I like Federer
Federer +140

He's had a fairly easy tournament up to this point. He's only been broken once this tournament and hasn't given up a point during 38(?) service games this tournament.

He seems to be in the form of the Great Federer he once was.

More stats to consider:
Federer leads their head-to-head 17-16.
They met two years ago in the semi-finals at Wimbledon: Federer won in 4 sets.
Federer is 9-0 on grass this year.
Federer has only lost 4 major matches on grass since 2011.
Djokovic is 5-0 on grass this year.
He's also only lost 4 major matches on the surface since 2011.

Good luck!

missed your daily work in tennis, i do understand the work thing
GL

Great Stats.

I'll join you with Fedex. Based on the way he's been playing, seems like good value. Got him at +140. GL.

Grass plays fast like hard courts Novak shines on grass and hard and what a gift he should have been -800 seriously