5.30.2013, 1-1, -.455 Units, -4.55 ROI
YTD – 115-124-22, +12.77 Units, +1.08% ROI

5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted

Today’s comment: The same results two days in a row, 1-1 with a mini loss on favorites. At this point the 5 inning game is 57-50 versus 58-74 for the 9 inning game (pushes excluded, irrelevant) so even a dickhead like yours truly can get the drift without beating his head against the wall. Go with your strengths, not your weaknesses.

Reds F5 (-104) (Cueto / Rodriguez)
Hoo-Rah for the Pirates but don’t get caught up in the frenzy. They got a lot of help from the Tigers in that series and continued to win versus bullpens with their own bullpen continuing to burn the candle at both ends, going in early and staying late, working overtime in a sense. Remember in August when it catches up with the Pirates that I warned you it can’t last forever.

Mariners F5 (-125) (Iwakuma / Pelfrey)
There is not enough home field advantage on the planet for an Iwakuma-Pelfrey matchup versus the respective offenses. Iwakuma went 13 last year versus the Twins and gave up 0 runs. One home, one away, it made no difference. Pelfrey is a newcomer to the A.L. and has never faced the Mariners, but why should they treat him any better than the rest of the league?

Astros F5 (+200) (Keuchel / Hanson)
Of course I am going out a limb here but at -220 the Angels need a 69% chance of winning before you have a chance to make a penny. Tommy Hanson and the Angels, respectively or combined have no 69% categories, but the Astros have plenty of 33.3% categories and a bunch of young unknowns never viewed on Sports Center that are trying to make a major league career for themselves. Were the Rockies not supposed to slaughter them, both home and away? Percentage wise I make this game 53-47 and have to roll with it.

Blue Jays F5 (+115) (Jenkins / Marquis)
Granted you have to pick your spots, but sometimes the Jays look like the Jays they were supposed to be. I am not a big Chad Jenkins fan, but both he and Marquis have lived on run support so far and Jenkins is more likely to get it tonight as there is a very wide range in offensive probability. The line is based on HFA only or you don’t make a starter and team like Marquis and the Padres a favorite over anyone. Take the odds.

BOL

thanks for the share & bring'em home tonight
GL