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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Plus day/Could have been better

Late games were awesome. I could have had a great day had Croatia not scored late. Argentina sneaks into the 16.

Nigeria/Argentina - BTTS -125...W
Nigeria +1 +102...P
Iceland - PK, +.5 -106...L

1-1-1 late, 3-1-1 for the day
16-16-1 total
+0.34

Old Post 06-26-18 10:05 PM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Mexico vs. Sweden, Group F
10 a.m. ET

Mexico will advance and top the group with a draw, while Sweden likely need a victory to advance. However, bettors don’t have much faith in the European side, with just 18% of tickets on Sweden (+223) to win. Mexico are listed at +141 and attracting more than 60% of bets.

Similar to Sweden’s last match against Germany, the majority of bettors believe the total will go under (2.5). With lopsided action on the under, I think there’s plenty of contrarian value on the over (2.5) at +125.

Old Post 06-27-18 07:58 AM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Germany vs. South Korea, Group F
10 a.m. ET

Public bettors are not forecasting any trouble for Germany as they’re receiving more than 80% of bets both on the moneyline (-465) and goal-line (-2). Only 7% of bettors are taking a chance on South Korea despite the potential — albeit unlikely — 15-1 payout.

Even with a high total of three goals, the majority of tickets have come in on the over.

Old Post 06-27-18 07:58 AM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Serbia vs. Brazil, Group E
2 p.m. ET

Brazil are sizable favorites to beat Serbia, but a draw would be enough for them to advance. Depending on the early results in Group F, their opponent could be Germany, so it’s not a given they’d want to win this match. Even so, more than 70% of bets are on both the Brazil moneyline (-187) and goal-line (-1).

Old Post 06-27-18 08:02 AM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Switzerland vs. Costa Rica, Group E
2 p.m. ET

Switzerland will advance with a win (-154) or draw (+250) against Costa Rica, although they can still advance with a loss (+600). Seven out of every 10 bets have come in on the Swiss to be victorious, and all the recent line movement has gone their way as well.

A low total of 2 goals hasn’t led bettors off the under, which is being offered at +125 odds.

Old Post 06-27-18 08:02 AM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Wed

Mexico ML +135
Swiss -161

Old Post 06-27-18 01:08 PM
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geg1951
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14869

366189973
SOC Peru +140 ....WIN

366189974
SOC Peru v Australia Under 2.5 -102 ...WIN

366189975
SOC France +108 .....loss

366189976
SOC France v Denmark Under 2-103 ...WIN

366189977
SOC Croatia +117 ...WIN

366189978
SOC Croatia v Iceland Under 2.25 -106 ..loss

366189979
SOC Argentina -188 ...WIN

366189980
Argentina v Nigeria Under2.75 +101 ..loss


WC 20-22-1 ...+435




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
---------------------------------------------------

Old Post 06-27-18 02:10 PM
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geg1951
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14869

366306999
Sweden v Mexico Under 2.25 -105

366307000
Mexico +124

366307001
Germany v Repub Korea Under 3.25 -108

PARLAY WAGER 25 tw 133

Mexico +124
Germany -550
Brazil -200
Switzerland -170

glta

WC 20-22-1 ...+435




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
---------------------------------------------------

Old Post 06-27-18 02:58 PM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Holy Crap!!

S. Korea beats Germany! They were +1000+ I think. Anyone that played them, made out.

Germany eliminated.




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 06-27-18 06:02 PM
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eagleseye13
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2013
Posts: 1807

HF - they were +1600-1700

i had the under 3.5 for game ...W
live in-game u1.5 goals at 73'....puke L

playing nothing this afternoon




eagleseye13

"It doesn't matter who wins the game, it matters who covers"

2014 MLB Season Contest 2nd place +1985 (59-35-3)

Old Post 06-27-18 07:02 PM
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geg1951
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14869

wow ..........is brazil next ??????????

366306999
Sweden v Mexico Under 2.25 -105 ...loss

366307000
Mexico +124 .............loss

366307001
Germany v S Korea Under 3.25 -108 ...win

PARLAY WAGER 25 tw 133...........loss

Mexico +124
Germany -550
Brazil -200
Switzerland -170

glta

WC 21-25-1 ...+305




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
---------------------------------------------------

Old Post 06-27-18 07:16 PM
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geg1951
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14869

1:00 CST

not the start i was looking for ..... like these !!

366340582
TNT Both teams to score -125

366340583
SOC Switzerland -165 X 2
(COSTA RICA ONLY TEAM W/O A GOAL IN W.C.)

glta

WC 21-25-1 ...+305

Old Post 06-27-18 07:18 PM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Suprising Day

Mexico ML +135...L
Swiss -161....L

16-18-1
-2.27




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 06-27-18 10:12 PM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Senegal vs. Colombia, Group H
10 a.m. ET

Public bettors feel very confident in Colombia after their strong showing against Poland, and 73% of tickets has come in on Los Cafeteros to get another win vs. Senegal. They likely need a victory to advance, while Senegal just need a draw.

