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playtowin
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Registered: Apr 2006
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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 1-game-nil:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 1-game-nil irrespective of site order (Washington) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 867-353 (.711)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 198-98 (.669)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 350-103 (.773)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 66-22 (.750)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 661-559 (.542)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 156-140 (.527)
Game 2 record, NBA only, all rounds: 255-198 (.563)
Game 2 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 56-32 (.636)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1220 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 1-game-nil @ V:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 1-game-nil with site order V (Washington) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 223-176 (.559)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 54-53 (.505)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 65-52 (.556)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 10-12 (.455)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 133-266 (.333)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 30-77 (.280)
Game 2 record, NBA only, all rounds: 27-90 (.231)
Game 2 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 2-20 (.091)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1220 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 1: The Washington Wizards visited and defeated the Chicago Bulls 102-pts-93 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1239 lead of 1-game-nil. Having brought a 0-5 best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 1 record into series 1239, the Washington Wizards have neither a series precedent nor a Game 2 precedent when leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Chicago Bulls have a series record of 7-15 and a Game 2 record of 9-13. The incoming 0-5 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff Game 1 record by the Washington Wizards was the second-worst among MLB/NBA/NHL teams; the worst belongs to the MLB Cleveland Indians at 0-8.
Pre-series assessment: In the 2013-14 NBA regular season, Chicago finished four games ahead of Washington. From 1947 through the 2013 NBA Finals round, inclusive, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season games, they have posted a 24-10 (.706) best-of-7 series record in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1239 is the sixth best-of-7 NBA playoff series for Washington, and the 48th for Chicago. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, Washington has a 1-4 series record (with an active four-series losing streak), a 1-3 Preliminary-round series record, and a 0-5 Game 1 record, while Chicago has a 26-21 series record, a 3-5 Preliminary-round series record, and a 25-22 Game 1 record. Series 1239 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between Washington and Chicago; Washington defeated Chicago in series 942, in the 2005 NBA Preliminary round.
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04-23-14 03:46 AM |
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