As I have done the last several years, I have played each bowl game 20 times. I will post the results for each game as well as how many times of 20 each team covered.

Washington State 12-8 over Colorado State (33.2-33.5)
USC 12-8 over Fresno State (27.9-21.1)
Buffalo 13-7 over San Diego State (22.7-22.2)
La-Lafayette 13-7 over Tulane (24.6-19.4)
East Carolina 19-1 over Ohio (30.1-13.3)
Boise State 13-7 over Oregon State (30.9-26.7)
Bowling Green 16-4 over Pittsburgh (32.5-22.4)
Northern Illinois 12-8 over Utah State (25.0-22.8)
Maryland 14-6 over Marshall (26.4-25.5)
Syracuse 11-9 over Minnesota (19.0-18.9)
Washington 11-9 over BYU (23.2-23.0)
Notre Dame 18-2 over Rutgers (30.1-13.6)
Cincinnati 10-10 vs North Carolina (22.3-21.5)
Louisville 17-3 over Miami-FL (31.8-22.1)
Kansas State 17-3 over Michigan (27.6-16.0)
Navy 13-7 over Middle Tennessee (23.0-18.3)
Ole Miss 11-9 over Georgia Tech (24.0-21.2)
Oregon 20-0 over Texas (38.3-14.8)
Arizona State 18-2 over Texas Tech (34.5-16.5)
Arizona 17-3 over Boston College (24.0-15.5)
Virginia Tech 13-7 over UCLA (22.3-17.9)
Mississippi State 14-6 over Rice (23.1-20.5)
Texas A&M 12-8 over Duke (33.3-29.6)
Nebraska 11-9 over Georgia (22.9-28.1)
North Texas 12-8 over UNLV (22.3-19.8)
LSU 16-4 over Iowa (32.5-19.6)
Wisconsin 10-10 vs South Carolina (26.5-24.7)
Stanford 11-9 over Michigan State (17.4-14.1)
Baylor 17-3 over UCF (38.7-22.0)
Alabama 15-5 over Oklahoma (33.3-21.3)
Missouri 13-7 over Oklahoma State (23.8-22.1)
Ohio State 14-6 over Clemson (29.5-21.8)
Houston 12-8 over Vanderbilt (20.0-19.3)
Ball State 13-7 over Arkansas State (32.5-26.3)
Florida State 16-4 over Auburn (35.0-24.3)

Colorado State +4 vs Washington State (13-7)
Fresno State +6 vs USC (11-8-1)
Buffalo Pk vs San Diego State (13-7)
La-Lafayette Pk vs Tulane (13-7)
East Carolina -13.5 vs Ohio (11-9)
Boise State +3 vs Oregon State (13-7)
Bowling Green -5 vs Pittsburgh (11-9)
Northern Illinois -1.5 vs Utah State (10-10)
Maryland +2.5 vs Marshall (14-6)
Syracuse +4 vs Minnesota (14-6)
BYU +3 vs Washington (10-10)
Rutgers +15 vs Notre Dame (11-9)
Cincinnati +3 vs North Carolina (10-10)
LOUISVILLE -3.5 vs Miami-FL (13-7) *** (16-4 at -2.5)
KANSAS STATE -3.5 vs Michigan (15-5) *** (16-4 at -2.5, 17-3 at -1.5)
Middle Tennessee +6 vs Navy (12-7-1)
Georgia Tech +3 vs Ole Miss (10-9-1)
OREGON -13.5 vs Texas (15-5) *** (16-4 at -12.5, but 14-6 at -14.5)
Arizona State -14 vs Texas Tech (12-8)
Arizona -7.5 vs Boston College (10-10)
VIRGINIA TECH +7 vs UCLA (18-1-1)
RICE +7 vs Mississippi State (13-5-2) *** (15-5 at +7.5, but 13-7 at +6.5)
Duke +12 vs Texas A&M (12-7-1) *** (Duke won 8 times, but only covered 12 in 4 of the 12 losses)
Nebraska +8.5 vs Georgia (14-6) *** (Nebraska won 11 times, but were beaten by 20+ in 6 of their 9 losses)
UNLV +6.5 vs North Texas (11-9) *** (14-6 at +7.5)
LSU -7 vs Iowa (12-8)
Wisconsin Pk vs South Carolina (10-10)
Michigan State +4.5 vs Stanford (10-10)
Baylor -16.5 vs UCF (10-10)
Alabama -15 vs Oklahoma (11-9)
Missouri -1 vs Oklahoma State (12-7-1) *** (Okla State was 14-6 at +3.5 as Mizzou won 6 times by 1-3 points)
Ohio State -2.5 vs Clemson (13-7)
Houston +3 vs Vanderbilt (14-6) *** (15-5 at +4.5)
Arkansas State +8.5 vs Ball State (11-9)
Auburn +8.5 vs Florida State (11-9)

