and Information Network's Gil Alexander that the bettor won a big bet on New England in the AFC Championship Game and elected to roll it over on the Patriots in the Super Bowl.


It was the third reported seven-figure bet on the Super Bowl, but the first on New England.


The bulk of the early money wagered on the Super Bowl was on the Patriots. The first nine five-figure bets MGM books accepted were on New England. The action has leveled out in recent days, and, after the rush of big bets on Los Angeles, some books entered the weekend with more money on the underdog Rams.
Rood said Saturday morning that betting action over the previous 48 hours had been "fairly 50-50," but cautioned that the bulk of the money will be wagered later Saturday and Sunday.



"I would say probably 25 to 30 percent [of the total anticipated Super Bowl handle] has been placed so far," Rood said. "The way it's shaping up the last 24 hours, this could turn out not to be a very big decision."


Rood and MGM will have plenty to sweat, though, even if the money stays relatively balanced up until Sunday's kickoff. MGM opened Rams star defensive tackle Aaron Donald at 70-1 to win Super Bowl MVP. Money flowed in on Donald, driving the price down to 15-1.


"[Donald] winning MVP is not good for us," Rood said. "One of our biggest losing propositions ever was [Denver Broncos outside linebacker] Von Millerwinning MVP [in Super Bowl 50]."


Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is the favorite to win MVP at around +125 odds.


Sources told ESPN that those bets were made by the same customer who last year went on a remarkable gambling run that stretched from the 2017 World Series through Super Bowl LII between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Patriots.




Tell/support a lie once, and all your truths become questionable.

aka IntenseOperator

Old Post 02-03-19 05:57 PM
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Breadman
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 10967

Hank hits from the grave!




Tell/support a lie once, and all your truths become questionable.

aka IntenseOperator

Old Post 02-04-19 05:42 PM
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