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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

NBA Lagniappe 3/24

Sunday, 03/24/2024 (501) NEW ORLEANS vs. (502) DETROIT
Favoring: DETROIT against the spread.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) off a road win by 10 points or more this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 109.4, OPPONENT 115.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 03/24/2024 (501) NEW ORLEANS vs. (502) DETROIT
Favoring: NEW ORLEANS against the spread.
NEW ORLEANS is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 120.6, OPPONENT 107.9 - (Rating = 2*)

Sunday, 03/24/2024 (503) PHILADELPHIA vs. (504) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA against the spread.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) after playing a road game this season.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 113.3, OPPONENT 113.4 - (Rating = 2*)

Sunday, 03/24/2024 (503) PHILADELPHIA vs. (504) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA against the spread.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 116.4, OPPONENT 111.3 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 03-24-24 04:32 PM
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msudogs
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Sunday, 03/24/2024 (501) NEW ORLEANS vs. (502) DETROIT
Favoring: Under on the total.
DETROIT is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.
The average score was DETROIT 109.2, OPPONENT 108.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 03/24/2024 (503) PHILADELPHIA vs. (504) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: Under on the total.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 101.5, OPPONENT 109.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 03/24/2024 (509) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (510) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: Under on the total.
MILWAUKEE is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 111.4, OPPONENT 111.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 03/24/2024 (509) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (510) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: Under on the total.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) off a road win this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 115.4, OPPONENT 104.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-24-24 04:34 PM
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Sunday, 03/24/2024 (503) PHILADELPHIA vs. (504) LA CLIPPERS
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA on the first half line.
LA CLIPPERS are 4-16 (-13.6 Units) against the 1rst half line after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 53.5, OPPONENT 58.8 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 03/24/2024 (501) NEW ORLEANS vs. (502) DETROIT
Favoring: NEW ORLEANS on the first half line.
NEW ORLEANS is 44-24 (+17.6 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 59.4, OPPONENT 53.7 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 03-24-24 04:34 PM
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Sunday, 03/24/2024 (501) NEW ORLEANS vs. (502) DETROIT
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-7 UNDER (+15.3 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 59.7, OPPONENT 53.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 03/24/2024 (501) NEW ORLEANS vs. (502) DETROIT
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 52.3, OPPONENT 51.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-24-24 04:34 PM
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msudogs
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NBA Team Strength Betting System #4:
Double-digit NBA favorites in non-conference games have gone 150-30 SU but just 75-102-3 ATS (42.4%) over the last two seasons.
System Matches: FADE NEW ORLEANS (-12.5 at DET)

NBA Team Strength Betting System #5:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last three seasons, dependent upon what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 80-62 (56.3%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 146-119 (55.1%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 192-139 (58%).
System Matches: PLAY OVER in NOP-DET (o/u at 217.5)

Old Post 03-24-24 09:30 PM
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msudogs
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Favorites flush low-scoring totals quickly
NBA teams that come off a game in which they scored 90 points or fewer have responded well when favored in the next outing, going 125-44 SU and 104-63-2 ATS (62.3%) in their last 169 tries.
System Match: PLAY MIAMI (-4 vs CLE)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3PT field goal attempts in a contest have responded the next time out by going just 212-233 SU and 199-242-4 ATS (45.1%) in the next game over the last 3-1/2 seasons.
System Match: FADE NEW ORLEANS (-12.5 at DET), FADE MINNESOTA (-2.5 vs GSW)

Old Post 03-24-24 09:30 PM
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