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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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League of Legends Wagers
Highlights
The North American league is now in Week 2 of the new split.
Betting lines haven’t adjusted to the changing strengths of teams.
The new patch continues to cause chaos, and many teams are experiments with unconventional compositions.
Week 1 is in the books for every region, and the evolution of this new metagame continues to shake up the League of Legends landscape. Some teams have embraced surprising new compositions while other teams are still hoping for success with a classic style. The market still hasn’t adjusted to the current meta, so many betting lines this week are exploitable.
All lines are from Bovada.
KPW Leaders
Golden Guardians: 20
Echo Fox: 18
Team Liquid: 17
DPL Leaders
Team Liquid: 20
Clutch Gaming: 18
FlyQuest: 16.5
Bets
CLG vs. Team Liquid: Saturday 6/23 at 5 p.m. ET
CLG: +140
Liquid: -175
Bet: CLG +140
Liquid doesn’t have an identity in the new meta, looking completely different in two matches so far. CLG on the other hand has been extremely consistent even with a loss. CLG thrives in this kind of meta, and Huhi is the perfect mid-laner to have right now, especially against a team reliant on its attack damage carry.
FlyQuest vs. OpTic Gaming: Sunday 6/24 at 3 p.m. ET
FlyQuest: -125
OpTic: +100
Bet: FlyQuest -125
As a FlyQuest fanboy (I actually own a FlyQuest jersey, as does my wife), I expected more from them this meta, although they were cheated a bit by a tough schedule in Week 1. Neither of team has looked good, but I expect FlyQuest to come out and destroy a fellow bottom-of-the-table team. Wildturtle in the bottom lane has an unbelievably diverse champion pool that plays well in this meta, and he should finally get to showcase that on Sunday.
Team Liquid vs. TSM: Sunday 6/24 at 7 p.m. ET
Team Liquid: +105
TSM: -130
Bet: TSM -130
Like CLG, TSM has looked fantastic in this patch, and Bjergsen is right up there with Huhi as a mid-laner who benefits from this meta. I believe TSM is significantly better than CLG, and if I’m picking CLG against Liquid you can be sure I like TSM in this matchup.
CLG vs. Clutch Gaming: Sunday 6/24 at 8 p.m. ET
CLG: -110
Clutch: -115
Bet: CLG: -110
Clutch is probably the team that was most hurt by this meta, which has drastically changed their style. They were the least bloody team in the league last year, but so far this season they have a top-three DPL rate. CLG shouldn’t struggle with this squad, and the -110 moneyline odds offer amazing value in this situation.
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06-24-18 03:00 AM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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OMG vs FunPlus Phoenix: Sunday 7/1 at 2:00 a.m. ET
OMG: +110
Phoenix: -135
Bet: OMG +110
These lines are heavily based on last year’s results, which no longer seem predictive. I came into this split thinking it was Phoenix’s time to break out, but the offseason loss of their jungler has affected them in unexpected ways. They’ve looked lost, managing to win only four games. OMG, however, has improved this season. They’re still not great, but the versatility of Chelly in the bottom lane gives them a valuable edge in champ select.
EDward Gaming vs. Rogue Warriors: Sunday 7/1 at 7:00 a.m. ET
Rogue Warriors: -110
EDG: -115
Bet: Rogue Warriors -110
Once again, these lines are heavily influenced by last season. Rogue Warriors are on an absolute rampage right now at 8-0. EDG has looked acceptable at 6-3, but they are still trying to figure out this meta: Their drafts have been erratic, and they’ve frequently misused iBoy in the bottom lane. Later in the season EDG could stand up to Rogue Warriors, but right now they are two teams in different phases of understanding the meta.
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06-30-18 12:29 AM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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“Why Should I Care?”
You already play the basketball, baseball, and football slates with a bit of NASCAR and MMA mixed in. Why should you bother learning another game? Here’s why.
eSports is, by far, the softest DFS sport available and has the most exploitable lines for betting. Most sportsbooks are not nearly as accurate and precise with eSports as they are with other sports. In general, there’s not a wealth of eSports data and projection-creating experts for sportsbooks to rely on.
eSports is the fastest growing form of entertainment there is. Traditional sports have higher viewership for the moment, but if you look at percentage increases then eSports dominates the field. Back in the day, when people threw the pigskin around at the local park, that was traditional sports, but now it’s more traditional for people to play video games with their friends. Within 15 years, eSports could be as popular as the major sports. In places like China and Korea it’s on national television and the teams even have home stadiums.
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06-30-18 12:32 AM |
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