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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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MLB Lagniappe 4/29

Washington (13-14) @ Miami (6-23)
— Irvin is 1-1, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 0-0, 2.81 in three starts vs Miami.

— Nationals won its last three games.
— They’re 9-6 on road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-5

— Rogers is 0-3, 4.64 in his last four starts.
— Miami is 0-5 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 3-2, 3.22 in eight starts vs Washington.

— Marlins lost nine of their last eleven games.
— Miami is 2-14 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-29
— record in first 5 innings: 11-16-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4.2-5

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Cubs (17-11) @ NY Mets (14-13)
— Taillon is 2-0, 2.53 in two starts.
— Chicago is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 3-0, 2.33 in four starts vs New York.

— Cubs won 10 of their last 15 games.
— They’re 7-8 on road.
— Cubs are 6-3 in series openers.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 13-10-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4.1-4

— Severino is 2-1, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— New York is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 0-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Chicago.

— New York is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Mets are 7-8 at home.
— Mets are 5-4 in series openers.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.2-3

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Cincinnati (15-13) @ San Diego (14-17)
— Lodolo is 2-0, 2.04 in three starts.
— Cincinnati is 3-0 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs San Diego.

— Reds lost three of last four games.
— They’re 6-6 on road.
— Reds are 5-4 in series openers.
— under 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 5-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-2-2.2

— Waldron is 1-1, 3.43 in his last four starts.
— San Diego is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 4-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 6-11 at home.
— Padres are 5-5 in series openers.
— over 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 11-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-14-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-3.2

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Los Angeles (18-12) @ Arizona (13-16)
— Paxton is 2-0, 2.57 in four starts.
— Dodgers are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Dodgers won six of last seven games.
— Dodgers are 9-4 on road.
— LA is 6-4 in series openers.
— under 5-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-30
— record in first 5 innings: 17-12-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-6

— Henry is 1-1, 5.92 in five starts.
— Arizona is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Arizona is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
— Diamondbacks are 7-6 at home.
— Arizona is 1-8 in series openers.
— under 14-6 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-10-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3-2-3

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Bronx (19-10) @ Baltimore (17-10)
— Schmidt is 2-0, 3.45 in his last three starts.
— New York is 5-0 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-1
— He is 3-2, 4.33 in nine games (4 starts) vs Baltimore.

— New York is 4-2 in its last six games.
— They’re 11-5 on road.
— New York is 5-4 in series openers.
— over 8-2 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-5

— Rodriguez is 3-1, 4.45 in five starts.
— Baltimore is 4-1 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He threw 6.1 scoreless IP in his one start vs New York

— Baltimore is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
— Orioles are 9-6 at home.
— Orioles are 6-3 in series openers.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 15-10-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-5

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St Louis (13-15) @ Detroit (16-12)
— Matz is 0-2, 10.80 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 0-0, 1.56 in three starts vs Detroit.

— Cardinals are 4-2 in their last six games.
— They’re 8-8 on road.
— Cardinals are 6-3 in series openers.
— under 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 8-16-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-5.2

— Maeda is 0-1, 6.75 in five starts.
— Detroit is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He is 2-1, 5.11 in four starts vs St Louis.

— Detroit is 6-3 in its last nine games.
— Tigers are 6-8 at home.
— Tigers are 6-3 in series openers.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 10-28
— record in first 5 innings: 10-14-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-2

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Philadelphia (19-10) @ LA Angels (10-18)
— Sanchez is 1-3, 4.68 in five starts.
— Phillies are 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 0-0, 4.50 in two games (1 start) vs Anaheim.

— Phillies are 14-4 in their last 18 games.
— Phillies are 9-4 on road.
— Phillies are 7-2 in series openers.
— under 17-7 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 14-29
— record in first 5 innings: 19-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-1-2.2

— Canning is 1-3, 7.88 in five starts.
— Angels are 1-4 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Philadelphia.

— Angels are 6-16 in their last 22 games.
— They’re 3-9 at home.
— Angels are 4-5 in series openers.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 8-18-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-7.1-4

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Atlanta (19-7) @ Seattle (15-13)
— Fried is 2-0, 1.74 in his last three starts.
— Atlanta is 5-0 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He allowed 2 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Seattle.

— Braves are 16-5 in their last 21 games.
— They’re 8-3 on road.
— Braves are 8-1 in series openers.
— under 7-1 last eight
— scored run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 15-8-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-4.2

— Miller is 3-1, 1.54 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 6.1 IP in his one start vs Atlanta.

— Seattle won nine of its last 12 games.
— Mariners are 9-7 at home.
— Mariners are 6-3 in series openers.
— under 22-5 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-2.2

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Pittsburgh (14-15) @ Oakland (12-17)
— Falter is 2-1, 1.57 in his last four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— This is his first start against Oakland

— Pirates are 5-13 in their last 18 games.
— They’re 6-9 on road.
— Pirates are 4-5 in series openers.
— under 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 6-29
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-3

— Boyle is 0-3, 6.43 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 1-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— A’s were 4-3 last week, at Bronx/Baltimore.
— Oakland is 4-9 at home.
— A’s are 4-5 in series openers.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 9-19-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-1.2-5

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(903) CHICAGO-NL (17-11) at (904) NEW YORK-NL (14-13)
Trend: Luis Severino is 11-4 (+6.40 units) in April/May in last 2+ years
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-142 vs CHC)

(907) CINCINNATI (15-13) at (908) SAN DIEGO (14-17)
Trend: Nick Lodolo is just 5-8 (-4.65 units) vs. losing teams in career
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (-112 at SD)

(909) NEW YORK-AL (19-10) at (910) BALTIMORE (17-10)
Trend: NYY is 6-10 (-4.93 units) vs. AL East teams with starter Clarke Schmidt in career
System Match: FADE NY YANKEES (+100 at BAL)

(913) MINNESOTA (14-13) at (914) CHICAGO-AL (6-22)
Trend: MIN is 16-2 (+12.00 units) vs. teams with a winning percentage of <42% with starter Joe Ryan since 2021
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-170 at CWS)

(915) ST LOUIS (13-15) at (916) DETROIT (16-12)
Trend: Kenta Maeda is 11-1 (+10.87 units) in the last 12 night games
System Match: PLAY DETROIT (-108 vs STL)

(919) PHILADELPHIA (19-10) at (920) LOS ANGELES-AL (10-18)
Trend: PHI is 3-12 (-11.53 units) in line range of -145 or worse with starter Cristopher Sanchez last 2+ seasons
System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (-142 at LAA)

(921) ATLANTA (19-7) at (922) SEATTLE (15-13)
Trend: ATL was 9-0 (+9.00 units) in road game starts by Max Fried last season (3-0,
+3.00 units this season)
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-155 at SEA)

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