Nevada +8.5 vs Arizona (14-6) -- WINNER
Utah State -10.5 vs Toledo (12-8) -- WINNER
BYU -3 vs San Diego State (12-8) -- WINNER
UCF -7 vs Ball State (11-8-1) -- WINNER
East Carolina +6 vs La-Lafayette (11-8-1) -- LOSER
Boise State -5.5 vs Washington (14-6) -- LOSER
Fresno State -13 vs SMU (11-9) -- LOSER
Central Michigan +6 vs Western Kentucky (11-8-1) -- WINNER
Bowling Green +7 vs San Jose State (12-8) -- LOSER
Cincinnati -8.5 vs Duke (11-9) -- WINNER
Baylor +3 vs UCLA (13-5-2) -- WINNER
La-Monroe -7 vs Ohio (13-6-1) -- LOSER
Virginia Tech Pk vs Rutgers (18-2) -- WINNER
Texas Tech -13 vs Minnesota (13-7) -- LOSER
Air Force Pk vs Rice (11-9) -- LOSER
Navy +13 vs Arizona State (13-7) -- LOSER
West Virginia -4 vs Syracuse (10-9-1) -- LOSER
Texas +3 vs Oregon State (15-5) -- WINNER
TCU -1.5 vs Michigan State (11-9) -- LOSER
Vanderbilt -7.5 vs NC State (15-5) -- WINNER
Georgia Tech +7.5 vs USC (14-6) -- WINNER
Tulsa -1.5 vs Iowa State (14-6) -- WINNER
LSU -6 vs Clemson (10-10)
Purdue +17.5 vs Oklahoma State (13-7) -- LOSER
Northwestern -1.5 vs Mississippi State (14-6) -- WINNER
Nebraska +9.5 vs Georgia (16-4) -- LOSER
South Carolina -5.5 vs Michigan (10-10)
Stanford -4 vs Wisconsin (11-9) -- WINNER
Northern Illinois +14.5 vs Florida State (13-7) -- LOSER
Florida -14 vs Louisville (9-9-2)
Kansas State +8 vs Oregon (16-3-1) -- LOSER
Oklahoma +3 vs Texas A&M (11-9) -- LOSER
Pittsburgh +3.5 vs Mississippi (17-3) -- LOSER
Arkansas State -3.5 vs Kent State (11-9) -- WINNER
Alabama -9.5 vs Notre Dame (14-6) -- WINNER

