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windycity
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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 1071

jeffdane

I was thinking the same thing but I was using -160.

Old Post 06-12-11 03:45 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

Jeff

whats the record for home favs above -180? since june 1st.
Home -180>: 9-0 (+9.0)

whats the record for fading home favs, under -180, on the +1.5 rl? since june 1st.
Fade Home Fav on RL: 3-6 (-4.8)

Old Post 06-12-11 05:07 PM
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jeffdane
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 3412

oldguy

the fading is under -180?




“Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”

Old Post 06-12-11 05:16 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/12

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/14
Home: 52-33 (+3.1)
Away: 46-45 (-4.55)

Home Teams: -160> 27-9 (+11.2)
InterLeague Home: 5-0 (+5.0)
InterLeague Away: 5-6 (-1.87)

6/11
Home: 3-1 (+1.66)
SF-155 L
Phi-189 W
NYY-200 W
Min+121 W

Away: 2-2 (0.0)
AZ-120 W
TB-128 W
Sea+103 L
Oak+104 L

6/12
Home:
Mil-150
CWS-142

Away:
Atl-154
Sea-105
Cle+142
Bos-165

GL

Old Post 06-12-11 05:26 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

Jeff,

fading is under -180?

Sorry about that. 20-5 (+13.15)

Old Post 06-12-11 05:32 PM
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jeffdane
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 3412

right!

so the juice is high but 29-5 theres not much juice.




“Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”

Old Post 06-12-11 05:41 PM
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jacksonjohn


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 133

Confused

Trying to follow the back and forth between you guys but having a hard time.

Jeffdane, bottom line, what are you suggesting as tails/fades? Also please use words instead of < or >. Thanks.

Old Post 06-12-11 07:56 PM
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jeffdane
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 3412

jackson

settle down and read it.

i have always stuck by just playing the normal system.

we are pointing out some angles that are going well, RIGHT NOW.

We have noticed that the normal system plays, when the moneyline is above -180 is undefeated in June.

oldguy, after researching for a while, has noticed that a lot of these system plays either lose or win by only one run.
therefore you would fade the system play but not on the ml, play the +1.5 rl.

like i said this is whats working now. its obviously not a perfect system because it is weighted on starting pitching alone. but there are still ways to profit, whether its fading or following.

gl




“Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”

Old Post 06-12-11 08:40 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/13

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/14
Home: 54-33 (+5.1)
Away: 49-46 (-2.55)

Home Teams: -160> 27-9 (+11.2)
InterLeague Home: 5-0 (+5.0)
InterLeague Away: 5-6 (-1.87)

6/12
Home: 2-0 (+2.0)
Mil-150 W
CWS-142 W

Away: 3-1 (+2.0)
Atl-154 W
Sea-105 W
Cle+142 L
Bos-165 W

6/13
Home:
Pit-115
Fla-131
Hou+115
LAD-114

Away:
LAA-126

GL

Old Post 06-13-11 06:56 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

This Is just an Update of the 2011 season and what we have seen develop so far. I also included today's picks for 6/13. Hopefully these trends continue. Good Luck.

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/14
Home: 54-33 (+5.1)
Away: 49-46 (-2.55)
Home Teams: -160> 27-9 (+11.2)
InterLeague Home: 5-0 (+5.0)
InterLeague Away: 5-6 (-1.87)

6/1 – 6/14
Home: 21-17 (-4.14)
Away: 23-21 (+.28)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 14-5 (+5.55)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 9-0 (+9.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 23-4 (+17.15)
InterLeague Home: 0-0 (0.0)
InterLeague Away: 0-0 (0.0)

6/13
Home:
Pit-115
Fla-131
Hou+115
LAD-114

Away:
LAA-126

GL

Old Post 06-13-11 09:20 PM
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udog


Registered: Aug 2004
Posts: 51

Wouldn't you be laying big odds on a lot of these?

Old Post 06-13-11 10:59 PM
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udog


Registered: Aug 2004
Posts: 51

i don't suppose you know how these plays do for 1st 5 innings since its starting pitcher based?

Old Post 06-14-11 12:42 AM
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windycity
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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 1071

jeffdane

I wonder what the record would be if you combined this system with your bookie buster filters? Do you still play those? I believe the NYY were a bookie buster tonight but did not meet the TLA criteria. Just a thought.

