-> Play against home teams that have quarterbacks making their first career playoff start (13-4, 76.5% ATS since 2002).
-> Play against any playoff home team that lost its last game against the spread (29-19, 60.4% ATS since 2002).
2. NO/PHILLY Under 55 risk 4 units
Wild Card round, home team scored less than road team in week 17 but they scored 50+ combined in week 17: 14-0 for the under.
3. 6' Teaser -120 => Lost
CINN -1/2 => Lost
NO +9' => Winner
4. SF/GB Under 47 risk 3 units
This game stands to be at least the 3rd coldest in NFL history.
Average points scored in top 10 coldest NFL games ever: 34
Average points scored in top 8 coldest NFL games ever: 31
Average points scored in top 4 coldest NFL games ever: 28
-> Playoff teams scoring 40 or > are 4-20 ATS the following game.
-> Playoffs, after winning last game despite allowing more than 35 on defense: 0-5 SU & ATS.
All 5 lost the game by double digits SU, avg margin ATS -16'.
3. CAROLINA +1' risk 3 units
-> Since 1993 and under this format, no HD (although rare and only happened three times) has ever lost in the divisional round.