Despite the lopsided action, the line has only risen from -109 to -114, so sportsbooks haven’t been too fazed. Senegal have also looked good through two matches and are setting up to be a worthy contrarian play to get a win (+362) or draw (+269).

Bettors are forecasting goals with three out of every four bets coming in on the over (2.5).

Old Post 06-28-18 07:48 AM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Japan vs. Poland, Group H
10 a.m. ET

Before the tournament, few would have predicted Japan to be favored in this matchup. They’re tied at the top of Group H and will automatically advance with a win/draw, and could even make it through with a loss.

Oddsmakers list Japan at +164 to get the win and that’s where 47% of bettors are putting their money. The market has reacted to the 41% of tickets on Poland, though.

There are just 12% of tickets on the draw (+225) which could be a good angle to take considering how even these teams are.

The majority of bettors (79%) are hoping to see the total go over 2.5 goals.

Old Post 06-28-18 07:48 AM
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msudogs
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Panama vs. Tunisia, Group G
2 p.m. ET

Panama and Tunisia have already officially been eliminated, but both will still be playing for pride and a win to close out the tournament. Tunisia are the odds-on favorites (-115) and attracting 63% of moneyline bets and 65% spread bets.

Odds have shifted in Panama’s favor since opening, signaling a bit of reverse-line movement on the upset.

Bettors are just about 50/50 on the total of 2.5 goals, but the sharper money has been placed on the over.

Old Post 06-28-18 07:50 AM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
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England vs. Belgium, Group G
2 p.m. ET

It’s probably more beneficial for both clubs to play for runners-up in the group since half of the tournament bracket is so stacked already (Argentina-France, Uruguay-Portugal, Brazil-Mexico). The other side, which the second place finisher would enter, consists of Spain-Russia, Croatia-Denmark and Sweden-Switzerland.

Just over half the wagers is on Belgium (+216) to win, with just 26% on England (+168) and 22% on the draw (+203). It’s a difficult match to bet on since the teams’ intentions are unclear.

Over/Under bettors are also split on this total of 2.5 (u-135) even though both teams have been scoring at will.

Old Post 06-28-18 07:50 AM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Thursday - last day of the third round

A lot today.

Colombia ML -121
Japan/Poland - BTTS -125
Panama/Tunisia - BTTS -140
Belgium/England U2,U2.5 -113
Belgium/England - Draw +200
Tunisia -119

Beer money plays
Colombia 3-0 +1400
Japan 2-1 +900
Tunisia 3-1 +1400
Belgium/England 0-0 +650..predicted snoozefest. It is not an advantage for either to win. This should be interesting to see if anyone attacks.




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 06-28-18 02:14 PM
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geg1951
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14869

sheety day !!!!!!!!!!

366340582
TNT Both teams to score -125 ......loss

366340583
SOC Switzerland -165 X 2....loss / loss

366306999
Sweden v Mexico Under 2.25 -105 ...loss

366307000
Mexico +124 .............loss

366307001
Germany v S Korea Under 3.25 -108 ...win

PARLAY WAGER 25 tw 133...........loss

Mexico +124
Germany -550
Brazil -200
Switzerland -170

glta

WC 22-31-1 ...-175




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
---------------------------------------------------

Old Post 06-28-18 03:04 PM
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Gush
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2009
Posts: 3614

Thursday

WC record 7-14-1 -5.91
Not good so far but still time to make it up

10 am's should be fun

Poland/Japan
A flip in the line here at 5dimes as Poland was a dog at +195/Japan +164 last night. Poland now a slight fav at +183/Japan +189. We have seen this scenerio a couple times now where a team that needs a result is playing a team desperate just to salvage the expierience of the WC for there fans. (Costa Rica yesterday and Peru the day before) Poland 8th in fifa ranking while Japan 61st. Think Poland definetely scores here so I will play this match a couple different ways.

Poland tt over 1 -125
Poland/Japan draw +212

Columbia/Senegal
Columbia comes off a much needed 3-0 win after losing to Japan in there opener. Senegal just needs a draw here to get through. I'll play the draw with confidence enough that Senegal can score if they need to.

Columbia/Senegal draw +267

Also gonna take a shot on Japan not to advance from group H at +625

This scenerio would mean Poland beats Japan and Columbia and Senegal draw which i could see as a likely outcome.

2pms a bit later. GL

Old Post 06-28-18 03:10 PM
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