Old Post 06-14-11 01:29 AM
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windycity
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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 1071

Philly and Detroit fit the bookie buster criteria lets see how they match up with the LA criteria.

Old Post 06-14-11 03:58 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/14

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/14
Home: 56-35 (+4.8)
Away: 50-46 (-1.55)
Home Teams: -160> 27-9 (+11.2)
InterLeague Home: 5-0 (+5.0)
InterLeague Away: 5-6 (-1.87)

6/1 – 6/14
Home: 23-19 (-4.44)
Away: 24-21 (+1.28)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 14-5 (+5.55)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 9-0 (+9.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 25-5 (+17.15)
InterLeague Home: 0-0 (0.0)
InterLeague Away: 0-0 (0.0)

6/13
Home: 2-2 (-.3)
Pit-115 W
Fla-131 L
Hou+115 W
LAD-114 L

Away: 1-0 (+1.0)
LAA-126 W

6/14
Home:
Phi-210
Atl-146
LAD-128
Det-175
TB-126
Oak-163

Away:
StL-139
CWS-130
LAA-135

GL

Old Post 06-14-11 06:23 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/15

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/14
Home: 59-38 (+3.43)
Away: 51-47 (-1.94)
Home Teams: -160> 29-10 (+11.57)
InterLeague Home: 5-0 (+5.0)
InterLeague Away: 5-6 (-1.87)

6/1 – 6/14
Home: 26-22 (-5.81)
Away: 25-22 (+.89)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 16-6 (+5.92)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 10-0 (+10.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 28-7 (+16.95)
InterLeague Home: 0-0 (0.0)
InterLeague Away: 0-0 (0.0)

6/14
Home: 3-3 (-1.37)
Phi-210 W
Atl-146 L
LAD-128 L
Det-175 W
TB-126 W
Oak-163 L

Away: 1-1 (-.39)
StL-139 L
CWS-130 PPD
LAA-135 W

6/15
Home:
Col-150
Tor-161

Away:
NYM+129
Bos-126
CWS-125
LAA+109

GL

Old Post 06-15-11 05:55 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/16

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/14
Home: 61-38 (+5.43)
Away: 53-49 (-1.9)
Home Teams: -160> 30-10 (+12.57)
InterLeague Home: 5-0 (+5.0)
InterLeague Away: 5-6 (-1.87)

6/1 – 6/14
Home: 28-22 (-3.81)
Away: 27-24 (+.93)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 17-6 (+6.92)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 10-0 (+10.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 28-9 (+13.95)
InterLeague Home: 0-0 (0.0)
InterLeague Away: 0-0 (0.0)

6/15
Home: 2-0 (+2.0)
Col-150 W
Tor-161 W

Away: 2-2 (+.04)
NYM+129 W
Bos-126 W
CWS-125 L
LAA+109 L

6/16
Home:
Phi-240
AZ-139
Oak-147
TB-117

Away:
StL-105
TX-123

GL

Old Post 06-16-11 05:47 PM
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windycity
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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 1071

Are you playing Oakland -1.5?
Should it be KC +1.5?

Old Post 06-16-11 06:08 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

windycity, it should be KC-170 on the +1.5RL
Thanks.

Old Post 06-16-11 07:05 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/17

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/21
Home: 64-39 (+7.26)
Away: 53-51 (-4.18)
Home Teams: -160> 31-10 (+13.57)
InterLeague Home: 5-0 (+5.0)
InterLeague Away: 5-6 (-1.87)

6/1 – 6/21
Home: 31-23 (-1.98)
Away: 27-26 (-1.35)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 18-6 (+7.92)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 11-0 (+11.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 30-10 (+14.25)
InterLeague Home: 0-0 (0.0)
InterLeague Away: 0-0 (0.0)

6/16
Home: 3-1 (+1.83)
Phi-240 W
AZ-139 W
Oak-147 W
TB-117 L

Away: 0-2 (-2.28)
StL-105 L
TX-123 L

6/17
Home:
IL AZ-132
IL Sea-105

Away:
IL Mil+120
IL SF -151

GL

Old Post 06-17-11 06:10 PM
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