Wyoming +7 vs Temple (13-6-1) -- LOSER
Utah State -1 vs Ohio (10-8-2) -- LOSER
San Diego State -6 vs La-Lafayette (12-8) -- LOSER
Fla International -4 vs Marshall (11-8-1) -- LOSER
TCU -10 vs Louisiana Tech (10-9-1) -- LOSER
Arizona State +14.5 vs Boise State (15-5) -- LOSER
Nevada +7.5 vs Southern Miss (13-7) -- WINNER
Missouri -4.5 vs North Carolina (12-8) -- WINNER
Purdue -1.5 vs Western Michigan (15-5) -- WINNER
Notre Dame +3 vs Florida State (12-7-1) -- LOSER
Washington +8 vs Baylor (12-8) -- LOSER
Tulsa -2.5 vs BYU (15-5) -- LOSER
Rutgers +1.5 vs Iowa State (14-6) -- WINNER
Wake Forest +7 vs Mississippi State (10-9-1) -- WINNER
Oklahoma -14 vs Iowa (10-9-1) -- WINNER
Texas A&M -9.5 vs Northwestern (11-9) -- WINNER
Georgia Tech -1.5 vs Utah (13-7) -- LOSER
Illinois -3 vs UCLA (15-5) -- WINNER
Cincinnati +2 vs Vanderbilt (13-7) -- WINNER
Virginia +3 vs Auburn (16-4) -- LOSER
Houston -6.5 vs Penn State (13-7) -- WINNER
South Carolina -3 vs Nebraska (11-9) -- WINNER
Florida -3 vs Ohio State (13-7) -- WINNER
Michigan State +2.5 vs Georgia (13-7) -- WINNER
Stanford +5 vs Oklahoma State (11-7-2) -- WINNER
West Virginia +3 vs Clemson (15-5) -- WINNER
Arkansas -9.5 vs Kansas State (12-8) -- WINNER
SMU +3.5 vs Pittsburgh (17-3) -- WINNER
Northern Illinois +1.5 vs Arkansas State (13-7) -- WINNER
Alabama -1.5 vs LSU (15-5) -- WINNER

Clemson (-6.5) 19-1 over Kentucky -- WINNER
Missouri (-6.5) 16-4 over Navy -- LOSER
Air Force (+4.5) 16-4 over Houston -- WINNER
Central Michigan (-2.5) 16-4 over Troy -- WINNER
Pittsburgh (-1) 14-4-2 over North Carolina -- WINNER
Fresno State (-10) 15-5 over Wyoming -- LOSER
Northern Illinois (+6.5) 15-5 over South Florida -- LOSER
Michigan State (+9.5) 15-5 over Texas Tech -- LOSER
Middle Tennessee (+3.5) 14-6 over Southern Miss -- WINNER
Penn State (+2) 14-6 over LSU -- WINNER
UCLA (-4) 12-6-2 over Temple -- WINNER
Wisconsin (+3.5) 13-7 over Miami-FL -- WINNER
Stanford (+10) 13-7 over Oklahoma -- WINNER
Auburn (-9) 13-7 over Northwestern -- LOSER
Boise State (+7) 11-6-3 over TCU -- WINNER
Connecticut (+4) 12-7-1 over South Carolina -- WINNER

Iowa -3.5 vs South Carolina (16-4) -- WINNER
Penn State +10 vs USC (15-4-1) -- LOSER
Florida -3 vs Oklahoma (15-4-1) -- WINNER
Arizona -3 vs BYU (14-4-2) -- WINNER
Notre Dame +1.5 vs Hawaii (15-5) -- WINNER
East Carolina -1.5 vs Kentucky (15-5) -- LOSER

I love these every year.

Thanks for doing it and sharing this as well.

GL this Bowl Season

Thanks for this. Looking forward to March Madness!

These are gold. Thanks!

Thank You.

Thanks for posting.

Always look forward to this post! Great work my friend and GL this year

thanks for posting these kc

Thanks as always..NBL

Great stuff Brian. Thank you!

thx brian !!

Colorado State +4 vs Washington State (13-7) -- WINNER
La-Lafayette +2.5 vs Tulane (13-7) -- WINNER
Buffalo -1 vs San Diego State (12-7-1) -- LOSER
Fresno State +4.5 vs USC (11-9) -- LOSER

Brian, do you know how the totals have done in the past or do you just play the sides? Thanks for posting - always look forward to these! Merry Christmas!

For some reason, the simulations always come up with scores lower. For example, the sims had something like 27-10 under last year. I pretty much ignore unless it is extremely low or if it projects over(like colo st-wash st). As for the sides I take the sims in account but don't go strictly by them.....too many factors that a statistical simulation doesn't account for.