Only 1 of the last 12 games between the two of these teams have gone over 34 points in the first half. Then why the "high" total? Perception is both teams seem to start conservative and run the ball to start the game.
Reality is ULL is averaging 38 PPG and has played 3 Top 55 Defenses. Arkansas State Defense is 94th. WKU was the only Top 50 Offense ULL has faced all season, they gave up 470 yards, and the 2nd straight road trip for ULL against Top 50 Offense, could make them a little vulnerable, especially a 2nd straight Tuesday Night, while ASU has 10 days to prepare.
With two Top 25 Offenses, one thing to consider is both teams are very good in turnover margin.
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is >=31.5 (ARKANSAS ST) - mistake-free team - committing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
(38-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.9%, +28.1 units. Rating = 4*)